{"id":49468,"date":"2026-06-08T09:58:01","date_gmt":"2026-06-08T09:58:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/usd-cad-fed-faiz-artisi-beklentilerinin-guclenmesi-ve-petrolun-loonie-uzerinde-baski-yaratmasiyla-iki-ayin-zirvesine-cikti\/"},"modified":"2026-06-08T09:58:01","modified_gmt":"2026-06-08T09:58:01","slug":"usd-cad-fed-faiz-artisi-beklentilerinin-guclenmesi-ve-petrolun-loonie-uzerinde-baski-yaratmasiyla-iki-ayin-zirvesine-cikti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/usd-cad-fed-faiz-artisi-beklentilerinin-guclenmesi-ve-petrolun-loonie-uzerinde-baski-yaratmasiyla-iki-ayin-zirvesine-cikti\/","title":{"rendered":"USD\/CAD, Fed faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklentilerinin g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesi ve petrol\u00fcn loonie \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yaratmas\u0131yla iki ay\u0131n zirvesine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"

USD\/CAD, Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki jeopolitik gerilimlerin artmas\u0131yla ABD dolar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik talebin desteklenmesi sonucu Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc erken Avrupa i\u015flemlerinde 1,3945 civar\u0131nda y\u00fckseldi ve 3 Nisan\u2019dan bu yana en g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc seviyesini g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Beklentileri a\u015fan ABD istihdam raporu da daha s\u0131k\u0131 bir politika beklentisini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi. CME FedWatch\u2019a g\u00f6re piyasalar Aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda bir Fed faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 %70\u2019in \u00fczerine ta\u015f\u0131rken, bu oran bir hafta \u00f6nce %45 seviyesindeydi.<\/p>\n

Teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan parite 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA ve 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck Bollinger orta band\u0131n\u0131n \u00fczerinde kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor; bu da yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc e\u011filimi koruyor. Ancak 73 seviyesindeki RSI a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m ko\u015fullar\u0131na ve konsolidasyon riskine i\u015faret ediyor. Fiyat, 1,3950 yak\u0131n\u0131ndaki \u00fcst Bollinger Band\u0131n\u0131 zorluyordu; bu b\u00f6lge ilk diren\u00e7 konumunda. Bu alan\u0131n \u00fczerinde g\u00fcnl\u00fck kapan\u0131\u015f, 1,4000 seviyesinin \u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7abilir. \u0130lk destek 1,3881\u2019de; ard\u0131ndan 1,3805 ve 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019n\u0131n ge\u00e7ti\u011fi 1,3722 izleniyor. Daha a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da ise 1,3660 civar\u0131nda daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir tampon bulunuyor.<\/p>\n

Politika Ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 Ve \u0130\u015flem Stratejileri<\/h3>\n

USD\/CAD\u2019deki g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc yukar\u0131 hareket, 1,3950 seviyesini test etti\u011fi bu a\u015famada aksiyon almam\u0131z gereken bir durum. May\u0131s 2026\u2019ya ili\u015fkin son ABD istihdam raporu, 255.000 ile g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir istihdam art\u0131\u015f\u0131na i\u015faret ederek g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc dolar ve daha \u015fahin bir Fed olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 destekliyor. Bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, Kanada\u2019n\u0131n 2026 1\u00c7 GSYH verilerindeki y\u0131ll\u0131kland\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f %0,9\u2019luk zay\u0131f b\u00fcy\u00fcme ile keskin bir tezat olu\u015fturuyor; bu da Kanada Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BoC) g\u00fcvercin duru\u015funu korumak zorunda kalabilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fcr\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Bu net politika ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde, paritede y\u00fckseli\u015fin s\u00fcrmesinden fayda sa\u011flayacak stratejilere bak\u0131yoruz. Temmuz vadeli, 1,4000 ve 1,4050 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n iyi bir yukar\u0131 potansiyel sundu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Z\u0131mni volatilitenin bir miktar y\u00fckselmi\u015f olmas\u0131 nedeniyle, ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7 maliyetini azaltmak i\u00e7in bir bull call spread de tercih edilebilir.<\/p>\n

Bununla birlikte RSI\u2019\u0131n 70\u2019in \u00fczerindeki a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m okumas\u0131, rallinin uzad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve k\u0131sa vadeli bir geri \u00e7ekilmenin m\u00fcmk\u00fcn oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor. Bu riski y\u00f6netmek i\u00e7in, olas\u0131 ani bir d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 korunma amac\u0131yla 1,3850 civar\u0131nda kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 k\u0131sa vadeli sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonlar\u0131 sat\u0131n almay\u0131 de\u011ferlendiriyoruz. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m, paritenin bir sonraki y\u00fckseli\u015f aya\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde konsolidasyona girmesi halinde bir g\u00fcvenlik a\u011f\u0131 sa\u011flar.<\/p>\n

Petrol Fiyatlar\u0131, Kanada Dolar\u0131ndaki Zay\u0131fl\u0131k Ve Yakla\u015fan Veriler<\/h3>\n

Kanada dolar\u0131ndaki zay\u0131fl\u0131k, daha yumu\u015fak petrol fiyatlar\u0131yla da besleniyor. WTI ham petrol, k\u00fcresel talebe ili\u015fkin endi\u015feler nedeniyle varil ba\u015f\u0131na 78 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde kalmakta zorlan\u0131yor. Tarihsel olarak, 2024 sonlar\u0131nda g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm\u00fcz d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f gibi WTI\u2019daki zay\u0131fl\u0131k d\u00f6nemleri CAD \u00fczerinde istikrarl\u0131 \u015fekilde bask\u0131 olu\u015fturdu. Bu olumsuz r\u00fczg\u00e2r\u0131n Kanada dolar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan s\u00fcrmesini bekliyoruz.<\/p>\n

\u0130leriye d\u00f6n\u00fck olarak, yakla\u015fan ABD ve Kanada T\u00dcFE enflasyon verileri kritik olacak. Verilerin, ABD\u2019de Kanada\u2019ya k\u0131yasla daha s\u0131cak fiyat bask\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 teyit edece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Bu da \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir USD\/CAD kuru beklentimizi\u3055\u3089\u306b destekleyecektir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Jeopolitik risk ve g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD istihdam\u0131 USD\/CAD\u2019i 1,3945\u2019e ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131; Fed art\u0131r\u0131m olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 %70\u2019i a\u015ft\u0131. Teknikte a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m sinyali var: 1,3950\/1,4000 diren\u00e7, 1,3881 destek.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47686,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49468","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49468","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49468"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49468\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47686"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49468"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49468"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49468"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}