GBP\/USD, 1,3470 seviyesinin \u00fczerinde kalmay\u0131 ba\u015faramas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan geri d\u00f6nd\u00fc ve k\u0131sa vadeli momentum a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fcye d\u00f6nd\u00fc. Parite 1,3460 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fckten sonra k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli\u011fine 1,3470\u2019e dokundu ancak ard\u0131ndan 1,3412\u2019ye geriledi; hareket a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m ko\u015fullar\u0131 yaratm\u0131\u015f olsa da 1,3405\u2019in yeniden test edilmesi i\u00e7in alan b\u0131rakt\u0131. Yak\u0131n vadeli diren\u00e7 1,3445 ve ard\u0131ndan 1,3460 seviyelerinde g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcrken, 1,3390 deste\u011finin ise parite 1,3470\u2019in alt\u0131nda bask\u0131lanmaya devam etmedik\u00e7e test edilmesinin daha az olas\u0131 oldu\u011fu belirtiliyor.<\/p>\n
1\u20133 haftal\u0131k ufukta, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentum h\u0131z kazanm\u0131\u015f olsa da fiyat hareketi h\u00e2l\u00e2 1,3390 ile 1,3510 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda bir bant olarak de\u011ferlendiriliyor. GBP\/USD\u2019nin 1,3470 diren\u00e7 seviyesinin alt\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rmeye devam etmesi halinde, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki birka\u00e7 g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde 1,3390\u2019\u0131n alt\u0131na k\u0131r\u0131lma riskinin artmas\u0131 bekleniyor. Daha uzun vadede ise 1,3300\u2019\u00fcn alt\u0131nda haftal\u0131k kapan\u0131\u015f, 1,2945\/1,3010 b\u00f6lgesine do\u011fru yolu a\u00e7abilir.<\/p>\n
GBP\/USD\u2019de 1,3470 seviyesinin \u00fczerinde tutunamamas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan belirgin bir d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Bu reddedilme, ge\u00e7en \u00e7eyrekte sadece %0,1 b\u00fcy\u00fcme g\u00f6steren son Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k GSYH verileriyle de \u00f6rt\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor ve ekonomideki durgun g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcme i\u015faret ediyor. Sonu\u00e7 olarak k\u0131sa vadeli momentum net bi\u00e7imde a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6ne kaym\u0131\u015f durumda.<\/p>\n
1,3390\u2019\u0131n alt\u0131na k\u0131r\u0131lma riskinin artmas\u0131n\u0131 dikkate alarak put opsiyonlar\u0131nda al\u0131m taraf\u0131na bak\u0131yoruz. Temmuz vadeli 1,3400 put al\u0131p 1,3300 put satarak olu\u015fturulabilecek bir bear put spread, bu harekete tan\u0131ml\u0131 riskle pozisyon almak i\u00e7in uygun bir y\u00f6ntem sunuyor. Bu strateji, ge\u00e7en haftaki g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc 225 binlik Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam (NFP) verisinin ard\u0131ndan Fed\u2019in \u015fahin duru\u015funu korumas\u0131yla belirginle\u015fen politika ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131ndan da fayda sa\u011fl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
1,3470 seviyesi art\u0131k g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir tavan i\u015flevi g\u00f6r\u00fcyor ve bu b\u00f6lge etraf\u0131nda prim sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 f\u0131rsat\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. K\u0131sa kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 1,3450 civar\u0131nda olan bir bear call spread, s\u00f6z konusu diren\u00e7 korundu\u011fu s\u00fcrece etkili olabilir. Bu bak\u0131\u015f, son Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k enflasyon verilerinin %3,1\u2019e gerilemesine ra\u011fmen Bank of England\u2019\u0131 daha agresif bir duru\u015fa zorlayacak kadar y\u00fcksek olmamas\u0131yla da destekleniyor.<\/p>\n
Bu tablo, 2022-2023 d\u00f6neminde Fed\u2019in agresif faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n Bank of England\u2019\u0131 geride b\u0131rakarak sterlinde belirgin zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011fa yol a\u00e7t\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcreci and\u0131r\u0131yor. Bu nedenle 1,3300 psikolojik seviyesinin alt\u0131nda haftal\u0131k kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131 yak\u0131ndan izliyoruz. Burada ya\u015fanacak bir k\u0131r\u0131lma, 1,3000 b\u00f6lgesine do\u011fru \u00e7ok daha b\u00fcy\u00fck bir a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 hareketi tetikleyebilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Sterlin\/dolar 1,3470\u2019i a\u015famay\u0131nca sert d\u00f6nd\u00fc; momentum negatif. 1,3412 sonras\u0131 1,3405\/1,3390 kritik: k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa 1,3300 riski b\u00fcy\u00fcr. BoE-Fed ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 bask\u0131y\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131yor; opsiyon stratejileri g\u00fcndemde.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47767,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49408","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49408","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49408"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49408\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47767"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49408"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49408"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49408"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}