USD\/CAD Kuzey Amerika seans\u0131nda y\u00fckseldi; Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc %0,27, haftal\u0131k bazda ise %1,34 art\u0131\u015f kaydeden parite, yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc e\u011filimini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc. G\u00fcn i\u00e7i 1,4131 dip seviyesinden tepki al\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan son olarak 1,4175\u2019te i\u015flem g\u00f6ren paritede fiyat hareketi net bir y\u00fckseli\u015f trendini korurken, piyasa k\u0131sa vadede 1,4200 seviyesinin testine haz\u0131rlan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Momentum g\u00f6stergeleri a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 gerilmi\u015f durumda. G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI) 70 a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m e\u015fi\u011finin \u00fczerinde ve 86,45 ile u\u00e7 seviyelere yak\u0131n seyrediyor; bu da geri \u00e7ekilme riskine i\u015faret ediyor. 1,4200 \u00fczerinde bir k\u0131r\u0131lmada, bir sonraki seviyeler 9 Nisan 2025 tarihli 1,4273 ve ard\u0131ndan 1 Nisan 2025 tarihli 1,4415 olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Parite 1,4150\u2019nin alt\u0131na sarkarsa, odak 1,4100\u2019e, ard\u0131ndan 11 Haziran tarihli 1,4024 ve 15 Haziran tarihli 1,3994 seviyelerine d\u00f6ner; daha a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da ise 10 Haziran tarihli 1,3899 g\u00fcndeme gelir.<\/p>\n
USD\/CAD\u2019de s\u00fcregelen g\u00fcc\u00fcn, b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde Kanada Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoC) ile ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed) aras\u0131ndaki para politikas\u0131 ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131ndan kaynakland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. May\u0131s 2026 verileri ABD enflasyonunun %3,1 ile diren\u00e7li kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, Kanada enflasyonunun ise %2,5\u2019e geriledi\u011fini g\u00f6sterdi; bu tablo BoC\u2019nin daha fazla faiz indirimi sinyali vermesine yol a\u00e7t\u0131. Bu temel arka plan, parite \u00fczerinde yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131y\u0131 canl\u0131 tutuyor.<\/p>\n
Parite \u015fu anda 2025 bahar\u0131nda \u00f6nemli bir e\u015fik oldu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fclen kritik 1,4200 direncini zorluyor. Trend belirgin \u015fekilde y\u00fckseli\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc olsa da RSI\u2019\u0131n ge\u00e7en y\u0131la benzer bi\u00e7imde a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m sinyalleri \u00fcretti\u011fini g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz; bu da konsolidasyon ya da geri \u00e7ekilme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. Bu kilit psikolojik bariyere yakla\u015f\u0131rken temkinli olunmas\u0131 gerekiyor.<\/p>\n
K\u0131r\u0131lma bekleyen yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar i\u00e7in, 1,4200 \u00fczeri kullan\u0131m fiyatlar\u0131na sahip al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n, 2025 zirveleri olan 1,4273 ve 1,4415\u2019e do\u011fru olas\u0131 bir hareketi yakalamak ad\u0131na uygulanabilir bir strateji oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Bull call spread kullan\u0131m\u0131, yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc senaryoya daha muhafazak\u00e2r bir \u015fekilde pozisyon almak i\u00e7in tercih edilebilir. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m riski s\u0131n\u0131rlar ve olas\u0131 bir ralliye kat\u0131l\u0131m sa\u011flar.<\/p>\n
Di\u011fer yandan, mevcut seviyelerden gelebilecek bir reddedilme pariteyi 1,4100 b\u00f6lgesine do\u011fru geri \u00e7ekebilir. A\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m okumalar\u0131 dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, k\u0131sa vadeli sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonlar\u0131 sat\u0131n almak, ge\u00e7ici bir d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 etkili bir korunma (hedge) ya da spek\u00fclatif bir hamle olabilir. 1,4150 alt\u0131nda kararl\u0131 bir k\u0131r\u0131lma, bu t\u00fcr bir hareket i\u00e7in ilk tetikleyici olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n
Ayr\u0131ca, k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcme endi\u015feleri nedeniyle WTI ham petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n bu ay varil ba\u015f\u0131na 75 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na gerilemesini de hesaba katmak gerekiyor. Tarihsel olarak petrol fiyatlar\u0131nda kal\u0131c\u0131 zay\u0131fl\u0131k, emtia ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 Kanada dolar\u0131n\u0131 bask\u0131lar. Bu da Temmuz\u2019a girerken USD\/CAD\u2019deki g\u00fc\u00e7lenme e\u011filimine ilave bir destek sa\u011fl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
USD\/CAD y\u00fckseli\u015fini koruyor: 1,4175\u2019te 1,4200 direnci g\u00fcndemde. RSI a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m, d\u00fczeltme riski art\u0131yor. Fed-BoC ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 ve zay\u0131f petrol, hedefleri 1,4273-1,4415\u2019e ta\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47731,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49749","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49749","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49749"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49749\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47731"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49749"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49749"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49749"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}