{"id":49641,"date":"2026-06-10T09:06:27","date_gmt":"2026-06-10T09:06:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/sterlin-abd-tufe-ingiltere-gsyhsi-ve-boe-faiz-beklentilerinin-gundemin-merkezine-oturmasiyla-13390a-yakin-gucleniyor\/"},"modified":"2026-06-10T09:06:27","modified_gmt":"2026-06-10T09:06:27","slug":"sterlin-abd-tufe-ingiltere-gsyhsi-ve-boe-faiz-beklentilerinin-gundemin-merkezine-oturmasiyla-13390a-yakin-gucleniyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/sterlin-abd-tufe-ingiltere-gsyhsi-ve-boe-faiz-beklentilerinin-gundemin-merkezine-oturmasiyla-13390a-yakin-gucleniyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Sterlin, ABD T\u00dcFE, \u0130ngiltere GSYH\u2019si ve BoE faiz beklentilerinin g\u00fcndemin merkezine oturmas\u0131yla 1,3390\u2019a yak\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7leniyor"},"content":{"rendered":"

GBP\/USD, \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc erken Avrupa i\u015flemlerinde 1,3390 civar\u0131nda daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc seyretti. Piyasalar\u0131n oda\u011f\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fcn ilerleyen saatlerinde a\u00e7\u0131klanacak ABD May\u0131s T\u00dcFE verisine ve Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc gelecek ayl\u0131k Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k GSYH rakamlar\u0131na \u00e7evrildi. Bank of England (BoE) politikas\u0131na ili\u015fkin piyasa fiyatlamas\u0131 de\u011fi\u015fti: Daha \u00f6nce bu y\u0131l iki faiz indirimiyle oran\u0131n %3,25\u2019e gerilemesi beklenirken, CNBC\u2019ye g\u00f6re projeksiyonlar art\u0131k Aral\u0131k \u00f6ncesinde 25 baz puanl\u0131k bir art\u0131\u015fa i\u015faret ediyor. Ayr\u0131 bir arka plan notuna g\u00f6re sterlinin k\u00f6keni MS 886\u2019ya dayan\u0131yor; 2022 verileri ise sterlinin k\u00fcresel d\u00f6viz piyasas\u0131 i\u015flem hacminin %12\u2019sini olu\u015fturdu\u011funu ve g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalama 630 milyar dolarl\u0131k hacme kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k geldi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. Bu toplam i\u00e7inde GBP\/USD, d\u00f6viz i\u015flemlerinin %11\u2019ini temsil ederken, GBP\/JPY %3 ve EUR\/GBP %2 pay al\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

\u0130ran\u2019\u0131n D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakan\u0131 Abbas Araghchi\u2019nin, K\u00f6rfez\u2019deki kom\u015fu \u00fclkelerin Amerikan ve \u0130srail sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 engellemek konusunda \u201chukuki ve ahlaki sorumlulu\u011fu\u201d bulundu\u011funu s\u00f6ylemesinin ard\u0131ndan jeopolitik geli\u015fmeler de g\u00fcndemdeydi. Bu a\u00e7\u0131klama, bir g\u00fcn \u00f6nce H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 yak\u0131nlar\u0131nda bir taarruz helikopterinin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclmesini takiben ABD\u2019nin Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc misilleme niteli\u011finde ad\u0131m atmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan geldi. D\u00f6viz piyasalar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan sterlinin temel i\u00e7 dinami\u011fi, fiyat istikrar\u0131n\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131k %2 enflasyon hedefi etraf\u0131nda faiz ayarlamalar\u0131yla sa\u011flamay\u0131 ama\u00e7layan BoE para politikas\u0131 olmaya devam ediyor. ABD taraf\u0131nda ise beklentiden y\u00fcksek bir T\u00dcFE okumas\u0131, Fed\u2019in daha s\u0131k\u0131 politika izleyece\u011fine y\u00f6nelik beklentileri art\u0131rarak dolar\u0131 destekleyebilir. Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k\u2019ta GSYH, PMI\u2019lar, istihdam ve d\u0131\u015f ticaret dengesi gibi veriler de sterlinin y\u00f6n\u00fcnde belirleyici oluyor.<\/p>\n

GBP\/USD\u2019yi S\u00fcr\u00fckleyen Temel Ekonomik Veriler<\/h3>\n

Bug\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131klanacak ABD T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi (T\u00dcFE) verisini yak\u0131ndan izliyoruz; g\u00fcn\u00fcn ana g\u00fcndemi bu veri. Beklentiler, y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda %3,5 art\u0131\u015fa i\u015faret ediyor; bu da ge\u00e7en ayki %3,4 seviyesinin hafif \u00fczerinde. Beklentilerin \u00fczerinde (daha \u201cs\u0131cak\u201d) gelecek bir veri, Fed\u2019in faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendirmesi y\u00f6n\u00fcnde bask\u0131 yaratabilece\u011finden ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131 belirgin \u015fekilde g\u00fc\u00e7lendirebilir.<\/p>\n

Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanacak Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k GSYH verisi, sterlinin y\u00f6n\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan kritik olacak. Ge\u00e7en ayki s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 %0,2 b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin ard\u0131ndan daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir veri, piyasan\u0131n son d\u00f6nemde BoE\u2019nin y\u0131l\u0131n ilerleyen d\u00f6neminde faiz art\u0131rabilece\u011fi y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki fiyatlamas\u0131n\u0131 destekleyebilir. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k zay\u0131f bir veri, bu \u015fahin (hawkish) bak\u0131\u015f\u0131 zorlayarak GBP\/USD\u2019yi a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekebilir.<\/p>\n

Jeopolitik Gerilimler ve Piyasa Oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131<\/h3>\n

S\u00fcren ABD-\u0130ran \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 riskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f e\u011filimini art\u0131ran bir ortam yarat\u0131yor; bu da genellikle sterlinin yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc potansiyelini s\u0131n\u0131rlar. Son bir haftada CBOE Volatilite Endeksi\u2019nin (VIX) %15 y\u00fckselmesi, piyasa korkusunun artt\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. Tarihsel olarak bu t\u00fcr jeopolitik gerilimler \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d talebini art\u0131rarak sterlin gibi para birimleri aleyhine ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131 destekler.<\/p>\n

\u00c7eli\u015fkili sinyaller ve kritik veri ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n y\u00fcksek kalmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyoruz. GBP\/USD opsiyonlar\u0131nda 1 haftal\u0131k ima edilen volatilite zaten %12\u2019ye y\u00fckselmi\u015f durumda; bu, T\u00dcFE ve GSYH verileri etraf\u0131ndaki belirsizli\u011fi yans\u0131t\u0131yor. Bu tablo, belirli bir y\u00f6ne bahis oynamadan olas\u0131 fiyat hareketlerini i\u015flemeye y\u00f6nelik uzun straddle veya strangle gibi stratejilerin etkili olabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

GBP\/USD 1,3390\u2019da g\u00fc\u00e7lenirken g\u00f6zler ABD May\u0131s T\u00dcFE ve Cuma UK GSYH\u2019da. BoE fiyatlamas\u0131 \u015fahinle\u015fti. Jeopolitik risk, VIX art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ve y\u00fcksek implied volatilite piyasada oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 k\u00f6r\u00fckl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47666,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49641","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49641","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49641"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49641\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47666"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49641"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49641"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49641"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}