WTI haftaya daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7 yapt\u0131; iki g\u00fcnl\u00fck d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f serisini sonland\u0131rmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan Asya i\u015flemlerinde 92,00 dolar civar\u0131nda tutundu. K\u00f6rfez\u2019de yeniden alevlenen \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n \u00fc\u00e7 ayd\u0131r s\u00fcren krizin bitmesine y\u00f6nelik beklentileri zay\u0131flatmas\u0131, petrol\u00fc destekledi. \u0130srail, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n pazar gecesi Ramat David hava \u00fcss\u00fcne balistik f\u00fcze dalgalar\u0131 g\u00f6ndermesinin ard\u0131ndan \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n bat\u0131 ve orta kesimlerindeki askeri hedeflere yeni sald\u0131r\u0131lar d\u00fczenlendi\u011fini bildirdi. G\u00fcney L\u00fcbnan ve kuzey Irak\u2019ta \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalara ili\u015fkin ek haberler ile H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n fiilen kapanmas\u0131, arz riski endi\u015felerini art\u0131rarak petrol\u00fc destekledi.<\/p>\n
Teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan fiyatlar, d\u00f6rt saatlik grafikte 200 periyotluk SMA\u2019n\u0131n alt\u0131nda bask\u0131lanmaya devam ediyor; s\u00f6z konusu diren\u00e7 95,38 dolar seviyesinde \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. MACD h\u00e2l\u00e2 hafif negatif b\u00f6lgede seyrederken, RSI 56 civar\u0131nda bulunuyor; bu da 200-SMA bariyeri yeniden a\u015f\u0131lmad\u0131k\u00e7a yaln\u0131zca s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir pozitif e\u011filime i\u015faret ediyor. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131da 86,50\u201386,00 band\u0131nda destek izlenirken, bu b\u00f6lgenin alt\u0131na sarkma 81,00 dolar alt\u0131na do\u011fru bir hareketi g\u00fcndeme getirebilir; buras\u0131 nisan ay\u0131ndaki ayl\u0131k dip sal\u0131n\u0131m\u0131 olarak tan\u0131mlan\u0131yor. Ayr\u0131ca API ve EIA haftal\u0131k stok raporlar\u0131 sal\u0131 ve takip eden g\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131klanacak; sonu\u00e7lar zaman\u0131n %75\u2019inde birbirinin %1\u2019i i\u00e7inde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fiyor.<\/p>\n
Son fiyat hareketi dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, ham petrol\u00fcn 92,00 dolar civar\u0131nda tutundu\u011funu g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz; ana itici g\u00fc\u00e7 Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da t\u0131rmanan \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma. \u0130srail ile \u0130ran aras\u0131nda bildirilen sald\u0131r\u0131lar, daha geni\u015f \u00e7apl\u0131 bir b\u00f6lgesel sava\u015f riskini g\u00fcndeme ta\u015f\u0131yarak \u00f6nemli bir kataliz\u00f6r olu\u015fturuyor. Bu jeopolitik gerilim, baz\u0131 zay\u0131f teknik sinyalleri g\u00f6lgede b\u0131rakarak piyasan\u0131n mevcut g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn ba\u015fl\u0131ca nedeni konumunda.<\/p>\n
H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n fiilen kapanmas\u0131, yak\u0131ndan izlenmesi gereken kritik bir arz riski. Tarihsel olarak k\u00fcresel petrol ak\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n %20\u2019sinden fazlas\u0131n\u0131n ge\u00e7ti\u011fi bu bo\u011fazdaki herhangi bir aksama, fiyatlarda anl\u0131k s\u0131\u00e7ramalara yol a\u00e7\u0131yor. EIA\u2019n\u0131n son analizine g\u00f6re tam bir kapanma, piyasadan g\u00fcnl\u00fck 17 milyon varilin \u00fczerinde arz\u0131 \u00e7ekerek ciddi bir arz \u015foku yaratabilir.<\/p>\n
