Euro, Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc sterlin kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda zay\u0131flad\u0131 ancak Cuma g\u00fcnk\u00fc bant i\u00e7inde kald\u0131; 0,8650 civar\u0131ndaki seans zirvelerinden geri \u00e7ekilerek 0,8637 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Hareket, Destatis\u2019in a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 zay\u0131f Almanya Fabrika Sipari\u015fleri verisinin ard\u0131ndan geldi. Buna g\u00f6re sanayi sipari\u015fleri Nisan\u2019da %3,8 gerilerken, piyasa beklentisi %1,2 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6n\u00fcndeydi; Mart verisi ise daha \u00f6nce %5,0 art\u0131\u015f olarak a\u00e7\u0131klanm\u0131\u015fken %4,5 art\u0131\u015fa revize edildi.<\/p>\n
EUR\/GBP, g\u00f6stergelerin n\u00f6trden negatife d\u00f6nen bir momentuma i\u015faret etmesiyle bant i\u00e7inde seyrini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc; 4 saatlik RSI 50 seviyesinin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kamazken MACD hafif negatif ve yatayla\u015ft\u0131. Fiyat hareketi simetrik \u00fc\u00e7gen i\u00e7inde devam ederken, paritenin Cuma g\u00fcnk\u00fc 0,8630 dip seviyesinin alt\u0131na k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 halinde a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc seviyeler \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor; bu senaryoda 0,8618 (25 May\u0131s) ve y\u0131lba\u015f\u0131ndan bu yana en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviye olan 0,8611 g\u00fcndeme gelebilir. Yukar\u0131da ise diren\u00e7 0,8655 civar\u0131nda, ard\u0131ndan 0,8675; daha yukar\u0131da 0,8681 ve 0,8687 seviyeleri ek e\u015fikler olarak izleniyor.<\/p>\n
—<\/p>\n
Bug\u00fcn 8 Haziran 2026 itibar\u0131yla, Euro\u2019nun \u0130ngiliz Sterlini kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda de\u011fer kaybetti\u011fini g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz; bunun arkas\u0131nda Almanya\u2019dan gelen olduk\u00e7a zay\u0131f fabrika sipari\u015fleri verisi bulunuyor. Veri, beklenen %1,2\u2019lik d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 %3,8\u2019lik gerilemeye i\u015faret ederek Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nin sanayi \u00e7ekirde\u011finde zorlanmaya devam edildi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. Bu temel zay\u0131fl\u0131k, EUR\/GBP paritesine ili\u015fkin negatif g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcz\u00fc destekliyor.<\/p>\n
Bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc g\u00fc\u00e7lendiren unsur, son istatistiklerin bunun tek seferlik bir durum olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6stermesi. Ge\u00e7en hafta a\u00e7\u0131klanan Almanya ZEW Ekonomik G\u00fcven endeksi de beklentileri kar\u015f\u0131lamayarak 15,0 tahminine kar\u015f\u0131 12,5 seviyesine geriledi. Di\u011fer taraftan, \u0130ngiltere\u2019de May\u0131s \u00e7ekirdek T\u00dcFE\u2019nin beklenmedik \u015fekilde %3,1\u2019e y\u00fckselmesi, \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BoE) faiz indirimlerini erteleyebilece\u011fi; buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (ECB) daha gev\u015fek bir politika izlemek zorunda kalabilece\u011fi y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki spek\u00fclasyonlar\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131.<\/p>\n
Bu t\u00fcr bir politika ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131, 2022\u2019nin sonlar\u0131ndaki dinami\u011fi hat\u0131rlat\u0131yor: BoE\u2019nin agresif ad\u0131mlar\u0131 faiz fark\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7m\u0131\u015f ve EUR\/GBP\u2019yi belirgin \u015fekilde a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekmi\u015fti. Mevcut tablo\u2014zay\u0131f Euro B\u00f6lgesi ekonomisi ve \u0130ngiltere\u2019de inat\u00e7\u0131 enflasyon\u2014sterlin lehine benzer bir s\u00fcrecin tekrarlanma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda paritenin y\u0131lba\u015f\u0131ndan bu yana dip seviye olan 0,8611\u2019in alt\u0131na sarkma ihtimalini g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz.<\/p>\n
—<\/p>\n
Teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm paritenin simetrik \u00fc\u00e7gen i\u00e7inde i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne i\u015faret etti\u011finden, k\u0131r\u0131lma halinde volatilitede belirgin bir art\u0131\u015f bekliyoruz. Bu durum, riski tan\u0131mlayarak a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc harekete kat\u0131lmak i\u00e7in sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 cazip bir strateji haline getiriyor. 0,8600 kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131na yak\u0131n Temmuz vadeli put al\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n risk-getiri a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan uygun oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz.<\/p>\n
Vadeli i\u015flemler (futures) taraf\u0131nda ise, kritik 0,8630 destek seviyesinin alt\u0131nda teyitli bir g\u00fcnl\u00fck kapan\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fclmesi halinde k\u0131sa (short) pozisyon a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131 de\u011ferlendirilebilir. \u0130lk hedef y\u0131lba\u015f\u0131ndan bu yana dip b\u00f6lge olan 0,8611 civar\u0131 olurken, momentumun h\u0131zlanmas\u0131 durumunda 0,8550 b\u00f6lgesine do\u011fru ek bir geri \u00e7ekilme potansiyeli bulunuyor. 0,8655 diren\u00e7 seviyesinin hemen \u00fczerinde zarar-kes (stop-loss) emirleri belirlemek temkinli bir yakla\u015f\u0131m olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Euro\u2019da alarm zilleri: Zay\u0131f Almanya fabrika sipari\u015fleri EUR\/GBP\u2019yi bask\u0131lad\u0131. Parite 0,8637\u2019de, \u00fc\u00e7gen i\u00e7inde. 0,8630 alt\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa 0,8618-0,8611 hedef; diren\u00e7 0,8655-0,8675. BoE-ECB ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 sterlini destekliyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47666,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49472","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49472","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49472"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49472\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47666"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49472"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49472"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49472"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}