{"id":49470,"date":"2026-06-08T10:27:57","date_gmt":"2026-06-08T10:27:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/uob-usd-jpy-getiri-farkinin-destegiyle-160-uzerinde-tutunuyor-16075e-dogru-yukselis-egilimi-suruyor\/"},"modified":"2026-06-08T10:27:57","modified_gmt":"2026-06-08T10:27:57","slug":"uob-usd-jpy-getiri-farkinin-destegiyle-160-uzerinde-tutunuyor-16075e-dogru-yukselis-egilimi-suruyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/uob-usd-jpy-getiri-farkinin-destegiyle-160-uzerinde-tutunuyor-16075e-dogru-yukselis-egilimi-suruyor\/","title":{"rendered":"UOB: USD\/JPY, getiri fark\u0131n\u0131n deste\u011fiyle 160 \u00fczerinde tutunuyor; 160,75\u2019e do\u011fru y\u00fckseli\u015f e\u011filimi s\u00fcr\u00fcyor"},"content":{"rendered":"

USD\/JPY 160,00 seviyesinin \u00fczerinde kald\u0131 ve hafif art\u0131da tamamlayarak, New York seans\u0131n\u0131n erken saatlerinde 159,82\u2019ye gerilemesinin ve 160,34\u2019e y\u00fckselmesinin ard\u0131ndan yakla\u015f\u0131k 160,29\u2013160,25 band\u0131nda kapand\u0131. Parite, bir \u00f6nceki per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc 159,70\u2013160,07 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc ve UOB\u2019nin 24 saatlik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcnde 159,65\u2013160,15 band\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Son hareketle birlikte parite %0,17 y\u00fckselirken, k\u0131sa vadeli momentum 160,50\u2019ye do\u011fru bir uzamaya i\u015faret ediyor; 160,75 ise ana diren\u00e7 olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor ve hemen test edilmesi beklenmiyor. Destek 160,05\u2019te g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcrken, 159,95 alt\u0131na bir k\u0131r\u0131lma yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131n\u0131n zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret edecektir.<\/p>\n

1\u20133 haftal\u0131k ufukta UOB daha \u00f6nce piyasay\u0131 159,20 ile 160,30 aras\u0131nda yatay bantta de\u011ferlendirmi\u015f, 04 Haziran spot seviyesi 159,90 olarak belirtilmi\u015fti. Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc 160,30\u2019un \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131k\u0131lmas\u0131 ve 160,34 zirvesi, tonu yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentumda temkinli bir yeniden toparlanmaya \u00e7evirdi; 159,60 deste\u011fi korundu\u011fu s\u00fcrece 160,75\u2019e do\u011fru kademeli bir y\u00fckseli\u015f i\u00e7in alan bulunuyor.<\/p>\n

Yukar\u0131 Y\u00f6nl\u00fc E\u011filim ve Piyasa Dinamikleri<\/h3>\n

\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda USD\/JPY paritesinin \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 bir yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc e\u011filimi korumas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyoruz. Parite halihaz\u0131rda kritik 160,00 e\u015fi\u011finin \u00fczerinde tutunuyor; bu da 160,75\u2019e do\u011fru potansiyel ve kademeli bir t\u0131rman\u0131\u015fa i\u015faret ediyor. Bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n faizleri yakla\u015f\u0131k %5,3 civar\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131 seviyelerde tutmas\u0131 ile Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n faizi s\u0131f\u0131ra yak\u0131n seviyelerde b\u0131rakmas\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki geni\u015f faiz fark\u0131yla destekleniyor.<\/p>\n

Il\u0131ml\u0131 momentum dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n 2\u20133 hafta vadeli, kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 160,50 civar\u0131nda olan al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendirebilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Bu strateji, do\u011frudan uzun pozisyon ta\u015f\u0131maya k\u0131yasla daha s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 riskle beklenen yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc s\u00fcr\u00fcklenmeden faydalanmay\u0131 sa\u011flar. Son ABD Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam verisi i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131n\u0131n beklentilerden g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc seyretti\u011fine i\u015faret etti; bu da dolar\u0131 destekleyerek ani bir d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 azalt\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Opsiyon Stratejileri ve Risk Y\u00f6netimi<\/h3>\n

Alternatif olarak, kritik 159,60 destek seviyesinin alt\u0131nda bir kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131na sahip para d\u0131\u015f\u0131 (out-of-the-money) sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n sat\u0131lmas\u0131, prim geliri toplamak a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan uygulanabilir bir strateji olabilir. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m, parite a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131lmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece hem yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc e\u011filimden hem de zaman de\u011fer kayb\u0131ndan (theta) fayda sa\u011flar. Ancak temkinli olunmal\u0131; zira Japon yetkililer ge\u00e7mi\u015fte bu seviyeler civar\u0131nda yeni g\u00fc\u00e7lendirmek amac\u0131yla m\u00fcdahalelerde bulunmu\u015ftur; Nisan ve May\u0131s 2024\u2019teki m\u00fcdahaleler buna \u00f6rnektir.<\/p>\n

\u0130zlenmesi gereken kritik seviye 159,60\u2019taki g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc destektir. Bu fiyat\u0131n alt\u0131na kararl\u0131 bir k\u0131r\u0131lma, mevcut y\u00fckseli\u015f senaryomuzu ge\u00e7ersiz k\u0131lar ve yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131n\u0131n zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret eder. Bu nedenle, uzun y\u00f6nl\u00fc t\u00fcrev pozisyonlar\u0131nda risk y\u00f6netimi planlar\u0131 bu deste\u011fe ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak kurgulanmal\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

USD\/JPY 160,00 \u00fczerinde tutunarak %0,17 y\u00fckseldi; 160,50\u2019ye uzama sinyali verirken 160,75 kritik diren\u00e7. 160,05 destek; 159,95\/159,60 alt\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015fi zay\u0131flat\u0131r. Opsiyonla s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 risk \u00f6neriliyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47761,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49470","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49470","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49470"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49470\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47761"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49470"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49470"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49470"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}