AUD\/USD, 0,7071\u2019e y\u00fckseldikten sonra y\u00f6n de\u011fi\u015ftirerek 0,7005\u2019e geriledi ve seans\u0131 %0,25 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 0,7027\u2019de tamamlad\u0131. Fiyat hareketi a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentumu bir miktar daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc b\u0131rak\u0131rken, k\u0131sa vadeli i\u015flem parametreleri 0,7040 ve 0,7060 diren\u00e7leriyle tan\u0131ml\u0131 kal\u0131yor. Parite 0,7060 alt\u0131nda bask\u0131lanmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcrse 0,7000\u2019i test edebilir; ancak bu seviyenin alt\u0131na kal\u0131c\u0131 bir sarkma yak\u0131n vadede i\u015faret edilmiyor.<\/p>\n
Bir ila \u00fc\u00e7 haftal\u0131k perspektifte \u00f6nceki referans noktalar\u0131, \u00e7apraz\u0131n psikolojik taban olan 0,7000\u2019e do\u011fru hareket etmeye ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcre\u00e7te 04 Haziran\u2019daki 0,7135 spot seviyesi ve 08 Haziran\u2019daki 0,7040 spot seviyesi olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yordu. 0,7005 dip sonras\u0131 momentumun h\u0131zlanmamas\u0131yla, ilave geri \u00e7ekilmeler 0,7000\u2019in alt\u0131na k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m ve bu seviyenin alt\u0131nda tutunmaya ba\u011fl\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Diren\u00e7 0,7105\u2019ten revize edilerek 0,7085\u2019e \u00e7ekilirken, 0,7000\u2019in alt\u0131ndaki bir sonraki seviye 0,6975.<\/p>\n
—<\/p>\n
Bug\u00fcn, 10 Haziran 2026 itibar\u0131yla Avustralya dolar\u0131n\u0131n ABD dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda kritik 0,7000 destek seviyesini test etti\u011fini g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentum kademeli bi\u00e7imde g\u00fc\u00e7leniyor; bu da \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131lma ihtimaline i\u015faret ediyor. Kal\u0131c\u0131 bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f hen\u00fcz kesin de\u011fil; ancak risk dengesi belirgin \u015fekilde a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc tarafta.<\/p>\n
Aussie \u00fczerindeki bu bask\u0131, son ekonomik veriler ve merkez bankas\u0131 mesajlar\u0131yla da kuvvetleniyor. Avustralya\u2019da a\u00e7\u0131klanan son \u00e7eyreklik enflasyon verisi %3,1 ile piyasa beklentilerinin bir miktar alt\u0131nda kald\u0131 ve Avustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (RBA) ilave faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131na gidece\u011fine dair beklentileri zay\u0131flatt\u0131. \u00d6te yandan, Avustralya\u2019n\u0131n kilit ihracat kalemi olan demir cevheri fiyatlar\u0131 ton ba\u015f\u0131na 100 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na gerileyerek k\u00fcresel imalat talebine ili\u015fkin endi\u015feleri yans\u0131tt\u0131.<\/p>\n
Paritenin di\u011fer taraf\u0131nda ise ABD dolar\u0131, g\u00f6rece \u015fahin bir Fed\u2019in deste\u011fini koruyor. Ge\u00e7en haftaki ABD istihdam raporu i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131nda dayan\u0131kl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6sterdi; bu da yetkililere k\u0131sa vadede faiz indirimini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmek i\u00e7in s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 gerek\u00e7e b\u0131rak\u0131yor. \u0130ki merkez bankas\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki bu politika ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131, AUD\/USD\u2019deki mevcut zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131n ana itici g\u00fcc\u00fc konumunda.<\/p>\n
—<\/p>\n
\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalar i\u00e7in 0,7000\u2019in alt\u0131na olas\u0131 bir a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131lma senaryosuna pozisyon al\u0131yoruz. Stratejilerden biri, bu seviyede ya da hemen alt\u0131nda (\u00f6rne\u011fin 0,6975) kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 ve vadesi temmuz ba\u015f\u0131 olan sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonlar\u0131 almak. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m, deste\u011fin k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 halinde getiri potansiyeli sunarken riski \u00f6nceden tan\u0131ml\u0131 tutar.<\/p>\n
Gelir elde etmeyi hedefleyenler i\u00e7in alternatif bir y\u00f6ntem, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc 0,7085 diren\u00e7 seviyesinin \u00fczerinde kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131 satmak olabilir. Bu strateji zaman de\u011feri erimesinden faydalan\u0131r ve olas\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015flerin s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalaca\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcne dayan\u0131r. Bu t\u00fcr bir i\u015flemde riski s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131rmak i\u00e7in ay\u0131 (bear) call spread de kullan\u0131labilir.<\/p>\n
Tarihsel olarak 0,7000 gibi maj\u00f6r psikolojik seviyeler k\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, stop-loss emirlerinin devreye girmesiyle sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n h\u0131zlanabildi\u011fini g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Benzer bir \u00f6r\u00fcnt\u00fc 2022 sonlar\u0131nda, kritik bir deste\u011fin k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan izleyen haftalarda birka\u00e7 sentlik d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe yol a\u00e7m\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Bu emsal, 0,7000\u2019in alt\u0131nda net bir k\u0131r\u0131lman\u0131n daha geni\u015f \u00f6l\u00e7ekli bir a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 hareketin \u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7abilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
AUD\/USD\u2019de kritik e\u015fik: Parite 0,7071\u2019den d\u00f6n\u00fcp 0,7027\u2019de kapand\u0131; 0,7060 alt\u0131nda bask\u0131 s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. 0,7000 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa 0,6975 g\u00fcndemde; RBA-Fed ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f riskini art\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47780,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49656","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49656","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49656"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49656\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47780"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49656"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49656"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49656"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}