USD\/CNH Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde yatay seyretti; 6,7627-6,7708 band\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fckten sonra 0,01% art\u0131\u015fla 6,7652 seviyesinden kapand\u0131. Buna ra\u011fmen paritenin tonu yumu\u015fad\u0131; kal\u0131c\u0131 bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften ziyade, g\u00fcn i\u00e7i 6,7595-6,7690 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7inde a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc kademeli bir e\u011filime i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n
Bir ila \u00fc\u00e7 haftal\u0131k perspektifte, 29 May\u0131s g\u00fcncellemesinde spot 6,7740 iken a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n i\u00e7in 6,7620 seviyesi i\u015faretlenmesinin ard\u0131ndan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filimi korunuyor. Parite daha sonra 6,7605\u2019e geriledi ve a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentumun h\u00e2l\u00e2 s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 (mild) oldu\u011fu, hareketin ise hen\u00fcz istikrar kazanmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtilirken odak 6,7500 seviyesine kay\u0131yor. 6,7800 \u00fczerine bir k\u0131r\u0131lma, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn istikrar kazand\u0131\u011f\u0131na dair kan\u0131t olarak de\u011ferlendirilecek ve \u00f6nceki 6,7900 diren\u00e7 referans\u0131n\u0131n yerini alacak.<\/p>\n
USD\/CNH i\u00e7in temel tonun zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz; bu da \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda kademeli bir a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc s\u00fcr\u00fcklenmeye i\u015faret ediyor. Sert bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f beklememekle birlikte, en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck diren\u00e7li patika 6,7500 seviyesine do\u011fru g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Bu da offshore yuan kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda ABD dolar\u0131 aleyhine d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyonlar i\u00e7in f\u0131rsatlara i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrev i\u015flemler taraf\u0131nda bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, beklenen d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften faydalanmak i\u00e7in USD\/CNH put opsiyonlar\u0131 al\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 veya bear put spread kurulmas\u0131n\u0131 destekliyor. Kritik nokta, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc diren\u00e7 olarak g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm\u00fcz 6,7800 seviyesi \u00e7evresinde risk y\u00f6netimi. Bu seviyenin a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131, negatif g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcz\u00fcn stabilize oldu\u011funa i\u015faret eder ve pozisyonlar\u0131n yeniden de\u011ferlendirilmesi gerekir.<\/p>\n
Bu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f, \u00c7in\u2019de dayan\u0131kl\u0131l\u0131\u011fa i\u015faret eden son verilerle de destekleniyor; May\u0131s 2026 Caixin \u0130malat PMI beklentilerin aksine 51,7\u2019ye y\u00fckseldi. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k ABD ekonomisinde so\u011fuma sinyalleri belirginle\u015fiyor; son JOLTS a\u00e7\u0131k i\u015f say\u0131s\u0131 raporu iki y\u0131l\u0131 a\u015fk\u0131n s\u00fcrenin en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesine geriledi. Bu ayr\u0131\u015fma, yuan\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesini destekliyor.<\/p>\n
Tarihsel olarak, ABD\u2019de ekonomik momentum zay\u0131flarken \u00c7in g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc iyile\u015fti\u011finde benzer desenler g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. Fed\u2019in s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma beklentilerinin zirve yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6nemde, 2022 sonu ve 2023 ba\u015f\u0131nda USD\/CNH paritesinde belirgin bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ya\u015fanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Bu ge\u00e7mi\u015f performans, mevcut tablonun kal\u0131c\u0131 olmasa da kademeli bir a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketi tetikleyebilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fcr\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
USD\/CNH yatay kapan\u0131\u015fa ra\u011fmen yumu\u015fuyor: bant i\u00e7i kademeli a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 e\u011filim s\u00fcr\u00fcyor. G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm 6,7500 hedefini \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131rken 6,7800 \u00fczeri k\u0131r\u0131lma riski art\u0131r\u0131r. Put\/bear spread \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. \u00c7in PMI g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc, ABD JOLTS zay\u0131f.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49797,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49303","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49303","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49303"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49303\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/49797"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49303"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49303"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49303"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}