\u00c7in Maliye Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131, Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada 46 ABD\u2019li firmay\u0131 hedef alan kamu al\u0131m\u0131 tedbirleri uygulayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirterek, al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n kamu ihale faaliyetlerinde s\u00f6z konusu \u015firketler taraf\u0131ndan \u00fcretilen \u00fcr\u00fcnleri sat\u0131n almas\u0131n\u0131 yasaklad\u0131. Ayr\u0131 bir ad\u0131mda ise yetkililer, ulusal g\u00fcvenlik ve \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131n korunmas\u0131 \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde, n\u00fckleer silahlar\u0131n yay\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6nlenmesi dahil uluslararas\u0131 y\u00fck\u00fcml\u00fcl\u00fcklerin yerine getirilmesi kapsam\u0131nda at\u0131lan ad\u0131mlar\u0131n par\u00e7as\u0131 olarak 10 ABD\u2019li kurulu\u015fu ihracat kontrol listesine ekleyeceklerini duyurdu.<\/p>\n
\u0130hracat kontrolleri, ihracat\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131n \u00e7ift kullan\u0131ml\u0131 \u00fcr\u00fcnleri 10 kurulu\u015fa sevk etmesini derhal yasakl\u0131yor ve bu kapsamda devam eden t\u00fcm ilgili ihracat i\u015flemlerinin de an\u0131nda durdurulmas\u0131 gerekiyor. Piyasalarda AUD\/USD, yaz\u0131m s\u0131ras\u0131nda g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde %0,08 art\u0131\u015fla 0,7015 seviyesindeydi.<\/p>\n
Bu ad\u0131m\u0131n, ABD-\u00c7in ticari s\u00fcrt\u00fc\u015fmelerinde belirgin bir t\u0131rman\u0131\u015fa i\u015faret etti\u011fini ve piyasalarda belirsizlik yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda t\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n, \u00f6zellikle yeni k\u0131s\u0131tlamalara do\u011frudan maruz kalan sekt\u00f6rlerde artan oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 beklemesi gerekiyor. Biz de buna, VIX gibi oynakl\u0131k endekslerini yak\u0131ndan izleyerek pozisyon al\u0131yoruz.<\/p>\n
Bu hamle, ABD Ticaret Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131\u2019n\u0131n Nisan 2026\u2019da \u00c7in\u2019e yar\u0131 iletken ekipman\u0131 sat\u0131\u015f\u0131na y\u00f6nelik k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131ran karar\u0131n\u0131 takip ediyor. ABD N\u00fcfus Say\u0131m B\u00fcrosu\u2019nun (US Census Bureau) son verileri, 2026\u2019n\u0131n 1. \u00e7eyre\u011finde ikili ticaretin y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda %4 geriledi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor; yeni tedbirlerin bu e\u011filimi daha da k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015ftirmesi muhtemel. Bu durum, daha y\u00fcksek ticaret geriliminin ya\u015fanaca\u011f\u0131 bir d\u00f6neme girdi\u011fimiz g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcz\u00fc g\u00fc\u00e7lendiriyor.<\/p>\n
Tarihsel olarak bu t\u00fcr misilleme ad\u0131mlar\u0131, 2018-2019 ticaret sava\u015f\u0131 d\u00f6neminde VIX\u2019in s\u0131k s\u0131k 20\u2019nin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc \u00fczere, keskin ve \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclemez piyasa dalgalanmalar\u0131 yarat\u0131r. Benzer bir desenin olu\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyoruz; bu da VIX al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131 gibi uzun oynakl\u0131k pozisyonlar\u0131n\u0131 cazip bir korunma (hedge) arac\u0131 haline getiriyor. Bu strateji, beklenen piyasa t\u00fcrb\u00fclans\u0131n\u0131n art\u0131\u015f\u0131ndan kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flama imk\u00e2n\u0131 sunar.<\/p>\n
Hisse endeksleri taraf\u0131nda bunu, ABD teknoloji ve sanayi hisseleri i\u00e7in a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir kataliz\u00f6r olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, bu sekt\u00f6rlerdeki olas\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 korunmak ya da d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe oynamak amac\u0131yla QQQ veya XLK gibi ETF\u2019ler \u00fczerinde sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonlar\u0131 almay\u0131 de\u011ferlendirebilir. Belirli firmalar\u0131n ihracat kontrol listelerine eklenmesi, opsiyonlarla y\u00f6netilebilecek do\u011frudan bir a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc risk olu\u015fturuyor.<\/p>\n
AUD\/USD paritesindeki ilk etapta s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 tepki muhtemelen ge\u00e7ici; zira Avustralya dolar\u0131 \u00c7in ekonomisinin sa\u011fl\u0131\u011f\u0131na ve k\u00fcresel risk i\u015ftah\u0131na y\u00fcksek derecede duyarl\u0131. Bu tedbirlerin sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 fiyatland\u0131k\u00e7a AUD \u00fczerinde a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131 bekliyoruz. Duyarl\u0131l\u0131kta bir de\u011fi\u015fimin \u00f6nc\u00fc g\u00f6stergesi olarak AUD\/USD sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonlar\u0131na talepte art\u0131\u015f olup olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 izleyece\u011fiz.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
\u015eok hamle: \u00c7in, 46 ABD\u2019li firmaya kamu al\u0131m\u0131 yasa\u011f\u0131 getirip 10 kurulu\u015fu ihracat kontrol listesine ald\u0131. Ticaret gerilimi t\u0131rman\u0131yor; VIX ve teknoloji hisselerinde oynakl\u0131k artarken AUD\/USD bask\u0131 g\u00f6rebilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47793,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49771","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49771","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49771"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49771\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47793"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49771"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49771"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49771"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}