{"id":49321,"date":"2026-06-03T09:03:46","date_gmt":"2026-06-03T09:03:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/uob-eur-usdnin-yatay-seyredecegini-ongoruyor-asagi-yonlu-momentum-guclenirken-11590-destegi-odakta\/"},"modified":"2026-06-03T09:03:46","modified_gmt":"2026-06-03T09:03:46","slug":"uob-eur-usdnin-yatay-seyredecegini-ongoruyor-asagi-yonlu-momentum-guclenirken-11590-destegi-odakta","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/uob-eur-usdnin-yatay-seyredecegini-ongoruyor-asagi-yonlu-momentum-guclenirken-11590-destegi-odakta\/","title":{"rendered":"UOB, EUR\/USD\u2019nin yatay seyredece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor; a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentum g\u00fc\u00e7lenirken 1,1590 deste\u011fi odakta"},"content":{"rendered":"

UOB\u2019nin Quek Ser Leang ve Lee Sue Ann\u2019i EUR\/USD\u2019de k\u0131sa vadede n\u00f6tr duru\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 korudu. Paritenin k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli\u011fine 1,1606\u2019ya gerilemesinin ard\u0131ndan 1,1590-1,1685 band\u0131nda yatay seyir beklediler. Son seansta EUR\/USD 1,1613-1,1655 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda hareket etti ve %0,01 art\u0131\u015fla 1,1631\u2019de kapan\u0131\u015f yapt\u0131; stratejistler a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentumda temkinli bir art\u0131\u015fa dikkat \u00e7ekti. 1,1605\u2019in yeniden test edilmesi i\u00e7in alan g\u00f6rd\u00fcklerini, 1,1590 seviyesinin ise yak\u0131n vadede zorlanmas\u0131n\u0131n olas\u0131 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirttiler; buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k 1,1645 \u00fczeri bir hamlenin yeniden yatay seyre i\u015faret edece\u011fini ifade ettiler.<\/p>\n

Bir ila \u00fc\u00e7 haftal\u0131k g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde, 25 May\u0131s\u2019ta spot 1,1620 iken ortaya koyduklar\u0131 \u00e7er\u00e7eveyi yinelediler: EUR\/USD n\u00f6tr ve 1,1590-1,1685 aras\u0131nda dalgalanmaya devam edebilir. Bununla birlikte, k\u0131sa vadeli a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentumdaki son art\u0131\u015f\u0131n 1,1590 alt\u0131na k\u0131r\u0131lma riskini y\u00fckseltti\u011fini s\u00f6ylediler. Ayr\u0131 olarak, 1,1540 trend \u00e7izgisinin alt\u0131na bir hareketin, analizlerine g\u00f6re \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki aylarda 1,1410\u2019a do\u011fru alan a\u00e7aca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kaydettiler. Metin, bir yapay zek\u00e2 arac\u0131 yard\u0131m\u0131yla haz\u0131rlanm\u0131\u015f ve bir edit\u00f6r taraf\u0131ndan g\u00f6zden ge\u00e7irilmi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n

Piyasa G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc ve Etkileyen Fakt\u00f6rler<\/h3>\n

EUR\/USD paritesinin \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki birka\u00e7 hafta boyunca n\u00f6tr bir bantta s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, b\u00fcy\u00fck olas\u0131l\u0131kla 1,1590 ile 1,1685 aras\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Ancak g\u00f6z ard\u0131 edilemeyecek \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde kademeli bir a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131 birikimi var. Yak\u0131n vadede odak 1,1605 destek seviyesi.<\/p>\n

Bu \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filimi, son ekonomik verilerle de destekleniyor. May\u0131s 2026\u2019ya ili\u015fkin Euro B\u00f6lgesi \u00f6nc\u00fc T\u00dcFE verisi %2,3 ile beklentilerin biraz alt\u0131nda ve bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck geldi; bu durum Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (ECB) agresif s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131 azalt\u0131yor. T\u00fcm dikkatler \u015fimdi bu Cuma a\u00e7\u0131klanacak ABD Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam (NFP) verisinde; beklentiler 210 binlik g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir art\u0131\u015fa i\u015faret ediyor ve bunun dolar\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirmesi muhtemel.<\/p>\n

\u0130\u015flem Stratejileri ve Risk Seviyeleri<\/h3>\n

Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede, s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir geri \u00e7ekilme ya da yatay harekete oynayan stratejilere bak\u0131yoruz. \u00d6rne\u011fin 1,1625 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 put al\u0131p 1,1590 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 put satmaktan olu\u015fan bir ay\u0131 put spread\u2019i, band\u0131n alt s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131n\u0131n test edilmesine y\u00f6nelik, riski tan\u0131ml\u0131 bir pozisyonlanma sunar. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc s\u00fcr\u00fcklenmeden faydalan\u0131rken potansiyel zararlar\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlar.<\/p>\n

Alternatif olarak, ima edilen volatilite CVIX endeksinde 6,5 civar\u0131nda \u00e7ok ayl\u0131k dip seviyelere yak\u0131n seyretti\u011finden, prim satmak cazip bir se\u00e7enek. K\u0131sa baca\u011f\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131k 1,1650 kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131nda olan bir ay\u0131 call spread satman\u0131n gelir elde etmek i\u00e7in iyi bir y\u00f6ntem oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Bu pozisyon, vade sonunda kur 1,1650\u2019nin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece parite a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 giderse, yatay kal\u0131rsa hatta s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 y\u00fckselirse bile kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flar.<\/p>\n

1,1590 deste\u011finin alt\u0131na bir k\u0131r\u0131lma ihtimaline kar\u015f\u0131 tetikte olmak gerekiyor; bu, daha ciddi bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn sinyali olabilir. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda 1,1540 trend \u00e7izgisinin alt\u0131nda bir kapan\u0131\u015f, 1,1410 b\u00f6lgesine do\u011fru \u00e7ok daha b\u00fcy\u00fck bir a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 hareket olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fcndeme getirecektir. 2023\u2019\u00fcn sonlar\u0131nda benzer bir konsolidasyon g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015f ve kritik ABD veri a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan sert bir a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131lmayla sonu\u00e7lanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

EUR\/USD\u2019da UOB n\u00f6tr: 1,1590-1,1685 band\u0131 korunuyor. 1,1605 deste\u011fi \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131karken a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 momentum art\u0131yor; NFP dolar\u0131 destekleyebilir. 1,1590 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa 1,1540 alt\u0131 1,1410\u2019u g\u00fcndeme ta\u015f\u0131r.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47731,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49321","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49321","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49321"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49321\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47731"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49321"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49321"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49321"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}