ABD Enerji Enformasyon \u0130daresi\u2019nin (EIA) 19 Haziran\u2019da sona eren haftaya ili\u015fkin verileri, ham petrol stoklar\u0131n\u0131n 6,088 milyon varil azald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi. Bu, piyasadaki 5,1 milyon varillik stok \u00e7ekili\u015fi beklentisiyle kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Beklentilerin \u00fczerindeki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f, s\u00f6z konusu d\u00f6nemde ham petrol dengesinin daha da s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. Veriler, ABD petrol piyasas\u0131nda k\u0131sa vadeli arz-talep ko\u015fullar\u0131na dair yeni bir g\u00f6sterge niteli\u011fi ta\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Ham petrol stoklar\u0131ndaki beklentilerin \u00fczerindeki azal\u0131\u015f\u0131, piyasa i\u00e7in net bir y\u00fckseli\u015f sinyali olarak de\u011ferlendiriyoruz. Bu durum, talebin arz\u0131 analistlerin fiyatlad\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bi\u00e7imde ge\u00e7ti\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. Bu da Temmuz\u2019a girerken fiziki piyasan\u0131n s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcz\u00fc destekliyor.<\/p>\n
Stok verisi, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir yaz s\u00fcr\u00fc\u015f sezonuna y\u00f6nelik \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclerle de \u00f6rt\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor; tarihsel olarak Haziran-A\u011fustos d\u00f6neminde yak\u0131t t\u00fcketimini art\u0131ran bir \u00f6r\u00fcnt\u00fc s\u00f6z konusu. Nitekim AAA\u2019n\u0131n yakla\u015fan 4 Temmuz tatil hafta sonuna ili\u015fkin son tahminleri, seyahat hacminin ge\u00e7en y\u0131la g\u00f6re %3,5 daha y\u00fcksek olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor; bu da benzin talebinin y\u00fcksek kalaca\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. Bu mevsimsel g\u00fc\u00e7, ham petrol fiyatlar\u0131 i\u00e7in sa\u011flam bir taban olu\u015fturmal\u0131.<\/p>\n
Arz taraf\u0131nda ise OPEC+ grubunun, \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrek boyunca mevcut \u00fcretim kotalar\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 yak\u0131n zamanda yeniden teyit etti\u011fini not ediyoruz. Buna ek olarak, Nijerya \u00fcretimindeki k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck ancak kal\u0131c\u0131 aksamalar, bu ay k\u00fcresel piyasadan g\u00fcnl\u00fck yakla\u015f\u0131k 150 bin varil arz\u0131 azaltm\u0131\u015f durumda. Bu unsurlar, yak\u0131n vadede arz tarafl\u0131 bir rahatlama olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede, g\u00fcc\u00fcn devam\u0131na pozisyon al\u0131yoruz ve geri \u00e7ekilmeleri al\u0131m f\u0131rsat\u0131 olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. A\u011fustos ve Eyl\u00fcl vadeli WTI vadeli i\u015flem kontratlar\u0131nda uzun pozisyonlara ekleme yapmay\u0131 de\u011ferlendiriyoruz. Z\u0131mni volatilitenin %28 ile \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 seviyede kalmas\u0131 nedeniyle al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131 da cazip g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor; bu da y\u00fckseli\u015f e\u011filimine ra\u011fmen opsiyonlar\u0131n hen\u00fcz a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 pahal\u0131 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Petrolde s\u00fcrpriz stok \u00e7ekili\u015fi: EIA verisine g\u00f6re ham petrol stoklar\u0131 6,1 milyon varil d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Yaz talebi, OPEC+ disip\u00adlini ve Nijerya kesintileri WTI\u2019da y\u00fckseli\u015fi destekler; geri \u00e7ekilmelerde al\u0131m \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49963,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49964","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t