GBP\/USD, pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc Avrupa saatlerinde 1,3340 civar\u0131nda s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kay\u0131plarla i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc ve Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki gerilimler ile ABD\u2019de faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131na ili\u015fkin beklentilerin g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesinin ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 desteklemesiyle 1,3350 seviyesinin alt\u0131nda bask\u0131land\u0131. BBC\u2019nin aktard\u0131\u011f\u0131na g\u00f6re, \u0130srail Savunma Kuvvetleri, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n kuzey \u0130srail\u2019e bir salvo f\u00fcze f\u0131rlatmas\u0131ndan saatler sonra \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n bat\u0131 ve orta kesimlerindeki askeri hedefleri vurdu\u011funu bildirdi. \u0130ranl\u0131 yetkililer, \u0130srail\u2019in L\u00fcbnan\u2019a veya \u0130ran\u2019a y\u00f6nelik herhangi bir sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n \u201cezici ve kapsaml\u0131 bir yan\u0131tla\u201d kar\u015f\u0131lanaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
Sterlin daha sonra ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n ara vermesiyle, Asya seans\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fclen \u00fc\u00e7 haftan\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesinden toparlanarak 1,3300\u2019lerin ortas\u0131na do\u011fru y\u00fckseldi. Buna kar\u015f\u0131n, ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY) cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc, ABD Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam (NFP) verisinin Fed\u2019in \u015fahin beklentilerini peki\u015ftirmesi sonras\u0131 iki haftan\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131: Ekonomi may\u0131s ay\u0131nda 85 bin beklentiye kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k 172 bin istihdam eklerken, nisan verisi 179 bine revize edildi. \u0130\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 %4,3\u2019te sabit kal\u0131rken, ortalama saatlik kazan\u00e7 art\u0131\u015f\u0131 y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda nisanda %3,6\u2019dan %3,4\u2019e geriledi.<\/p>\n
\u0130ngiliz Sterlini\u2019nin, jeopolitik risk ve g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD makro verilerinin bask\u0131s\u0131 alt\u0131nda ABD Dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda tutunmakta zorland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki s\u00fcregelen \u00e7alkant\u0131, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 dolar\u0131n g\u00fcvenli liman\u0131na y\u00f6nlendiriyor. Bu durum, Fed\u2019in faizleri daha uzun s\u00fcre y\u00fcksek tutaca\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc de g\u00fc\u00e7lendiriyor.<\/p>\n
\u0130ki ekonomi aras\u0131ndaki ayr\u0131\u015fma daha belirgin hale geliyor; bu da daha zay\u0131f bir Sterlin olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131yor. Son veriler ABD \u00e7ekirdek enflasyonunun %3,6 civar\u0131nda seyretti\u011fini ve ABD 1\u00c7 GSYH b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin %1,6 oldu\u011funu g\u00f6sterirken, ABD ekonomisi Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k\u2019\u0131n daha m\u00fctevaz\u0131 %0,6\u2019l\u0131k b\u00fcy\u00fcmesine k\u0131yasla daha dayan\u0131kl\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Ge\u00e7en y\u0131l g\u00f6r\u00fclen 1,2200 seviyesine do\u011fru ilave gerilemelere pozisyon almak i\u00e7in GBP\/USD put opsiyonlar\u0131 alman\u0131n makul bir strateji oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz.<\/p>\n
Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma yaln\u0131zca bir haber ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 de\u011fil; piyasa volatilitesini yukar\u0131 \u00e7ekiyor. Maj\u00f6r d\u00f6viz paritelerinde ima edilen volatilitenin y\u00fckseldi\u011fini g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz; bu durum opsiyonlar\u0131 pahal\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131rken, ayn\u0131 zamanda sert hareket olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n artt\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. Bu ortam, bu dalgalanmalar\u0131n y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc do\u011fru \u00f6ng\u00f6rebilen yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar i\u00e7in elveri\u015fli.<\/p>\n
Opsiyon maliyetlerinin y\u00fckselmesi nedeniyle GBP\/USD\u2019de d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc put spread stratejilerine bak\u0131yoruz. Bu strateji, bir put opsiyonu al\u0131rken daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 ba\u015fka bir put opsiyonunu satmay\u0131 i\u00e7erir; b\u00f6ylece ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7taki nakit \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131 belirgin \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde azalt\u0131l\u0131r. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m, Sterlin\u2019de s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131\/\u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften faydalanmay\u0131 m\u00fcmk\u00fcn k\u0131larken pe\u015fin maliyetleri de s\u0131n\u0131rlar.<\/p>\n
2022\u2019de Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n ilk d\u00f6neminde oldu\u011fu gibi \u00f6nceki jeopolitik alevlenmeler s\u0131ras\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fclen sert kur hareketlerini hat\u0131rl\u0131yoruz; bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te dolar kayda de\u011fer bi\u00e7imde g\u00fc\u00e7lenmi\u015fti. Yakla\u015fan Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k ve ABD enflasyon verileri piyasa i\u00e7in kritik kataliz\u00f6rler olacak. ABD\u2019de enflasyonun kal\u0131c\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret eden herhangi bir sinyal, GBP\/USD paritesini kilit destek seviyelerinin alt\u0131na kolayl\u0131kla itebilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Piyasalar diken \u00fcst\u00fcnde: Orta Do\u011fu gerilimi ve g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD NFP verisi Dolar\u2019\u0131 destekleyince GBP\/USD 1,3350 alt\u0131nda bask\u0131land\u0131. Fed\u2019in \u201cy\u00fcksek faiz\u201d beklentisiyle Sterlin zay\u0131f; put\/put spread stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47765,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49473","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49473","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49473"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49473\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47765"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49473"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49473"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49473"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}