Sterlin Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc %0,31 y\u00fckselirken, risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131n ABD enflasyon verileri \u00f6ncesinde ve Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki s\u00fcregelen gerilimlerle zay\u0131flamas\u0131yla Dolar \u00f6nceki kay\u0131plar\u0131n\u0131 telafi etti. GBP\/USD yakla\u015f\u0131k 1,3330 seviyesini g\u00f6rd\u00fckten sonra 1,3384 civar\u0131nda el de\u011fi\u015ftirirken, ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY) 99,93 ile yataya yak\u0131n seyretti ve sterlinin y\u00fckseli\u015fini s\u0131n\u0131rlad\u0131.<\/p>\n
Piyasalar\u0131n oda\u011f\u0131nda \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc ABD \u00c7al\u0131\u015fma \u0130statistikleri B\u00fcrosu\u2019nun (BLS) yay\u0131mlayaca\u011f\u0131 veriler var. May\u0131s T\u00dcFE\u2019nin y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda %3,8\u2019den %4,2\u2019ye y\u00fckselmesi beklenirken, \u00e7ekirdek T\u00dcFE\u2019nin %2,8\u2019den %2,9\u2019a s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 artaca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Enflasyonun Fed\u2019in %2\u2019lik hedefinin yakla\u015f\u0131k iki kat\u0131 civar\u0131nda seyretmesiyle para piyasalar\u0131 y\u0131l sonuna kadar 23 baz puanl\u0131k faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 fiyatl\u0131yor. ABD verileri, ADP \u0130stihdam De\u011fi\u015fimi d\u00f6rt haftal\u0131k ortalamas\u0131nda \u00f6zel sekt\u00f6r istihdam\u0131n\u0131n 35,75 binden 29 bine yava\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi. Bu geli\u015fme, tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam\u0131n 172 bin art\u0131\u015f bildirdi\u011fi d\u00f6nemin ard\u0131ndan geldi.<\/p>\n
\u0130ngiltere taraf\u0131nda daha s\u0131k\u0131 politika beklentileri para birimini desteklerken, Prime Terminal verileri en az 45 baz puanl\u0131k \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoE) s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131n\u0131n fiyatland\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. Teknik tarafta GBP\/USD 1,3379 civar\u0131nda; 1,3459 yak\u0131n\u0131ndaki basit hareketli ortalama k\u00fcmesinin ve 1,3404 seviyesinin alt\u0131nda kal\u0131yor. RSI (14) 44 civar\u0131nda. Diren\u00e7 1,3404 ve ard\u0131ndan 1,3459 seviyelerinde g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcrken, ilave referans noktalar\u0131 1,3575 ve 1,3869; a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nde odak 1,3159 seviyesini i\u00e7eriyor. \u0130ngiltere takviminde hafta ilerleyen g\u00fcnlerinde Nisan ay\u0131 GSYH verisi yer al\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Sterlinin 1,2750 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc seyrini koruyan ABD Dolar\u0131 nedeniyle bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Piyasa bu hafta a\u00e7\u0131klanacak kritik ABD enflasyon verilerini bekliyor; s\u00f6z konusu veriler, Federal Rezerv\u2019in izleyece\u011fi patikay\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bi\u00e7imde etkileyecek. Yak\u0131n vadede d\u00f6viz hareketlerinin ana belirleyicisi bu veri seti olacak.<\/p>\n
\u0130zledi\u011fimiz ana g\u00fcndem, yakla\u015fan ABD T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi (T\u00dcFE) verisi. Son okumada y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda %3,3\u2019te kalan enflasyon, Fed\u2019in %2 hedefinin inat\u00e7\u0131 bi\u00e7imde \u00fczerinde seyretmeye devam ediyor. Bunun sonucunda faiz indirimi beklentileri a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekildi; yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar art\u0131k y\u0131l\u0131n geri kalan\u0131nda iki tam indirimden daha az\u0131n\u0131 fiyatl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, beklenenden g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc gelen i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131yla da destekleniyor ve ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n g\u00fcvercin bir d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f yapmas\u0131n\u0131 zorla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor. Son tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam raporu ekonominin 272 bin net istihdam yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi; bu da temel ekonomik g\u00fcce i\u015faret ediyor. Bu tablo, Fed\u2019in k\u0131sa vadede h\u0131zl\u0131 veya agresif faiz indirimlerini gerek\u00e7elendirmesini daha da g\u00fc\u00e7le\u015ftiriyor.<\/p>\n
Di\u011fer yandan, \u0130ngiliz Sterlini, \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n faiz indirimine daha erken gidebilece\u011fi beklentileriyle bask\u0131lan\u0131yor. \u0130ngiltere\u2019de enflasyon %2,3\u2019e gerileyerek BoE hedefin\u0259 \u00e7ok daha yakla\u015ft\u0131; bu da piyasalar\u0131n bu y\u0131l en az iki adet 25 baz puanl\u0131k faiz indirimini fiyatlamas\u0131na yol a\u00e7\u0131yor. Merkez bankas\u0131 politikalar\u0131ndaki olas\u0131 bu ayr\u0131\u015fma, GBP\/USD paritesinde g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc y\u00fckseli\u015fleri s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan GBP\/USD\u2019nin kritik 1,2800 diren\u00e7 seviyesinin alt\u0131nda k\u0131r\u0131lgan bir b\u00f6lgede oldu\u011funu g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Bu, k\u0131sa vadede y\u00fckseli\u015flerin sat\u0131\u015f f\u0131rsat\u0131 olarak de\u011ferlendirilebilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. ABD verileri g\u00f6rece g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece daha geni\u015f e\u011filim ABD Dolar\u0131 lehine.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan bu ortam, paritede a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir e\u011filime i\u015faret ediyor. ABD enflasyonunun beklentinin \u00fczerinde gelmesi halinde olas\u0131 bir geri \u00e7ekilmeye pozisyon almak i\u00e7in kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 1,2700\u2019\u00fcn alt\u0131nda olan sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n al\u0131nmas\u0131n\u0131n etkili bir y\u00f6ntem olabilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Bu strateji, daha fazla a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentumdan yararlanmak i\u00e7in riski tan\u0131ml\u0131 bir yakla\u015f\u0131m sunar.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Kritik ABD T\u00dcFE \u00f6ncesi risk i\u015ftah\u0131 zay\u0131flarken Dolar toparland\u0131, Sterlin %0,31 prim yapt\u0131. GBP\/USD 1,3384\u2019te; Fed\/BoE faiz fiyatlamas\u0131 ve 1,3404-1,3459 diren\u00e7leri y\u00f6n\u00fc belirleyecek.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47807,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49610","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49610","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49610"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49610\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47807"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49610"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49610"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49610"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}