ABD haftal\u0131k ham petrol stoklar\u0131, API verilerine g\u00f6re 5 Haziran ile biten haftada 9,119 milyon varil azald\u0131. Bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f, piyasadaki 3,4 milyon varillik gerileme beklentisinin belirgin \u015fekilde \u00fczerinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015ferek, s\u00f6z konusu d\u00f6nemde stoklar\u0131n \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclenden daha h\u0131zl\u0131 eridi\u011fine i\u015faret etti.<\/p>\n
Buna g\u00f6re haftal\u0131k de\u011fi\u015fim -9,119 milyon varil olurken, piyasa beklentisi -3,4 milyon varil seviyesindeydi. API raporu ham petrol stoklar\u0131na odaklan\u0131r ve sonraki resmi g\u00fcncellemeler \u00f6ncesinde erken bir g\u00f6sterge olarak yak\u0131ndan izlenir.<\/p>\n
Beklentileri a\u015fan b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fckteki ham petrol stok d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc piyasa a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir y\u00fckseli\u015f sinyali olarak de\u011ferlendiriyoruz. 9 milyon varilin \u00fczerindeki azal\u0131\u015f, tahminlerin \u00e7ok \u00fczerinde olup fiyatlamalara yans\u0131t\u0131landan daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir talebe i\u015faret ediyor. Bug\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131klanan resmi EIA raporu da 8,7 milyon varillik benzer b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fckte bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe i\u015faret ederek bu e\u011filimi teyit etti.<\/p>\n
Bu stok \u00e7ekili\u015fi, yaz s\u00fcr\u00fc\u015f sezonunun ba\u015flamas\u0131yla ayn\u0131 d\u00f6neme denk geliyor; bu da talebin ivmelendi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. ABD\u2019de rafineri kapasite kullan\u0131m oran\u0131, beklenen akaryak\u0131t t\u00fcketimini kar\u015f\u0131lamak amac\u0131yla %95,1\u2019e y\u00fckselerek bu y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, 4 Temmuz tatil haftas\u0131nda karayolu seyahatlerinin ge\u00e7en y\u0131la k\u0131yasla %5 artaca\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret eden g\u00fcncel seyahat tahminleriyle de uyumlu.<\/p>\n
Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda daha y\u00fcksek fiyatlara t\u00fcrev \u00fcr\u00fcnler \u00fczerinden pozisyon al\u0131yoruz. Yakla\u015f\u0131k 90 ve 92 dolar kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 A\u011fustos vadeli WTI al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 almay\u0131 de\u011ferlendiriyoruz. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m, yaz\u0131n zirve talebinden kaynaklanabilecek yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc potansiyeli yakalarken riski de s\u0131n\u0131rlamaya yard\u0131mc\u0131 oluyor.<\/p>\n
Daha \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 risk i\u015ftah\u0131na sahip olanlar i\u00e7in, mevcut piyasa fiyat\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131nda nakit teminatl\u0131 sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonu satmak da cazip g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Bu haber sonras\u0131 \u00f6rt\u00fck oynakl\u0131k y\u00fckseldi\u011fi i\u00e7in primler artm\u0131\u015f durumda; bu da ham petrol\u00fc daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck bir fiyattan alma y\u00fck\u00fcml\u00fcl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc \u00fcstlenme kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131nda daha iyi getiri sunuyor. Strateji; fiyatlar\u0131n y\u00fckselmesi, yatay kalmas\u0131 veya s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ya\u015fanmas\u0131 halinde avantaj sa\u011flayabilir.<\/p>\n
G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc yurti\u00e7i talep g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc, k\u00fcresel arz ko\u015fullar\u0131yla da destekleniyor. OPEC+, mevcut \u00fcretim kesintilerini \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrek sonuna kadar s\u00fcrd\u00fcrme sinyali verdi. Tarihsel olarak, disiplinli OPEC+ arz\u0131 ile yaz ba\u015f\u0131nda s\u00fcrpriz bir stok d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcn (Haziran 2021\u2019de g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc gibi) bir araya gelmesi, \u00e7o\u011fu zaman fiyatlarda kal\u0131c\u0131 bir g\u00fc\u00e7lenme d\u00f6neminin \u00f6nc\u00fcs\u00fc olabiliyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Petrolde s\u00fcrpriz \u00e7ekili\u015f: API\u2019ye g\u00f6re ABD ham stoklar\u0131 haftal\u0131k 9,119 milyon varil d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc; beklenti 3,4 milyondu. EIA benzeri d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle teyit etti; yaz talebi ve OPEC+ sinyali y\u00fckseli\u015fi destekliyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47738,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49623","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49623","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49623"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49623\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47738"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49623"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49623"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49623"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}