\u0130\u015flem perspektifinden izlenecek ana seviye, 4 saatlik grafikte \u015fu anda 95,38 dolar civar\u0131nda diren\u00e7 olarak \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan 200 periyotluk hareketli ortalama. Bu seviyenin \u00fczerine kararl\u0131 bir k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m ve kal\u0131c\u0131l\u0131k, yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentumun g\u00fc\u00e7lendi\u011fine i\u015faret ederek 100 dolara do\u011fru bir hareketin \u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7abilir. Ancak o zamana kadar temkinli olmak gerekiyor; zira hafif negatif MACD g\u00f6stergesi, altta yatan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n tamamen ortadan kalkmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n
A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 tarafta 86,50 ile 86,00 aras\u0131ndaki g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc destek b\u00f6lgesi izleniyor. K\u00f6rfez\u2019de gerilimin azalmas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik i\u015faretler, fiyatlar\u0131n bu alan\u0131 h\u0131zl\u0131 bi\u00e7imde test etmesine neden olabilir. Bu deste\u011fin alt\u0131na k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m, muhtemelen sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 tetikleyerek put opsiyonlar\u0131 veya di\u011fer d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc stratejileri daha cazip hale getirebilir.<\/p>\n
Ge\u00e7en haftaki Enerji Enformasyon \u0130daresi (EIA) stok verileri 2,1 milyon varillik s\u00fcrpriz bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe i\u015faret etmi\u015fti; bu durum mevcut fiyat\u0131 destekliyor. ABD arz\u0131n\u0131n s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131na dair teyit i\u00e7in bu haftaki API ve EIA raporlar\u0131 yak\u0131ndan izlenecek. Bir ba\u015fka belirgin stok azalmas\u0131, \u00f6zellikle mevcut jeopolitik riskler \u0131\u015f\u0131\u011f\u0131nda y\u00fckseli\u015f senaryosunu g\u00fc\u00e7lendirebilir.<\/p>\n
Talep taraf\u0131nda k\u00fcresel ekonomik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm karma\u015f\u0131k; IMF\u2019nin son tahmini 2026 i\u00e7in %3,1\u2019lik s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcme \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor. \u00c7in\u2019den gelen son g\u00fcmr\u00fck verileri ham petrol ithalat\u0131nda bir miktar yumu\u015famaya i\u015faret etti; bu unsur, kontrols\u00fcz bir fiyat rallisini s\u0131n\u0131rlayabilir. Bu durumun, ger\u00e7ek bir arz felaketi ya\u015fanmad\u0131k\u00e7a fiyatlar\u0131n ne kadar y\u00fckselebilece\u011fine \u201cyumu\u015fak bir tavan\u201d olu\u015fturdu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz.<\/p>\n
OPEC+ ise ge\u00e7en hafta yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 toplant\u0131da mevcut \u00fcretim kotalar\u0131n\u0131 koruyarak s\u0131k\u0131 arz g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc destekledi; karar, belirsizlik ortam\u0131nda piyasa istikrar\u0131 ihtiyac\u0131na dayand\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131. Bu ad\u0131m, yak\u0131n vadede piyasaya gelebilecek ilave variller i\u00e7in potansiyel bir kayna\u011f\u0131 devre d\u0131\u015f\u0131 b\u0131rak\u0131yor. Bunu, kartelin \u015fimdilik 90-100 dolar aral\u0131\u011f\u0131ndaki fiyatlardan rahat oldu\u011fu \u015feklinde yorumluyoruz.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Petrolde kritik e\u015fik: WTI 92 dolarda tutunuyor. K\u00f6rfez gerilimi ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz riski arz endi\u015fesini art\u0131rd\u0131. Teknikte 95,38 diren\u00e7; 86,00 destek. API\/EIA stoklar\u0131 yeni y\u00f6n verebilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47763,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49458","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49458","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49458"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49458\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47763"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49458"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49458"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49458"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}