{"id":49498,"date":"2026-06-08T18:04:18","date_gmt":"2026-06-08T18:04:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/fed-ecb-ayrismasi-11445e-dogru-dusus-egilimini-guclendirirken-eur-usd-uc-ayin-en-dusuk-seviyesine-geriledi\/"},"modified":"2026-06-08T18:04:18","modified_gmt":"2026-06-08T18:04:18","slug":"fed-ecb-ayrismasi-11445e-dogru-dusus-egilimini-guclendirirken-eur-usd-uc-ayin-en-dusuk-seviyesine-geriledi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/fed-ecb-ayrismasi-11445e-dogru-dusus-egilimini-guclendirirken-eur-usd-uc-ayin-en-dusuk-seviyesine-geriledi\/","title":{"rendered":"Fed-ECB Ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 1,1445\u2019e Do\u011fru D\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f E\u011filimini G\u00fc\u00e7lendirirken EUR\/USD \u00dc\u00e7 Ay\u0131n En D\u00fc\u015f\u00fck Seviyesine Geriledi"},"content":{"rendered":"

EUR\/USD, birden fazla destek seviyesini k\u0131rmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan 1,1520 civar\u0131nda \u00fc\u00e7 ay\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesine geriledi; 1,1519\u2019dan kapan\u0131\u015f yaparak %0,78 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f kaydetti. Hareket, pariteyi 1,1590 ve 1,1555\u2019in alt\u0131na ta\u015f\u0131rken g\u00fcn i\u00e7i dip 1,1516 g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc ve d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte k\u0131sa vadede belirgin bir dengelenme i\u015fareti olu\u015fmad\u0131. Yak\u0131n vadede, 1,1575 direncinin korunmas\u0131 halinde 1,1490\u2019a do\u011fru uzama ihtimali \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor; 1,1535\u2019te s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir diren\u00e7 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcrken, 1,1445\u2019e d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f \u015fimdilik d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olas\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 de\u011ferlendiriliyor.<\/p>\n

1\u20133 haftal\u0131k perspektifte, 1,1590\u2019\u0131n a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131yla d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f momentumu \u201cg\u00fc\u00e7leniyor\u201d \u015feklinde tan\u0131mlan\u0131yor; zira 1,1590 daha \u00f6nce 1,1590\u20131,1685 band\u0131n\u0131n alt s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131yd\u0131. \u00d6nceki diren\u00e7 referans\u0131 de\u011fi\u015fti\u011finden, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc diren\u00e7 art\u0131k 1,1655 yerine 1,1600 olarak g\u00f6steriliyor. Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede, paritenin 1,1445\u2019e do\u011fru a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc e\u011filimini korudu\u011fu; daha yak\u0131n vadede ise 1,1575\u2019in g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir diren\u00e7 oldu\u011fu belirtiliyor.<\/p>\n

Yenilenen Euro D\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f Trendi ve Ayr\u0131\u015fan Merkez Bankas\u0131 Politikalar\u0131<\/h3>\n

Ge\u00e7en hafta temel destek seviyelerinin sert \u015fekilde a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 sonras\u0131, Euro\u2019nun ABD Dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f trendinin \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda da s\u00fcrmesini bekliyoruz. 1,1516\u2019ya ya\u015fanan sert gerilemenin ard\u0131ndan a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentum g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ve oda\u011f\u0131m\u0131z yeni hedef olarak 1,1445\u2019e kay\u0131yor. Direncin ise 1,1600 seviyesi yak\u0131n\u0131nda belirgin bi\u00e7imde olu\u015ftu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Bu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f, dolar\u0131 destekleyen ayr\u0131\u015fan makro verilerle de g\u00fc\u00e7leniyor. ABD\u2019de 5 Haziran 2026 Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanan Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam verisi 265 bin ile beklentileri belirgin bi\u00e7imde a\u015farak g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir art\u0131\u015fa i\u015faret etti ve daha \u015fahin bir Fed beklentilerini besledi. Bu tablo, Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nden keskin bi\u00e7imde ayr\u0131\u015f\u0131yor; zira son a\u00e7\u0131klanan \u00f6nc\u00fc imalat PMI 49,2\u2019ye gerileyerek daralmaya i\u015faret etti.<\/p>\n

Tarihsel olarak, Fed ile Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki politika ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n ya\u015fand\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6nemler kal\u0131c\u0131 trendler \u00fcretme e\u011filimindedir; 2022\u2019de agresif Fed faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n EUR\/USD\u2019yi paritenin alt\u0131na itti\u011fi s\u00fcre\u00e7te oldu\u011fu gibi. \u015eu anda da benzer bir dinami\u011fin erken a\u015famalar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz; fon ak\u0131mlar\u0131 daha y\u00fcksek getirili ABD varl\u0131klar\u0131na y\u00f6neliyor. Bu makro ortam\u0131n, Euro\u2019da ilave zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011fa y\u00f6nelik pozisyonlanmay\u0131 destekledi\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz.<\/p>\n

Beklenen D\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften Yararlanma Stratejileri<\/h3>\n

\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalar i\u00e7in, beklenen d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften faydalanmak amac\u0131yla put opsiyon al\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendiriyoruz. Temmuz 2026 vadeli ve 1,1500 veya 1,1450 kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 civar\u0131ndaki put opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 cazip buluyoruz. Bu strateji, parite 1,1445 hedefimize do\u011fru hareketini s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcrse s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 riskle getiri elde etmeyi sa\u011flar.<\/p>\n

Alternatif olarak, EUR\/USD vadeli kontratlar\u0131nda sat\u0131\u015f daha do\u011frudan bir k\u0131sa pozisyon imk\u00e2n\u0131 sunar. Ay\u0131 e\u011filimini korurken gelir yaratmak isteyenler i\u00e7in ay\u0131 call spread sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 uygun olabilir. G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc direncin 1,1600 ile s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 oldu\u011fu varsay\u0131m\u0131yla, 1,1600 call sat\u0131p 1,1650 call almak \u015feklindeki bir yap\u0131 iyi \u00e7al\u0131\u015fabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Euro\u2019da sert sat\u0131\u015f! EUR\/USD 1,1520 ile \u00fc\u00e7 ay\u0131n dibinde; destekler k\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131. 1,1575\u20131,1600 band\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc diren\u00e7, hedef 1,1490\/1,1445; ABD istihdam\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc, PMI zay\u0131f. Put opsiyonlar\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47706,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49498","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49498","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49498"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49498\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47706"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49498"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49498"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49498"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}