USD\/SGD, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam verisi sonras\u0131 1,29\u2019un \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131karken, S$NEER h\u00e2l\u00e2 orta noktas\u0131n\u0131n belirgin \u015fekilde \u00fczerinde i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyordu. Hareket, paritenin k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli\u011fine 1,2855\u2019in \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131ktan sonra 1,2828\u2019e geri \u00e7ekildi\u011fi, ard\u0131ndan erken New York seans\u0131nda 1,2913\u2019e s\u0131\u00e7rad\u0131\u011f\u0131 dalgal\u0131 bir seans\u0131 izledi. Momentumun g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc oldu\u011fu belirtilirken, dikkat y\u0131l i\u00e7i zirvenin bulundu\u011fu 1,2930 civar\u0131n\u0131n test edilmesine \u00e7evrildi; 1,2960 ise daha \u00fcst bir diren\u00e7 seviyesi olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
24 saatlik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde, y\u00fckseli\u015fin s\u00fcrmesi i\u00e7in paritenin 1,2870\u2019in \u00fczerinde kalmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fi ifade edildi. 1\u20133 haftal\u0131k ufukta, \u00f6nceki referans noktalar\u0131 aras\u0131nda 2 Haziran\u2019da 1,2785\u2019te spot seviye, 1,2810 \u00fczerinde kapan\u0131\u015f ihtiyac\u0131 ve ard\u0131ndan 1,2841\u2019de kapan\u0131\u015f yer ald\u0131; 4 Haziran\u2019da spot 1,2835\u2019ti. Yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc odak 1,2960\u2019a konulurken, yap\u0131c\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm 1,2830 deste\u011fine ba\u011fland\u0131; 1,2855 sa\u011flam k\u0131sa vadeli destek olarak \u00e7er\u00e7evelendi. 1,2800 daha \u00f6nce \u201cg\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc destek\u201d olarak an\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n
Ge\u00e7en Cuma 1,2900\u2019un \u00fczerine ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen s\u0131\u00e7raman\u0131n ard\u0131ndan, ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131n Singapur dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Beklenmedik y\u00fckseli\u015f, beklentileri a\u015fan ABD istihdam raporuyla tetiklenerek g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentum yaratt\u0131. Bu da k\u0131sa vadede en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck diren\u00e7li yolun yukar\u0131 y\u00f6n oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fcr\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Son rapor, ABD\u2019nin May\u0131s\u2019ta 295 bin istihdam ekledi\u011fini, 185 binlik piyasa beklentisini belirgin bi\u00e7imde a\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve ABD Hazine tahvil getirilerini yukar\u0131 \u00e7ekti\u011fini g\u00f6sterdi. Bu durum faiz beklentilerini keskin \u015fekilde de\u011fi\u015ftirdi; CME FedWatch Tool art\u0131k d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekten \u00f6nce faiz indirimi olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 %10\u2019un alt\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. Bu temel zemin, daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131 destekliyor.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan bu, y\u0131l i\u00e7i zirve olan 1,2930 civar\u0131n\u0131 hedefleyen kullan\u0131m fiyatlar\u0131yla USD\/SGD al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n tercih edilmesine i\u015faret ediyor. Bu seviye k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa, oda\u011f\u0131m\u0131z bir sonraki \u00f6nemli diren\u00e7 olan 1,2960\u2019a kay\u0131yor. Parite 1,2830 destek seviyesinin \u00fczerinde kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece bu pozitif g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fc koruyaca\u011f\u0131z.<\/p>\n
K\u0131sa vadeli momentum 1,2870 e\u015fi\u011finin \u00fczerinde kald\u0131k\u00e7a g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcze olan g\u00fcvenimiz art\u0131yor. 1,2855 seviyesi, olas\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 geri \u00e7ekilmelerde art\u0131k sa\u011flam bir destek taban\u0131 olarak de\u011ferlendirilmeli. Bu seviyeler, y\u00fckseli\u015f trendinden yararlanmak \u00fczere kullan\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 (out-of-the-money) put sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 gibi pozisyonlar\u0131n kurgulanmas\u0131nda kritik.<\/p>\n
Bu fiyat hareketi, s\u00fcrekli g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD makro verilerinin dolarda kal\u0131c\u0131 bir ralliyi besledi\u011fi 2022\u2019deki s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fc hat\u0131rlat\u0131yor. Ayn\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7ekte bir hareket beklememekle birlikte, k\u00fcresel belirsizlik arka plan\u0131nda diren\u00e7li ABD ekonomisi dinami\u011fi benzerlik ta\u015f\u0131yor. Bu tarihsel emsal, mevcut trendin \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki birka\u00e7 hafta boyunca devam edebilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n
Ayr\u0131ca Singapur dolar\u0131n\u0131n ticaret a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 endeksi S$NEER\u2019in, politika band\u0131n\u0131n orta noktas\u0131n\u0131n belirgin \u015fekilde \u00fczerinde kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc not ediyoruz. Bu, Singapur Para Otoritesi\u2019nin (MAS) SGD\u2019deki mevcut zay\u0131flama h\u0131z\u0131na tolerans g\u00f6stermek i\u00e7in geni\u015f bir alan\u0131 oldu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor. Bu nedenle 1,2960 hedefimize do\u011fru bir hareketin \u00f6n\u00fcne ge\u00e7ecek bir politika ad\u0131m\u0131 beklemiyoruz.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
ABD\u2019de g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam dolar\u0131 u\u00e7urdu: USD\/SGD 1,29\u2019u a\u015ft\u0131, hedef 1,2930 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa 1,2960. 1,2870 \u00fcst\u00fc y\u00fckseli\u015fi, 1,2855\/1,2830 destekleri g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc koruyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47688,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49528","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49528","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49528"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49528\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47688"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49528"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49528"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49528"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}