{"id":49583,"date":"2026-06-09T16:34:29","date_gmt":"2026-06-09T16:34:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/abdde-ozel-sektor-istihdam-artisi-mayis-sonuna-dogru-yavasladi-yatirimcilarin-fed-gorunumunu-degerlendirmesiyle-dolar-endeksi-100un-altina-geriledi\/"},"modified":"2026-06-09T16:34:29","modified_gmt":"2026-06-09T16:34:29","slug":"abdde-ozel-sektor-istihdam-artisi-mayis-sonuna-dogru-yavasladi-yatirimcilarin-fed-gorunumunu-degerlendirmesiyle-dolar-endeksi-100un-altina-geriledi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/abdde-ozel-sektor-istihdam-artisi-mayis-sonuna-dogru-yavasladi-yatirimcilarin-fed-gorunumunu-degerlendirmesiyle-dolar-endeksi-100un-altina-geriledi\/","title":{"rendered":"ABD\u2019de \u00f6zel sekt\u00f6r istihdam art\u0131\u015f\u0131 May\u0131s sonuna do\u011fru yava\u015flad\u0131; yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n Fed g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc de\u011ferlendirmesiyle Dolar Endeksi 100\u2019\u00fcn alt\u0131na geriledi"},"content":{"rendered":"

ABD\u2019de \u00f6zel sekt\u00f6r istihdam\u0131 May\u0131s ay\u0131n\u0131n son b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcnde yava\u015flad\u0131. ADP Ulusal \u0130stihdam Raporu\u2019nun tamamlay\u0131c\u0131 g\u00f6stergesi NER Pulse\u2019a g\u00f6re, 23 May\u0131s ile biten d\u00f6rt haftada i\u015fverenler haftal\u0131k ortalama 29 bin istihdam ekledi. Bu rakam, \u00f6nceki okumadaki 35,75 bin seviyesinden gerileyerek bir hafta \u00f6ncesine k\u0131yasla ivmenin zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret etti. 9 Haziran saat 15:16 GMT tarihli bir d\u00fczeltmede ilk veri 35,75 binden 29 bine revize edildi.<\/p>\n

ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY) iki g\u00fcn\u00fcn en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyelerine gerileyerek 100,00 e\u015fi\u011finin alt\u0131na indi ve 99,70\u2019e \u00e7ekildi; g\u00fcnl\u00fck grafikte spot de\u011fer 99,72 olarak izlendi. Fiyat, 99,00\u2019un hemen alt\u0131nda k\u00fcmelenen 55, 100 ve 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck basit hareketli ortalamalar\u0131n (SMA) \u00fczerinde kalmaya devam ediyor; RSI yakla\u015f\u0131k 59, ADX ise 23 civar\u0131nda. Destek seviyeleri 99,50\u2019de, ard\u0131ndan 98,99\u2019da g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcrken, daha geni\u015f bir b\u00f6lge 98,59\u201398,64 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda ve ilave destek 97,62\u2019de bulunuyor. Diren\u00e7ler 100,39 ve 100,64\u2019te i\u015faretlenirken, yukar\u0131da 101,98 seviyesi \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

So\u011fuyan \u0130\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc Piyasas\u0131 ve Fed G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc<\/h3>\n

Ge\u00e7 May\u0131s d\u00f6neminde \u00f6zel sekt\u00f6r istihdam art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n yava\u015flamas\u0131, i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131nda so\u011fuma sinyallerini g\u00fc\u00e7lendiriyor. Bu yumu\u015fama, ABD ekonomisinin ivme kaybediyor olabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. T\u00fcrev piyasa yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan bu tablo, Federal Rezerv\u2019in (Fed) izleyece\u011fi patika ve ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fcc\u00fcne dair soru i\u015faretlerini art\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Bu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f, son d\u00f6nemdeki di\u011fer verilerle de destekleniyor. \u00d6rne\u011fin, May\u0131s 2026\u2019ya ili\u015fkin en g\u00fcncel Tedarik Y\u00f6netimi Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc (ISM) \u0130malat PMI verisi 49,5 seviyesinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015ferek sekt\u00f6rde \u00fcst \u00fcste ikinci ay hafif daralmaya i\u015faret etti. Buna ek olarak, T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi\u2019nin (T\u00dcFE) y\u0131ll\u0131k enflasyonun %2,8\u2019e geriledi\u011fini g\u00f6stermesi, Fed\u2019in agresif duru\u015funu s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmesi y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki bask\u0131y\u0131 azalt\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

T\u00fcrev Stratejisi ve Teknik Seviyeler<\/h3>\n

Bu arka plan alt\u0131nda, ABD dolar endeksi vadeli i\u015flemleri \u00fczerindeki opsiyonlarda f\u0131rsatlar g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. 99,50 destek seviyesine yak\u0131n bir kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131yla (strike) put opsiyonu sat\u0131n alman\u0131n, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn s\u00fcrmesi senaryosunda cazip bir risk-getiri sundu\u011funu de\u011ferlendiriyoruz. 100,64 direncinin \u00fczerinde vadesiz (out-of-the-money) call opsiyonlar\u0131 satmak da, dolar\u0131n bant i\u00e7inde kalmas\u0131 veya kademeli zay\u0131flamas\u0131 halinde getiri hedefleyen bir di\u011fer strateji olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Tarihsel olarak, 2019 ortas\u0131nda g\u00f6zlenen yava\u015flama gibi zay\u0131flayan istihdam verilerinin g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc d\u00f6nemler, \u00e7o\u011fu zaman Fed\u2019in daha g\u00fcvercin bir duru\u015fa y\u00f6nelmesinden \u00f6nce geldi. O d\u00f6nemde piyasa faiz indirimlerini fiyatlamaya ba\u015flad\u0131k\u00e7a dolar\u0131n y\u00fckseli\u015f trendi de ivme kaybetmi\u015fti. Benzer bir faza giriyor olabiliriz; bu da Fed\u2019in \u201cbekle-g\u00f6r\u201d (pause) ya da politika y\u00f6n de\u011fi\u015fimine (pivot) oynayan faiz vadeli i\u015flemlerini giderek daha anlaml\u0131 hale getiriyor.<\/p>\n

Teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, pozisyonlar\u0131m\u0131z a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan net bir yol haritas\u0131 sunuyor. 99,00 seviyesi \u00e7evresindeki basit hareketli ortalama k\u00fcmelenmesi takip edilmesi gereken kritik bir destek b\u00f6lgesi niteli\u011finde. Bu alan\u0131n a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131, daha derin bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f trendini teyit ederek dolar k\u0131sa pozisyonlar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rmam\u0131za zemin haz\u0131rlayacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

ABD\u2019de ADP NER Pulse istihdam art\u0131\u015f\u0131 29 bine indi; zay\u0131flama Fed\u2019de g\u00fcvercin beklentiyi b\u00fcy\u00fctt\u00fc. DXY 100 alt\u0131na sarkt\u0131. 99,50 destek, 100,64 diren\u00e7. Put al\u0131m\u0131, OTM call sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47706,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49583","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49583","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49583"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49583\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47706"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49583"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49583"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49583"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}