{"id":49694,"date":"2026-06-16T12:34:36","date_gmt":"2026-06-16T12:34:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/abd-iran-geriliminin-azalmasiyla-altin-5-toparlandi-gozler-fed-toplantisi-ve-kritik-direnc-seviyelerinde\/"},"modified":"2026-06-16T12:34:36","modified_gmt":"2026-06-16T12:34:36","slug":"abd-iran-geriliminin-azalmasiyla-altin-5-toparlandi-gozler-fed-toplantisi-ve-kritik-direnc-seviyelerinde","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/abd-iran-geriliminin-azalmasiyla-altin-5-toparlandi-gozler-fed-toplantisi-ve-kritik-direnc-seviyelerinde\/","title":{"rendered":"ABD-\u0130ran geriliminin azalmas\u0131yla alt\u0131n %5 toparland\u0131; g\u00f6zler Fed toplant\u0131s\u0131 ve kritik diren\u00e7 seviyelerinde"},"content":{"rendered":"

ABD\u2013\u0130ran geriliminin azalmas\u0131yla petrol kaynakl\u0131 enflasyon ve faiz \u015fokunun \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclmesi alt\u0131na yakla\u015f\u0131k %5\u2019lik bir toparlanma getirdi. Bu hamle enerji fiyatlar\u0131 ve tahvil getirilerinden gelen bask\u0131n\u0131n bir k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131 hafifletse de, FOMC \u00f6ncesinde k\u0131sa vadeli ivmenin yava\u015flamas\u0131 bekleniyor; zira dikkat ba\u015fl\u0131klardan, olas\u0131 bir ABD\u2013\u0130ran anla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n detaylar\u0131na kay\u0131yor. \u0130lave y\u00fckseli\u015fin ise daha yumu\u015fak petrol fiyatlar\u0131na, daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck getirilerin s\u00fcrmesine ve Fed\u2019in \u015fahin yeniden fiyatlamas\u0131n\u0131n zirve yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131na dair daha net kan\u0131tlara ba\u011fl\u0131 oldu\u011fu belirtiliyor.<\/p>\n

Teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde diren\u00e7 4,394 seviyesinde; bu nokta 2026 zirvesinden dibe %23,6 Fibonacci d\u00fczeltmesi olarak tan\u0131mlan\u0131yor. 4,450 seviyesi 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalamaya (200 DMA), 4,580 ise 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalamaya (50 DMA) denk geliyor. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131n\u0131n azalmas\u0131 i\u00e7in bu seviyelerin \u00fczerinde kal\u0131c\u0131 bir toparlanman\u0131n gerekli oldu\u011fu, aksi halde y\u00fckseli\u015flerin d\u00fczeltme niteli\u011finde kalabilece\u011fi ifade ediliyor. Destekler 4,200 ve son dip olan 4,024 olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131karken, Per\u015fembe g\u00fcnk\u00fc FOMC\u2019nin faiz beklentileri i\u00e7in bir sonraki kataliz\u00f6r oldu\u011fu vurgulan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Jeopolitik ve Makro De\u011fi\u015fimler Ortam\u0131nda Alt\u0131n G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc<\/h3>\n

ABD ile \u0130ran aras\u0131ndaki tansiyonun d\u00fc\u015fmesiyle alt\u0131n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k %5 toparland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rd\u00fck. Bu durum petrol fiyatlar\u0131 ve s\u00fcrpriz faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 endi\u015felerinden kaynaklanan bask\u0131n\u0131n bir k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131 azaltt\u0131. Ancak bu yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketin, bu haftaki Federal Rezerv toplant\u0131s\u0131na yakla\u015ft\u0131k\u00e7a ivme kaybedebilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz.<\/p>\n

Bu Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc Fed\u2019den gelecek a\u00e7\u0131klama, takvimimizdeki en \u00f6nemli g\u00fcndem maddesi. Alt\u0131n\u0131n ger\u00e7ekten daha yukar\u0131 gidebilmesi i\u00e7in, merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n agresif faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fcn zirve yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131na dair daha net sinyallere ihtiya\u00e7 var. A\u00e7\u0131klama \u00f6ncesindeki belirsizlik dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, straddle gibi volatiliteyi opsiyonlarla de\u011ferlendirme stratejisinin temkinli bir yakla\u015f\u0131m olabilece\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcndeyiz.<\/p>\n

Temel Piyasa S\u00fcr\u00fcc\u00fcleri: Petrol, Getiriler ve Teknik Seviyeler<\/h3>\n

Enflasyon endi\u015felerinin kilit belirleyicisi oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 da yak\u0131ndan izliyoruz. WTI ham petrol son iki haftada 95 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinden varil ba\u015f\u0131na yakla\u015f\u0131k 87 dolara geriledi; bu da alt\u0131na belirgin \u015fekilde destek verdi. Alt\u0131n rallisinin devam\u0131 i\u00e7in petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n istikrarl\u0131 kalmas\u0131 veya daha da yumu\u015famas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz.<\/p>\n

Bizim i\u00e7in yapbozun di\u011fer kritik par\u00e7as\u0131 tahvil getirileri. 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k ABD Hazine tahvili getirisi yak\u0131n d\u00f6nemdeki %4,75 zirvesinden yakla\u015f\u0131k %4,50 seviyesine gerileyerek getiri ta\u015f\u0131mayan alt\u0131n\u0131 bir miktar daha cazip hale getirdi. Fed toplant\u0131s\u0131 sonras\u0131 getirilerde ilave d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f, metal i\u00e7in g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir y\u00fckseli\u015f sinyali olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Do\u011fru sinyallerin gelmesi halinde, \u00f6nce 4,394 direncinin, ard\u0131ndan da 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalama civar\u0131ndaki 4,450 seviyesinin \u00fczerinde kal\u0131c\u0131 bir atak arayaca\u011f\u0131z. Bu seviyelerin a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131, bir sonraki diren\u00e7 olan 4,580\u2019i hedefleyen al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendirmemizi te\u015fvik edebilir. Bu, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131n\u0131n azald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 teyit edecektir.<\/p>\n

Di\u011fer taraftan, ralli ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z olursa 4,200 seviyesinde g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir destek g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Bu seviyenin alt\u0131na sarkma, son toparlanman\u0131n yaln\u0131zca ge\u00e7ici bir d\u00fczeltme oldu\u011funa i\u015faret eden d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f sinyali olacakt\u0131r. Bu durumda, pozisyonlar\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 korumak veya 4,024\u2019teki son dip seviyesine do\u011fru bir hareketten faydalanmak i\u00e7in sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendirebiliriz.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

ABD\u2013\u0130ran tansiyonu d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc, alt\u0131n %5 toparland\u0131; petrol ve getiriler bask\u0131s\u0131 hafifledi. Ancak FOMC \u00f6ncesi ivme zay\u0131flayabilir. Diren\u00e7ler 4,394-4,450-4,580; destek 4,200\/4,024. Y\u00fckseli\u015f i\u00e7in petrol yumu\u015famas\u0131, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck getiriler.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47833,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49694","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49694","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49694"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49694\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47833"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49694"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49694"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49694"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}