{"id":49717,"date":"2026-06-19T16:42:10","date_gmt":"2026-06-19T16:42:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/hawkish-fedin-dolar-endeksini-bir-yilin-zirvesine-tasimasiyla-eur-usd-geriledi\/"},"modified":"2026-06-19T16:42:10","modified_gmt":"2026-06-19T16:42:10","slug":"hawkish-fedin-dolar-endeksini-bir-yilin-zirvesine-tasimasiyla-eur-usd-geriledi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/hawkish-fedin-dolar-endeksini-bir-yilin-zirvesine-tasimasiyla-eur-usd-geriledi\/","title":{"rendered":"Hawkish Fed\u2019in Dolar Endeksi\u2019ni Bir Y\u0131l\u0131n Zirvesine Ta\u015f\u0131mas\u0131yla EUR\/USD Geriledi"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>EUR\/USD, ABD Dolar Endeksi\u2019nin (DXY) Federal Rezerv\u2019in faizleri <strong>\u015fahin<\/strong> bir tonla sabit tutmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan <strong>bir y\u0131l\u0131n zirvesine<\/strong> y\u00fckselmesiyle d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc derinle\u015ftirdi. DXY seans\u0131 <strong>100,85<\/strong> seviyesinde, <strong>%0,76<\/strong> art\u0131\u015fla tamamlarken; euro <strong>1,1456<\/strong>\u2019ya gerileyerek <strong>%0,37<\/strong> d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f kaydetti. Hareket, piyasalar\u0131n ilave faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 ihtimalini fiyatlamas\u0131yla dolarda g\u00f6r\u00fclen daha geni\u015f \u00e7apl\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lenmenin ard\u0131ndan geldi.<\/p>\n<p>Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nde fiyatlamalar, Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131 (ECB) Ba\u015fekonomisti Philip Lane\u2019in n\u00f6tr faizin <strong>%2,5<\/strong> kadar y\u00fcksek olabilece\u011fine i\u015faret eden a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131ndan da etkilendi. Ayr\u0131 olarak, piyasalar diren\u00e7li ABD verilerini de\u011ferlendirirken risk i\u015ftah\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde iyile\u015fti; istihdam ve harcama g\u00f6stergeleri k\u0131sa vadeli tahvil getirilerini y\u00fcksek tutarak dolar\u0131 destekledi. Euroya y\u00f6nelik alg\u0131 ise Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki arz g\u00fczerg\u00e2h\u0131 kesintileriyle ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131, enerji kaynakl\u0131 s\u00fcregelen fiyat \u015fokunun bask\u0131s\u0131 alt\u0131nda kald\u0131.<\/p>\n<h3>Dolar G\u00fcc\u00fc ve EUR\/USD\u2019de A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 Y\u00f6nl\u00fc Strateji<\/h3>\n<p>ABD dolar\u0131ndaki g\u00fc\u00e7 ve Fed\u2019in \u015fahin duru\u015fu dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda EUR\/USD paritesinde a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcrmesini bekliyoruz. Temel stratejinin dolar lehine pozisyonlanmak oldu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcndeyiz; bu da EUR\/USD \u00fczerinde <strong>put opsiyonu<\/strong> almay\u0131 i\u00e7eriyor. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m, beklenen d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften faydalanmam\u0131za imk\u00e2n verirken azami riskimizi net bi\u00e7imde tan\u0131mlamam\u0131z\u0131 sa\u011flar.<\/p>\n<h3>Ekonomik Ayr\u0131\u015fma ve Piyasaya Etkileri<\/h3>\n<p>Fed\u2019in duru\u015fu, g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc destekleyen g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ekonomik veriler taraf\u0131ndan besleniyor. May\u0131s 2026\u2019ya ili\u015fkin son Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam (NFP) raporu, ABD ekonomisinin beklentilerin \u00fczerinde <strong>265 bin<\/strong> istihdam yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterirken, son T\u00dcFE verisi <strong>%3,6<\/strong> ile kat\u0131 seyrini koruyor. Kal\u0131c\u0131l\u0131k g\u00f6steren enflasyon ve g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc istihdam piyasas\u0131, Fed\u2019e faizleri \u201cuzun s\u00fcre y\u00fcksek\u201d tutma politikas\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmek i\u00e7in a\u00e7\u0131k bir zemin sa\u011fl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>Buna kar\u015f\u0131n Euro B\u00f6lgesi ekonomisi yava\u015flama sinyalleri veriyor ve bu durum ECB\u2019nin planlar\u0131n\u0131 zorla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor. ECB yetkilileri daha y\u00fcksek faiz ihtiyac\u0131ndan bahsetse de, Almanya\u2019n\u0131n son sanayi \u00fcretimi verileri s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir daralmaya i\u015faret ederken, blok genelinde i\u015f d\u00fcnyas\u0131 g\u00fcveni zay\u0131flad\u0131. G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD ekonomisi ile k\u0131r\u0131lgan Avrupa ekonomisi aras\u0131ndaki bu ayr\u0131\u015fman\u0131n euronun performans\u0131n\u0131 bask\u0131lamas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n<p>Bu tablo, 2022 boyunca dolar\u0131 yukar\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131yan politika ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 hat\u0131rlat\u0131yor. Trendin teyidi i\u00e7in bir sonraki ABD enflasyon verisi ile perakende sat\u0131\u015f verilerini yak\u0131ndan izleyece\u011fiz. Bu arada, EUR\/USD\u2019de k\u0131sa vadeli y\u00fckseli\u015flerin yeni k\u0131sa pozisyon a\u00e7mak veya mevcut pozisyonlara eklemek i\u00e7in f\u0131rsat sundu\u011fu kanaatindeyiz.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Fed\u2019in \u015fahin faiz karar\u0131 DXY\u2019yi bir y\u0131l\u0131n zirvesine ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131; EUR\/USD 1,1456\u2019ya indi. G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD verileri dolar\u0131 desteklerken, Euro B\u00f6lgesi zay\u0131f. Strateji: put opsiyonu, rallilerde k\u0131sa.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47700,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49717","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49717","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49717"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49717\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47700"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49717"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49717"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49717"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}