ABD haftal\u0131k ham petrol stoklar\u0131, API verilerine g\u00f6re 29 May\u0131s ile sona eren haftada beklentilerin \u00fczerinde geriledi. Stoklar 6,75 milyon varil azal\u0131rken, piyasa beklentisi 3,6 milyon varillik d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6n\u00fcndeydi.<\/p>\n
Beklenenden daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc stok \u00e7ekili\u015fi, may\u0131s sonu i\u00e7in piyasan\u0131n \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnden daha s\u0131k\u0131 bir k\u0131sa vadeli arz dengesi i\u015faret ediyor. Rapor, API\u2019nin takip etti\u011fi ABD ham petrol stok seviyelerindeki son haftal\u0131k de\u011fi\u015fimi kaps\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Son ham petrol stok raporu, yakla\u015f\u0131k 6,8 milyon varillik bir \u00e7ekili\u015fe i\u015faret ederek tahmin edilen miktar\u0131n neredeyse iki kat\u0131na ula\u015ft\u0131. Bu belirgin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f, talebin piyasalar\u0131n \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnden \u00e7ok daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc oldu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor. Bunu, petrol fiyatlar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan yak\u0131n vadede net bir \u201cyukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc\u201d sinyal olarak de\u011ferlendiriyoruz.<\/p>\n
Bu stok gerilemesi, yaz s\u00fcr\u00fc\u015f sezonunun ba\u015flamas\u0131yla ayn\u0131 d\u00f6neme denk geliyor. Son veriler, ABD benzin talebinin ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re yakla\u015f\u0131k %3 daha y\u00fcksek seyretti\u011fini, rafineri kullan\u0131m oranlar\u0131n\u0131n ise bu art\u0131\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131lamak \u00fczere %94\u2019\u00fcn \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Bu temel g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, fiyatlarda kal\u0131c\u0131 bir y\u00fckseli\u015f ihtimalini destekliyor.<\/p>\n
\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc fiyat hareketine y\u00f6nelik pozisyon alman\u0131n de\u011ferlendirilebilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Bu, WTI ya da Brent vadeli i\u015flemleri \u00fczerine \u00f6zellikle temmuz ve a\u011fustos vadeli kontratlarda al\u0131m (call) opsiyonu sat\u0131n almay\u0131 i\u00e7erebilir. Bu t\u00fcr pozisyonlar, ham petrol fiyat\u0131ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015ften do\u011frudan fayda sa\u011flar.<\/p>\n
Beklentileri a\u015fan bu b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00e7ekili\u015f, opsiyon piyasas\u0131nda z\u0131mni volatiliteyi art\u0131rabilir. Bu nedenle, s\u00f6z konusu opsiyonlar\u0131 sigortalamaya y\u00f6nelik maliyetin y\u00fckselmesi ve piyasan\u0131n daha sert fiyat dalgalanmalar\u0131 beklentisini fiyatlamas\u0131 olas\u0131. Prim art\u0131\u015f\u0131 tam olarak yerle\u015fmeden pozisyonlar\u0131n h\u0131zl\u0131 \u015fekilde olu\u015fturulmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz.<\/p>\n
Tarihsel olarak, haziran ba\u015f\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fclen g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc stok \u00e7ekili\u015fleri, \u00f6zellikle b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00fcreticilerden disiplinli arz politikalar\u0131yla birle\u015fti\u011finde, yaz d\u00f6nemi fiyat rallilerinin \u00f6nc\u00fcs\u00fc olmu\u015ftur. Mevcut arz k\u0131s\u0131tlar\u0131 dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, bu tarihsel kal\u0131b\u0131n tekrar etmesi olduk\u00e7a muhtemel g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Stratejimizi bu mevsimsel g\u00fc\u00e7ten yararlanacak \u015fekilde g\u00fcncelliyoruz.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Petrol cephesinde s\u00fcrpriz: API\u2019ye g\u00f6re ABD ham petrol stoklar\u0131 29 May\u0131s haftas\u0131nda 6,75 milyon varil d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc (beklenti 3,6). Yaz talebi, %94+ rafineri kullan\u0131m\u0131yla fiyatlarda yukar\u0131 potansiyel ve call ilgisi do\u011furuyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47749,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49300","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49300","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49300"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49300\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47749"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49300"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49300"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49300"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}