Sterlin, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) \u015fahin duru\u015funun ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131 desteklemesiyle Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc 1,3163 ile \u00fc\u00e7 ay\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesine geriledikten sonra dengelendi. ABD piyasalar\u0131n\u0131n bir tatil nedeniyle s\u0131\u011f kalmas\u0131yla GBP\/USD %0,18 toparlanarak 1,3226\u2019ya y\u00fckseldi; ancak parite yine de haftay\u0131 %1,25 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle kapatmaya haz\u0131rlan\u0131yordu. G\u00fcn\u00fcn erken saatlerinde ise \u00fcst \u00fcste \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc g\u00fcnde de zay\u0131f seyretti\u011fi belirtilen parite, Avrupa seans\u0131n\u0131n ilk b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcnde 1,3190 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc.<\/p>\n
\u0130ngiltere verileri, Ulusal \u0130statistik Ofisi\u2019ne (ONS) g\u00f6re perakende sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n May\u0131s\u2019ta ayl\u0131k bazda %1,2 artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve Nisan\u2019daki revize %1,0\u2019lik d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc tersine \u00e7evirdi\u011fini g\u00f6sterdi. Piyasa beklentisi %0,5 art\u0131\u015f y\u00f6n\u00fcndeydi. Yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc s\u00fcrprize ra\u011fmen, veri sonras\u0131 GBP\/USD dolar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda negatif b\u00f6lgede kalmaya devam etti.<\/p>\n
Sterlin\u2019in ABD dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda dar bir bantta tutundu\u011funu g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz; \u015fu anda 1,2450 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Son tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam raporunun 210 binlik g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir istihdam art\u0131\u015f\u0131 g\u00f6stermesiyle desteklenen diren\u00e7li ABD ekonomisi, dolar\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc tutmu\u015f durumda. Piyasa, her iki ekonominin de kar\u015f\u0131t g\u00fc\u00e7 unsurlar\u0131n\u0131 sindiriyor gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Atlantik\u2019in bu yakas\u0131nda ise May\u0131s ay\u0131 i\u00e7in a\u00e7\u0131klanan %3,1\u2019lik son Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k enflasyon verisi, \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131 (BoE) zor bir pozisyonda b\u0131rak\u0131yor. Bu oran, ge\u00e7en \u00e7eyrekte g\u00f6r\u00fclen %3,5\u2019e k\u0131yasla bir iyile\u015fmeye i\u015faret etse de, h\u00e2len merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n hedefinin inat\u00e7\u0131 bi\u00e7imde \u00fczerinde. Bu durum, yak\u0131n vadede faiz indirimi ihtimalini olduk\u00e7a d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck k\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Bu kar\u015f\u0131t g\u00fc\u00e7ler dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda GBP\/USD\u2019de oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n bask\u0131l\u0131 kalabilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. T\u00fcrev i\u015flemleri yapanlar a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan bu, oynakl\u0131k satman\u0131n uygulanabilir bir strateji olabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. 1,2300 ile 1,2600 aras\u0131nda olas\u0131 bir yatay bant piyasas\u0131ndan faydalanmak i\u00e7in k\u0131sa strangle gibi stratejileri de\u011ferlendiriyoruz.<\/p>\n
Paritenin, politika dinamiklerinin farkl\u0131 oldu\u011fu d\u00f6nemlerde 1,3200 seviyesi gibi \u00e7ok daha y\u00fcksek d\u00fczeyleri g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc hat\u0131rlamakta fayda var. Ayr\u0131ca 2022\u2019nin sonlar\u0131nda 1,03\u2019e yak\u0131n seviyelere sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f, paritenin merkez bankas\u0131 s\u00fcrprizlerine hassasiyetini ortaya koymu\u015ftu. Bu ge\u00e7mi\u015f, beklenmedik herhangi bir verinin mevcut sakinli\u011fi h\u0131zla bozabilece\u011fi ger\u00e7e\u011fiyle temkinli kalmam\u0131z gerekti\u011fini hat\u0131rlat\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Sterlin, Fed\u2019in \u015fahinli\u011fiyle \u00fc\u00e7 ay\u0131n dibinden toparlansa da haftay\u0131 ekside kapat\u0131yor. G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD verileri dolar\u0131 desteklerken, s\u00fcrpriz UK perakende art\u0131\u015f\u0131 yetmedi; yatay bant\/oynakl\u0131k sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 g\u00fcndemde.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47853,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49742","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49742","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49742"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49742\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47853"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49742"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49742"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49742"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}