{"id":50017,"date":"2026-06-26T10:58:25","date_gmt":"2026-06-26T10:58:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/uncategorized\/usd-chf-fed-snb-faiz-farkinin-etkisiyle-alti-seanslik-ralliyle-11-ayin-zirvesine-cikti\/"},"modified":"2026-06-26T10:58:25","modified_gmt":"2026-06-26T10:58:25","slug":"usd-chf-fed-snb-faiz-farkinin-etkisiyle-alti-seanslik-ralliyle-11-ayin-zirvesine-cikti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/usd-chf-fed-snb-faiz-farkinin-etkisiyle-alti-seanslik-ralliyle-11-ayin-zirvesine-cikti\/","title":{"rendered":"USD\/CHF, Fed-SNB faiz fark\u0131n\u0131n etkisiyle alt\u0131 seansl\u0131k ralliyle 11 ay\u0131n zirvesine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"

USD\/CHF, y\u00fckseli\u015fini \u00fcst \u00fcste alt\u0131nc\u0131 seansa ta\u015f\u0131yarak y\u0131lba\u015f\u0131ndan bu yana en y\u00fcksek seviyelere \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131 ve pariteyi 11 ay\u0131n zirvesi olan 0,8139\u2019a kadar ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131. Son i\u015flemlerde 0,8124 seviyesinde, %0,34 art\u0131da kotasyonland\u0131; yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n seans kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131nda izledi\u011fi 0,8100 e\u015fi\u011finin \u00fczerinde kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n\n

Momentum g\u00f6stergeleri y\u00fcksek seviyelerde kalmaya devam ediyor; G\u00f6receli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI) a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m b\u00f6lgesinde ancak h\u00e2l\u00e2 80\u2019in alt\u0131nda. 70\u201380 band\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015f trendinin en g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc alan\u0131 olarak tan\u0131mlan\u0131rken, 80 \u00fczeri okumalar piyasa tepe olu\u015fumlar\u0131n\u0131 i\u015faret etmek i\u00e7in kullan\u0131l\u0131yor. 0,8200\u2019nin a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 0,8215\u2019i (19 Haziran 2025 g\u00fcnl\u00fck zirvesi) g\u00fcndeme getirecek; ard\u0131ndan 0,8250 ve sonras\u0131nda 0,8300 izlenecek. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131da ise 0,8100 alt\u0131na geri d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f, oda\u011f\u0131 31 Mart\u2019taki sal\u0131n\u0131m zirvesi 0,8042\u2019ye \u00e7evirecek; bunun alt\u0131nda 0,8000 seviyesi bulunuyor. Haftal\u0131k y\u00fczde de\u011fi\u015fim tablosu, \u0130svi\u00e7re frang\u0131n\u0131n en g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc performans\u0131n\u0131 Yeni Zelanda dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda sergiledi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n\n

Temel Dinamikler ve Strateji<\/h3>\n\n

USD\/CHF\u2019de g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir y\u00fckseli\u015f trendi g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor; alt\u0131 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ralli sonras\u0131 parite 0,8100 \u00fczerinde i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Bu hareket, temelde ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) %5,50 politika faizi ile \u0130svi\u00e7re Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (SNB) son indirimin ard\u0131ndan %1,25\u2019e \u00e7ekti\u011fi faiz aras\u0131ndaki fark\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131yla destekleniyor. Bu faiz fark\u0131, ABD dolar\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131may\u0131 daha cazip k\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n

G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc momentum dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalar i\u00e7in al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131 stratejisi \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Beklenen devam hareketinden faydalanmak amac\u0131yla 0,8200 ve 0,8250 gibi bir sonraki diren\u00e7 seviyelerine yak\u0131n kullan\u0131m fiyatlar\u0131 hedefleniyor. Bu opsiyonlar, yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc potansiyeli korurken riski tan\u0131ml\u0131 tutuyor.<\/p>\n\n

RSI, Ekonomik Veriler ve Risk Y\u00f6netimi<\/h3>\n\n

RSI a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m b\u00f6lgesinde olsa da bu durum hemen bir sat\u0131\u015f sinyali olarak de\u011ferlendirilmiyor. Tarihsel olarak, bu t\u00fcr g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ve temellerle desteklenen trendlerde bir varl\u0131k uzun s\u00fcre a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131mda kalabiliyor. 0,8100 destek seviyesine do\u011fru olas\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 geri \u00e7ekilmeler, y\u00fckseli\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyonlara ekleme f\u0131rsat\u0131 olarak de\u011ferlendirilebilir.<\/p>\n\n

Ekonomik veriler de g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fc destekliyor: Son ABD enflasyon verileri yakla\u015f\u0131k %3,3 civar\u0131nda kalmaya devam ederek Fed\u2019in faiz indirimi konusunda isteksiz kalmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7\u0131yor. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k \u0130svi\u00e7re enflasyonu %1,4 ile \u00e7ok daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck; bu da SNB\u2019ye ilave gev\u015feme i\u00e7in alan sa\u011fl\u0131yor. Merkez bankas\u0131 politikalar\u0131ndaki bu ayr\u0131\u015fma, USD\/CHF\u2019deki y\u00fckseli\u015fin ana motoru konumunda.<\/p>\n\n

Risk y\u00f6netiminde 0,8100\u2019\u0131n alt\u0131na sarkma, momentumun zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131na dair ilk uyar\u0131 olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Parite, bir \u00f6nceki sal\u0131n\u0131m zirvesi olan 0,8042\u2019nin alt\u0131na net bi\u00e7imde inerse, koruyucu sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonlar\u0131 veya vadeli pozisyonlarda zarar-kes (stop-loss) emirleri de\u011ferlendirilebilir. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m, trendin beklenmedik \u015fekilde tersine d\u00f6nmesi durumunda sermayeyi korumaya yard\u0131mc\u0131 olur.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

USD\/CHF alt\u0131 seansl\u0131k ralliyle 11 ay\u0131n zirvesi 0,8139\u2019u test etti: Fed\u2013SNB faiz fark\u0131 dolar\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131yor. RSI a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131mda; 0,8200-0,8300 hedef, 0,8100\/0,8042 kritik.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49977,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50017","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50017","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=50017"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50017\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/49977"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=50017"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=50017"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=50017"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}