Euro B\u00f6lgesi Sentix Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 G\u00fcveni, may\u0131sta -16,4 seviyesinden haziranda -13,4\u2019e y\u00fckselerek mart ve nisan aylar\u0131ndaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn ard\u0131ndan \u00fcst \u00fcste ikinci ayl\u0131k toparlanmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc. Verinin ard\u0131ndan EUR\/USD hafif negatif tepki verdi ve 1,1510 civar\u0131nda %0,1 geriledi.<\/p>\n
EUR\/USD bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda kalmaya devam ediyor; parite 1,1623\u2019teki 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck \u00dcstel Hareketli Ortalama\u2019n\u0131n (EMA) alt\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcrken, G\u00f6receli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (14) 33 civar\u0131nda bulunuyor. Diren\u00e7 1,1623 \u00e7evresinde izleniyor ve k\u0131sa vadeli a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131n\u0131n hafiflemesi i\u00e7in paritenin bu seviyenin \u00fczerinde g\u00fcnl\u00fck kapan\u0131\u015f yapmas\u0131 gerekiyor; a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da ise 1,1500\u2019\u00fcn korunamamas\u0131, 13 Mart dip seviyesi olan 1,1411\u2019in g\u00fcndeme gelmesine yol a\u00e7abilir. Sentix, endeksini yakla\u015f\u0131k 1.600 finans analisti ve kurumsal yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131yla yap\u0131lan ayl\u0131k ankete dayand\u0131r\u0131yor; 36 g\u00f6stergeden olu\u015fturulan \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcm, mevcut ko\u015fullar ile \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki alt\u0131 aya ili\u015fkin beklentelere odaklan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Euro B\u00f6lgesi yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 g\u00fcveninin -13,4\u2019e y\u00fckselmesi olumlu kar\u015f\u0131lanabilir; ancak bunu Euro a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan yan\u0131lt\u0131c\u0131 bir sinyal olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. ABD\u2019ye k\u0131yasla toparlanma yava\u015f seyrederken, Almanya\u2019dan gelen temel veriler ekonomik zorluklara i\u015faret etmeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Bu ayr\u0131\u015fma, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda EUR\/USD paritesi \u00fczerinde bask\u0131n\u0131n devam edebilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n
Bu ekonomik ayr\u0131\u015fmay\u0131 yak\u0131ndan izliyoruz. \u00d6zellikle son ABD istihdam raporunun may\u0131sta 250 binin \u00fczerinde g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir istihdam art\u0131\u015f\u0131 g\u00f6stererek i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck %3,7 seviyesinde tutmas\u0131 dikkat \u00e7ekiyor. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k Almanya sanayi \u00fcretiminde son verilerde %0,5\u2019lik daralma g\u00f6r\u00fclmesi, Fed\u2019in ECB\u2019ye k\u0131yasla daha \u015fahin kalaca\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcz\u00fc destekliyor. Bu politika fark\u0131, tarihsel olarak Euro a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc (bearish) bir unsur olmu\u015ftur.<\/p>\n
Bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde, olas\u0131 bir geri \u00e7ekilmeye pozisyon almak i\u00e7in EUR\/USD\u2019de put opsiyonu al\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 temkinli ve yerinde bir strateji olarak de\u011ferlendiriyoruz. Bu enstr\u00fcmanlar s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 risk sunarken, 1,1500 seviyesine do\u011fru bir hareketten faydalanma imk\u00e2n\u0131 sa\u011flar. Bu seviyenin k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 halinde, gelecek haftalarda 1,1411\u2019deki mart dibi ger\u00e7ek\u00e7i bir hedef h\u00e2line gelebilir.<\/p>\n
Alternatif olarak, yukar\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcn s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6renler i\u00e7in \u201cout-of-the-money\u201d call opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 veya 1,1623 civar\u0131ndaki 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA seviyesinde ya da \u00fczerinde kullan\u0131m fiyatlar\u0131yla bear call spread kurulmas\u0131 se\u00e7enekleri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m prim geliri elde etmeyi sa\u011flar ve paritenin bu kritik diren\u00e7 seviyesinin alt\u0131nda kalmas\u0131 durumunda kazan\u00e7 yarat\u0131r. Teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, hareketli ortalamaya do\u011fru olas\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015flerin belirgin sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131yla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Sentix g\u00fcveni toparland\u0131 ama Euro i\u00e7in aldanmay\u0131n: EUR\/USD 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA 1,1623 alt\u0131nda zay\u0131f, 1,1500 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa 1,1411 hedef. Fed-ECB ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 bask\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcr; put\/bear spread \u00f6neriliyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47688,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49478","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49478","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49478"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49478\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47688"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49478"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49478"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49478"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}