QQQ, 31 Mart 2026\u2019da 555,55 dolarda dip yapt\u0131ktan sonra (1) dalgas\u0131nda 722,03 dolara y\u00fckseldi; ard\u0131ndan (2) dalgas\u0131 695,25 dolarda tamamland\u0131. Sonraki y\u00fckseli\u015f (3) dalgas\u0131 olarak etiketlendi ve itici (impulsif) bir Elliott Dalga dizilimi \u015feklinde haritaland\u0131: ((i)) dalgas\u0131 706,49 dolarda bitti, ard\u0131ndan ((ii)) dalgas\u0131 700,20 dolarda tamamland\u0131 ve ((iii)) dalgas\u0131 737,60 dolara ula\u015ft\u0131. Sonras\u0131nda ((iv)) dalgas\u0131 725,27 dolara geri \u00e7ekildi ve ((v)) dalgas\u0131 748,65 dolara uzayarak daha y\u00fcksek dereceli d\u00f6ng\u00fcn\u00fcn (cycle) 1. dalgas\u0131n\u0131 tamamlad\u0131.<\/p>\n
QQQ \u015fu anda 2. dalgada ve 19 May\u0131s 2026\u2019daki dipten ba\u015flayan d\u00f6ng\u00fcy\u00fc d\u00fczeltiyor. ((w)) dalgas\u0131 741,01 dolarda sona erdi ve ((x)) dalgas\u0131 745,76 dolarda tepe yapt\u0131; ((y)) dalgas\u0131n\u0131n ise 733,60\u2013738,20 dolar band\u0131nda destek bulmas\u0131 bekleniyor. 695,18 dolar seviyesinde kritik bir pivot bulunuyor; bu seviye korunduk\u00e7a geri \u00e7ekilmeler, 3, 7 veya 11 sal\u0131n\u0131m s\u00fcrebilecek bir hareket i\u00e7inde d\u00fczeltme niteli\u011finde de\u011ferlendiriliyor.<\/p>\n
Nasdaq 100\u2019deki mevcut geri \u00e7ekilmeyi, bir sonraki yukar\u0131 hareket i\u00e7in pozisyon almak ad\u0131na f\u0131rsat olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. QQQ 733,60\u2013738,20 dolarl\u0131k hedef destek b\u00f6lgesine yakla\u015ft\u0131k\u00e7a y\u00fckseli\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyonlara girmeyi ama\u00e7l\u0131yoruz. Opsiyonlar taraf\u0131nda bu, beklenen tepki y\u00fckseli\u015finden faydalanmak i\u00e7in kullan\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 (out-of-the-money) put spread satmak veya call spread almak \u015feklinde kurgulanabilir.<\/p>\n
Bu piyasa zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131, ge\u00e7en hafta yay\u0131mlanan g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc May\u0131s 2026 istihdam raporuyla ili\u015fkili g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Rapora g\u00f6re ekonomi 190 bin beklentiye kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k 255 bin istihdam ekledi. Bu kuvvetli veri, Fed\u2019den yak\u0131n vadede faiz indirimi beklentilerini ge\u00e7ici olarak zay\u0131flatarak d\u00fczenli bir k\u00e2r realizasyonunu tetikledi. Ancak biz bunu, daha b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7ekte temeli sa\u011flam bir y\u00fckseli\u015f trendi i\u00e7inde k\u0131sa vadeli bir reaksiyon olarak de\u011ferlendiriyoruz.<\/p>\n
Temel tarafta g\u00fc\u00e7 korunuyor; teknoloji sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde \u015firket k\u00e2rlar\u0131, yapay zek\u00e2 altyap\u0131s\u0131na s\u00fcregelen yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n etkisiyle beklentileri a\u015fmaya devam ediyor. Ayr\u0131ca son T\u00dcFE (CPI) verisi, \u00e7ekirdek enflasyonun y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda %2,8\u2019e geriledi\u011fini g\u00f6sterdi; bu da Fed politikas\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. Bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc istihdam verisinin yol a\u00e7t\u0131\u011f\u0131 geri \u00e7ekilmenin k\u0131sa \u00f6m\u00fcrl\u00fc olaca\u011f\u0131 fikrini destekliyor.<\/p>\n
Tarihsel olarak bunun gibi g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bo\u011fa piyasalar\u0131nda, bir sonraki y\u00fckseli\u015f baca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde %2\u20134\u2019l\u00fck d\u00fczeltmeler s\u0131k g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcr ve sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131d\u0131r. 748,65 dolarl\u0131k zirveden ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen mevcut d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f bu kal\u0131ba olduk\u00e7a iyi uyuyor. Volatilite Endeksi\u2019nin (VIX) 14 civar\u0131ndaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyelerde yatay seyretmesi, piyasada kayg\u0131n\u0131n s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 oldu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor; bu da geri \u00e7ekilmeyi al\u0131m f\u0131rsat\u0131 olarak kullanma g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcz\u00fc g\u00fc\u00e7lendiriyor.<\/p>\n
Stratejimiz, hedef destek b\u00f6lgesi i\u00e7inde fiyat\u0131n istikrar kazanmas\u0131n\u0131 izledikten sonra yeni pozisyonlar\u0131 devreye almak. Y\u00fckseli\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc i\u015flemlerde temel risk y\u00f6netimi seviyemiz olarak 695,18 dolarl\u0131k pivotu kullanaca\u011f\u0131z. Bu destek korundu\u011fu s\u00fcrece, d\u00fczeltme faz\u0131 tamamland\u0131\u011f\u0131nda ana y\u00fckseli\u015f trendinin yeniden devreye girme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirgin \u015fekilde a\u011f\u0131r bas\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
QQQ\u2019da geri \u00e7ekilme f\u0131rsata m\u0131 d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor? Elliott\u2019a g\u00f6re 748,65 sonras\u0131 2. dalga s\u00fcr\u00fcyor; 733,60\u2013738,20 destek hedef. 695,18 pivot korunursa al\u0131m\/opsiyon stratejileriyle yeni y\u00fckseli\u015f baca\u011f\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47759,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49402","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49402","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49402"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49402\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47759"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49402"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49402"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49402"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}