EUR\/USD, \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc Asya i\u015flemlerinin erken saatlerinde, Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da t\u0131rmanan yeni gerilimlerin Euro \u00fczerinde ABD Dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda bask\u0131 yaratmas\u0131yla 1,1540 seviyesine do\u011fru geriledi. Piyasalar\u0131n oda\u011f\u0131 \u015fimdi, parite i\u00e7in k\u0131sa vadeli fiyatlamay\u0131 \u015fekillendirmesi beklenen ve \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc ilerleyen saatlerde a\u00e7\u0131klanacak ABD May\u0131s T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi (T\u00dcFE) verilerine \u00e7evrildi.<\/p>\n
ABD\u2019li yetkililer, Axios\u2019a g\u00f6re, \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc erken saatlerde \u0130ran\u2019da hava savunma ve radar sistemlerini hedef alan ikinci bir sald\u0131r\u0131 dalgas\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc belirtti. Bu g\u00fcncelleme, Washington\u2019un bir g\u00fcn \u00f6nce H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 yak\u0131nlar\u0131nda bir ABD taarruz helikopterinin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclmesine \u201corant\u0131l\u0131 yan\u0131t\u201d olarak niteledi\u011fi Sal\u0131 g\u00fcnk\u00fc misilleme sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan geldi. T\u0131rman\u0131\u015f, g\u00fcvenli liman talebiyle Dolar\u2019a deste\u011fi art\u0131r\u0131rken, Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (ECB) 11 Haziran toplant\u0131s\u0131nda politika faizlerini 25 baz puan art\u0131raca\u011f\u0131 beklentisi Euro i\u00e7in k\u0131smi bir denge unsuru sa\u011flad\u0131.<\/p>\n
10 Haziran 2026 itibar\u0131yla EUR\/USD paritesinin z\u0131t y\u00f6nl\u00fc g\u00fc\u00e7ler aras\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. ABD ile \u0130ran aras\u0131nda t\u0131rmanan askeri hareketlilik, ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n g\u00fcvenli liman cazibesini art\u0131rarak parite \u00fczerinde a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131 olu\u015fturuyor. Bu s\u00fcre\u00e7, piyasay\u0131 her iki y\u00f6ne de \u00e7ekebilecek \u00f6nemli makro veri a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131n\u0131n arifesinde ya\u015fan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Bug\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131klanacak ABD T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi (T\u00dcFE) verilerini yak\u0131ndan izliyoruz; piyasa May\u0131s i\u00e7in man\u015fet enflasyonun %3,4 seviyesinde gelmesini fiyatl\u0131yor. Son raporda enflasyon %3,5 ile beklentinin bir miktar \u00fczerinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015fti; dolay\u0131s\u0131yla yeniden y\u00fcksek bir veri, Fed\u2019in s\u0131k\u0131 duru\u015funu koruyaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirerek dolar\u0131 destekleyebilir. Bu veri, mevcut banttan olas\u0131 bir k\u0131r\u0131lma i\u00e7in en yak\u0131n vadeli kataliz\u00f6r konumunda.<\/p>\n
Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n yar\u0131n beklenen 25 baz puanl\u0131k faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 uzun s\u00fcredir \u00f6nden sinyallenmi\u015f durumda ve b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde Euro fiyatlamas\u0131na dahil olmu\u015f olabilir. Kal\u0131c\u0131 bir kur hareketi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan, toplant\u0131 sonras\u0131 bas\u0131n toplant\u0131s\u0131nda verilecek ileriye d\u00f6n\u00fck y\u00f6nlendirmeye daha fazla odaklanaca\u011f\u0131z. Tarihsel olarak, piyasalar\u0131n gelecekteki politika patikas\u0131na verdi\u011fi tepki, \u00e7o\u011fu zaman faiz karar\u0131n\u0131n kendisinden daha bask\u0131n olabiliyor.<\/p>\n
Bu y\u00fcksek belirsizlik ortam\u0131nda, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki iki haftada volatilitede belirgin bir s\u0131\u00e7ramaya haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 \u015fekilde pozisyonlanman\u0131n daha temkinli bir yakla\u015f\u0131m olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Benzer kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 ve vade ile hem al\u0131m (call) hem sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonu sat\u0131n al\u0131nmas\u0131n\u0131 i\u00e7eren uzun straddle stratejisi uygun g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m, haber ak\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 takiben fiyat\u0131n hangi y\u00f6ne hareket edece\u011finden ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z olarak, b\u00fcy\u00fck bir dalgalanmadan faydalanmay\u0131 hedefler.<\/p>\n
Orta Do\u011fu kaynakl\u0131 jeopolitik risk, ABD Dolar\u0131 i\u00e7in sa\u011flam bir taban olu\u015fturuyor ve EUR\/USD a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan somut bir a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc risk yarat\u0131yor. 2022\u2019nin ba\u015f\u0131nda Ukrayna \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015flang\u0131c\u0131nda benzer bir g\u00fcvenli limana ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f g\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fck; bu da dolar\u0131n h\u0131zl\u0131 ve ani bi\u00e7imde de\u011fer kazanmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7m\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Bu nedenle, \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n aniden t\u0131rmanmas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 korunmak amac\u0131yla bir miktar koruyucu sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonu ta\u015f\u0131may\u0131 da de\u011ferli g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da t\u0131rmanan gerilimle EUR\/USD 1,1540\u2019a geriledi, g\u00fcvenli liman dolar\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi. Kritik saatler: ABD May\u0131s T\u00dcFE (%3,4 beklenti) ve ECB\u2019nin olas\u0131 25 bp art\u0131\u015f\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47731,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49630","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49630","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49630"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49630\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47731"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49630"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49630"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49630"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}