EUR\/USD, Asya seans\u0131n\u0131n erken saatlerinde 1,1625 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fckten sonra 1,1590\u2019a do\u011fru gerileyerek kritik bir destek seviyesini yeniden g\u00fcndeme ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131. Parite 1,1594 ile dip g\u00f6r\u00fcrken, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentum artm\u0131\u015f olsa da hareket \u015fimdilik kontroll\u00fc kald\u0131. UOB, 1,1590\u2019\u0131 k\u0131sa vadeli taban olarak konumlarken, diren\u00e7 seviyelerini 1,1620 ve ard\u0131ndan 1,1635 olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcyor; 1,1645 \u00fczeri bir hareket ise a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc e\u011filim yerine bant hareketine i\u015faret edecek.<\/p>\n
1\u20133 haftal\u0131k perspektifte banka, 25 May\u0131s\u2019tan (spot 1,1620 iken) bu yana korudu\u011fu \u015fekilde 1,1590\u20131,1685 band\u0131nda konsolidasyon beklentisini s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. 1,1590 alt\u0131na k\u0131r\u0131lma ve bu seviyenin alt\u0131nda kal\u0131c\u0131l\u0131k, 1,1555\u2019e do\u011fru a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc riski art\u0131racak ve hareket 1,1540 trend \u00e7izgisine kadar uzayabilecek. Bu senaryonun, \u201cg\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc diren\u00e7\u201d olarak tan\u0131mlanan 1,1655\u2019in a\u015f\u0131lmamas\u0131 ko\u015fuluyla ge\u00e7erli kalmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n
—<\/p>\n
Euro\u2019yu 1,1590 civar\u0131ndaki ana destek seviyesini test ederken yak\u0131ndan izliyoruz. Bu seviye kritik; alt\u0131na bir k\u0131r\u0131lma, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda parite i\u00e7in yeni bir a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 baca\u011f\u0131n sinyali olacakt\u0131r. K\u0131sa vadeli e\u011filimimiz a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc; momentum ABD Dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda ilave zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011fa i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n
Dolar\u0131n g\u00fcc\u00fc, ABD ekonomisinin dayan\u0131kl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret eden son verilerle destekleniyor. \u00d6rne\u011fin May\u0131s 2026 tarihli son Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam (Non-Farm Payrolls) raporu 215 binlik art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6stererek analist beklentilerini a\u015ft\u0131 ve Fed\u2019in mevcut politika patikas\u0131n\u0131 de\u011fi\u015ftirmek i\u00e7in s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 gerek\u00e7esi oldu\u011funa i\u015faret etti. Bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nden gelen daha \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme verileriyle tezat olu\u015fturuyor; 1\u00c7 GSYH b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi %0,2\u2019ye a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc revize edildi.<\/p>\n
—<\/p>\n
Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan 1,1590\u2019\u0131n alt\u0131na olas\u0131 bir k\u0131r\u0131lmaya y\u00f6nelik pozisyonlanmada f\u0131rsat g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 1,1550 veya 1,1500 olan ve vadesi haziran sonu ya da temmuz ba\u015f\u0131na denk gelen put opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n al\u0131m\u0131, cazip bir risk-getiri profili sunabilir. Bu strateji, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 harekete kat\u0131l\u0131m sa\u011flarken maksimum potansiyel zarar\u0131 net bi\u00e7imde s\u0131n\u0131rlar.<\/p>\n
EUR\/USD\u2019de mevcut 1 ayl\u0131k ima edilen volatilite yakla\u015f\u0131k %6,8 seviyesinde ve tarihsel olarak y\u00fcksek say\u0131lmaz. Bu da opsiyon al\u0131m\u0131n\u0131, y\u00f6nl\u00fc g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f ifade etmek i\u00e7in g\u00f6rece maliyet-etkin hale getiriyor. Deste\u011fin net bi\u00e7imde k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 volatiliteyi yukar\u0131 \u00e7ekerek bu uzun put pozisyonlar\u0131n\u0131n de\u011ferini art\u0131rabilir.<\/p>\n
Alternatif olarak, 1,1590 deste\u011finin korunaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6renler i\u00e7in d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir kredi spread\u2019i sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 de\u011ferlendirilebilir. \u00d6rne\u011fin 1,1550 put sat\u0131p 1,1500 put almak suretiyle prim tahsil edilebilir. Bu strateji, opsiyon vadesi boyunca Euro\u2019nun 1,1550 \u00fczerinde kalmas\u0131 halinde k\u00e2r sa\u011flar.<\/p>\n
Yukar\u0131 tarafta izlenecek kritik seviye 1,1655; buray\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc diren\u00e7 olarak de\u011ferlendiriyoruz. Euro bu seviyenin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece 1,1555 hedefimize do\u011fru geri \u00e7ekilme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 korunuyor. 1,1655 \u00fczerinde ikna edici bir hareket, k\u0131sa vadeli a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131n\u0131n zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret edecektir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Alarm: EUR\/USD 1,1590 kritik deste\u011fi yeniden test ediyor. UOB, 1,1620-1,1635 diren\u00e7; 1,1590 alt\u0131 1,1555\/1,1540 riskini art\u0131r\u0131r. Dolar g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc verilerle destekli, opsiyon stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47700,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49406","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49406","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49406"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49406\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47700"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49406"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49406"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49406"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}