Alt\u0131n Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc s\u00fcrd\u00fcrerek iki g\u00fcnl\u00fck kayb\u0131n\u0131 %4\u2019\u00fcn \u00fczerine ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131; XAU\/USD 4.268 dolar\u0131 test ederek iki ay\u0131 a\u015fk\u0131n s\u00fcrenin en zay\u0131f seviyesini g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Hareket, \u0130srail ve \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 f\u00fcze sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmesi ve k\u0131r\u0131lgan ate\u015fkesi zorlayan sert s\u00f6ylemleri t\u0131rmand\u0131rmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen, talebin y\u00fckselen ABD Hazine tahvil getirilerinin de deste\u011fiyle ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019na kaymas\u0131yla geldi.<\/p>\n
Makro piyasalarda, Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanan g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam verisi ile hafta ba\u015f\u0131nda gelen sa\u011flam hizmet ve imalat g\u00f6stergeleri, Fed\u2019in daha s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131 beklentilerini yukar\u0131 \u00e7ekti. Teknik tarafta alt\u0131n, 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019n\u0131n alt\u0131na sarkt\u0131ktan sonra 4.289 dolar civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcrken, RSI 32\u2019ye yak\u0131n seyretti; MACD ise s\u0131f\u0131r\u0131n alt\u0131nda kald\u0131. Destek seviyeleri 4.230 dolar ve ard\u0131ndan y\u0131l i\u00e7i en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviye olan 4.100 dolar civar\u0131nda g\u00f6sterilirken, diren\u00e7 4.350\u20134.365 dolar band\u0131nda; bunu 4.435 dolar civar\u0131ndaki 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA ve 4.515 dolara yak\u0131n d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f kanal\u0131n\u0131n \u00fcst band\u0131 izliyor. \u00d6te yandan D\u00fcnya Alt\u0131n Konseyi\u2019ne g\u00f6re merkez bankalar\u0131 2022\u2019de rezervlerine yakla\u015f\u0131k 70 milyar dolar de\u011ferinde 1.136 ton alt\u0131n ekledi.<\/p>\n
ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019ndaki g\u00fcc\u00fcn devam etmesi nedeniyle, alt\u0131n i\u00e7in en olas\u0131 k\u0131sa vadeli y\u00f6n\u00fcn a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. ABD ekonomisinin 272.000 ki\u015filik g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc istihdam art\u0131\u015f\u0131 kaydetti\u011fini g\u00f6steren son istihdam raporu, Fed\u2019in \u201cdaha uzun s\u00fcre y\u00fcksek faiz\u201d duru\u015funu destekliyor. Bu durumun, \u00f6zellikle \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcnk\u00fc kritik ABD enflasyon verisi \u00f6ncesinde, k\u0131sa pozisyonlar veya sat\u0131m opsiyonu (put) al\u0131mlar\u0131 i\u00e7in zemini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi\u011fini de\u011ferlendiriyoruz.<\/p>\n
Alt\u0131n\u0131n 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalamas\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131na k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 \u00f6nemli bir ay\u0131 sinyali oldu\u011fundan, oda\u011f\u0131m\u0131z a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hedeflere kay\u0131yor. Kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 y\u0131l i\u00e7i dip seviye olan 4.100 dolar civar\u0131nda bulunan sat\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 (put) izliyoruz. G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI) a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m b\u00f6lgesine yakla\u015fsa da, anlaml\u0131 bir d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f \u00f6ncesinde a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131n\u0131n bir miktar daha alan\u0131 oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz.<\/p>\n
\u0130srail-\u0130ran hatt\u0131nda t\u0131rmanan gerilim piyasadaki belirsizli\u011fi art\u0131r\u0131yor; bu da alt\u0131n opsiyonlar\u0131nda z\u0131mni volatiliteyi yukar\u0131 itiyor. Bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, \u00f6rne\u011fin uzun straddle gibi stratejilerin avantajl\u0131 olabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor; zira kriz aniden t\u0131rman\u0131r ya da h\u0131zl\u0131 bi\u00e7imde yat\u0131\u015f\u0131rsa her iki y\u00f6nde de b\u00fcy\u00fck bir fiyat hareketinden faydalanmak m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olabilir. Mevcut ay\u0131 teknik trendi g\u00f6lgede b\u0131rakabilecek, man\u015fet kaynakl\u0131 sert hareketlere kar\u015f\u0131 haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmak gerekiyor.<\/p>\n
Mevcut zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011fa kar\u015f\u0131n, merkez bankalar\u0131n\u0131n olu\u015fturdu\u011fu temel deste\u011fi g\u00f6z ard\u0131 edemeyiz; kurumlar ge\u00e7en y\u0131l rekor 1.037 ton alt\u0131n al\u0131m\u0131 yapt\u0131. Bu g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kurumsal talep, uzun vadede fiyat i\u00e7in bir taban olu\u015fturuyor. Daha uzun vadeli perspektife sahip yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar i\u00e7in bu geri \u00e7ekilme, birka\u00e7 ay vadeli al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131 (call) \u00fczerinden pozisyon in\u015fa etmek ve g\u00fcvenli liman talebinin yeniden g\u00fc\u00e7lenece\u011fi beklentisine oynamak ad\u0131na bir f\u0131rsat olabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Alt\u0131nda sert sat\u0131\u015f: XAU\/USD 4.268 ile iki ay\u0131n dibinde, iki g\u00fcnde %4\u2019ten fazla kay\u0131p. G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD verileri Fed\u2019i \u015fahinle\u015ftiriyor, Dolar\/tahvil getirileri bask\u0131l\u0131yor; 4.230-4.100 destek, 4.350-4.365 diren\u00e7. Merkez bankas\u0131 al\u0131mlar\u0131 taban.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47774,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49491","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49491","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49491"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49491\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47774"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49491"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49491"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49491"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}