Reuters, cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc \u00fcst d\u00fczey bir ABD\u2019li yetkiliye dayand\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 haberinde, \u0130srail ile Hizbullah\u2019\u0131n yerel saatle 16.00\u2019da ba\u015flayacak bir ate\u015fkes \u00fczerinde anla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bildirdi. Haberde, d\u00fczenlemenin daha \u00f6nceki bir kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 ate\u015f al\u0131\u015fveri\u015finin ard\u0131ndan geldi\u011fi ve \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n deste\u011fiyle ABD ve Katarl\u0131 temsilciler taraf\u0131ndan m\u00fczakere edildi\u011fi belirtildi.<\/p>\n
Piyasalarda, man\u015fetin ard\u0131ndan ABD Dolar Endeksi s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 geriledi. Endeks g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde en son %0,05 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 100,75 seviyesinde izlendi.<\/p>\n
Bu ate\u015fkes haberiyle birlikte, ham petroldeki jeopolitik risk priminin h\u0131zla eridi\u011fini g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Daha geni\u015f bir \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma endi\u015feleriyle yak\u0131n d\u00f6nemde varil ba\u015f\u0131na 95 dolara do\u011fru t\u0131rmanan petrol fiyatlar\u0131, art\u0131k a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131yla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fmal\u0131. Son EIA verilerinin k\u00fcresel stoklar\u0131n istikrar\u0131n\u0131 korudu\u011funu g\u00f6stermesi dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, WTI ham petrol vadeli i\u015flemlerinde k\u0131sa pozisyon alarak fiyatlar\u0131n yeniden temellere dayal\u0131 seviyelere d\u00f6nmesine pozisyonlan\u0131yoruz.<\/p>\n
Piyasada, CBOE Volatilite Endeksi\u2019nin (VIX) 18\u2019in \u00fczerinde seyretti\u011fi d\u00f6nemde y\u00fckselen z\u0131mni volatilitenin, gerilimin azalmas\u0131yla sert \u015fekilde d\u00fc\u015fmesi bekleniyor. Tarihsel olarak Orta Do\u011fu gerilimlerinin hafiflemesi sonras\u0131 piyasalarda g\u00f6r\u00fclen ralli \u00f6r\u00fcnt\u00fclerine benzer \u015fekilde, hisse senetlerine risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131n geri d\u00f6nmesini \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Bu nedenle VIX vadeli i\u015flemlerini sat\u0131yor ve beklenen \u201crahatlama rallisi\u201dnden yararlanmak i\u00e7in ayn\u0131 anda S&P 500 \u00fczerinde al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131 sat\u0131n al\u0131yoruz.<\/p>\n
Alt\u0131n ve ABD dolar\u0131 gibi g\u00fcvenli liman varl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda cazibesinin azalmas\u0131 bekleniyor. Son CFTC raporlar\u0131, uzun spek\u00fclatif pozisyonlarda belirgin bir birikime i\u015faret ederek bu i\u015flemlerin kalabal\u0131kla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve tersine d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fe a\u00e7\u0131k oldu\u011funu g\u00f6sterdi. Ons ba\u015f\u0131na 2.500 dolar civar\u0131ndaki son zirveye t\u0131rman\u0131\u015fta temel itici g\u00fcc\u00fcn sava\u015f kaynakl\u0131 korku olmas\u0131 nedeniyle, alt\u0131n ETF\u2019lerinde sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonlar\u0131 almay\u0131 de\u011ferlendiriyoruz.<\/p>\n
Bu haber do\u011frultusunda sekt\u00f6r bazl\u0131 pozisyonlar\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 da yeniden ayarl\u0131yoruz. Son \u00e7eyrekte geni\u015f piyasaya g\u00f6re %12\u2019nin \u00fczerinde daha iyi performans g\u00f6steren savunma sekt\u00f6r\u00fc hisseleri, sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonlar\u0131 \u00fczerinden k\u0131sa pozisyon i\u00e7in \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan adaylar h\u00e2line geldi. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, kilit deniz ticaret rotalar\u0131nda sigorta ve navlun maliyetlerinin gerilemesini bekliyor; bu nedenle b\u00fcy\u00fck lojistik ve ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131k ETF\u2019lerinde al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 cazip bir strateji olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Fla\u015f ate\u015fkes: \u0130srail-Hizbullah 16.00\u2019da silahlar\u0131 susturuyor. Dolar endeksi hafif geri \u00e7ekilirken petrol risk primi eriyor; VIX\u2019te d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f, S&P 500\u2019de ralli; alt\u0131n\/dolarda \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclme, savunma zay\u0131flar.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47644,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49729","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49729","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49729"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49729\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47644"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49729"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49729"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49729"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}