{"id":49295,"date":"2026-06-03T01:58:07","date_gmt":"2026-06-03T01:58:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/usd-chf-risk-istahinin-artmasiyla-yukseliyor-fed-snb-politika-ayrismasiyla-07900-kirilimi-hedefte\/"},"modified":"2026-06-03T01:58:07","modified_gmt":"2026-06-03T01:58:07","slug":"usd-chf-risk-istahinin-artmasiyla-yukseliyor-fed-snb-politika-ayrismasiyla-07900-kirilimi-hedefte","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/usd-chf-risk-istahinin-artmasiyla-yukseliyor-fed-snb-politika-ayrismasiyla-07900-kirilimi-hedefte\/","title":{"rendered":"USD\/CHF, Risk \u0130\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131n Artmas\u0131yla Y\u00fckseliyor; Fed\u2013SNB Politika Ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131yla 0,7900 K\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m\u0131 Hedefte"},"content":{"rendered":"

USD\/CHF Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc y\u00fckseli\u015fle i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc ve %0,21 art\u0131\u015f kaydetti. Parite, g\u00fcn i\u00e7i 0,7844 seviyesindeki dipten toparlanmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan haftan\u0131n zirvesi olan 0,7884 seviyesini test etti. Hareket, yapay zek\u00e2 temal\u0131 iyimserlikle risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131yla gelirken; ABD-\u0130ran g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerinin sonucuna ili\u015fkin belirsizlik ortam\u0131nda dolar\u0131n toparlanmas\u0131 da etkili oldu.<\/p>\n

Grafiklerde parite 0,7864\u2019teki 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019n\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131; RSI ise y\u00fckseli\u015f b\u00f6lgesinde kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. 0,7900 \u00fczerindeki bir k\u0131r\u0131lma 0,7904\u2019teki 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019y\u0131 g\u00fcndeme getirirken, ard\u0131ndan 19 Mart zirvesi olan 0,7958\u2019e do\u011fru alan a\u00e7abilir; bunun da \u00f6tesinde 0,80 seviyesi izlenir. Kurun yeniden 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019n\u0131n alt\u0131na sarkmas\u0131 halinde ise odak 0,7834\u2019teki 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019ya, ard\u0131ndan 0,7828\u2019deki 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019ya kayar; bir sonraki seviye 0,7800 olur.<\/p>\n

Teknik Momentum ve Temel Dinamikler<\/h3>\n

USD\/CHF paritesinin 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalamas\u0131n\u0131 a\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan yeniden g\u00fc\u00e7 kazand\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz; bu da \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalar i\u00e7in olas\u0131 bir y\u00fckseli\u015f trendine i\u015faret ediyor. G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi\u2019ndeki (RSI) pozitif g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm de momentumun ABD dolar\u0131 lehine d\u00f6nd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6steriyor. Bu teknik tablo, ilave y\u00fckseli\u015fler i\u00e7in f\u0131rsata i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n

Dolar, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc makro verilerden destek buluyor. Yak\u0131n tarihli May\u0131s 2026 Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam (NFP) verisi 215 bin ki\u015filik sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 bir istihdam art\u0131\u015f\u0131na i\u015faret etti. Bu performans, Fed\u2019in mevcut politika patikas\u0131nda belirgin bir de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fe gitmesi i\u00e7in s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 gerek\u00e7e b\u0131rak\u0131yor. Bu da dolarda pozisyon ta\u015f\u0131may\u0131 di\u011fer para birimlerine k\u0131yasla daha cazip k\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k \u0130svi\u00e7re Merkez Bankas\u0131 (SNB) temkinli duru\u015f sinyali vermeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor; son enflasyon verisi %1,8 ile hedefin hemen alt\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Bu da SNB\u2019nin yak\u0131n vadede s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fmaya gitmesinin olas\u0131 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fcr\u00fcyor ve dolar lehine bir ayr\u0131\u015fma yarat\u0131yor. Bu politika fark\u0131, g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcm\u00fcz\u00fcn temel belirleyicilerinden biri.<\/p>\n

Strateji ve Risk Y\u00f6netimi<\/h3>\n

Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede, mevcut piyasa seviyesinin hemen \u00fczerindeki kullan\u0131m fiyatlar\u0131yla al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131 almay\u0131; \u00f6zellikle 0,7900 seviyesinin k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 hedeflemeyi de\u011ferlendiriyoruz. Sonraki hedef olarak ise Temmuz 2026 vadeli, 0,7950 civar\u0131ndaki kullan\u0131m fiyatlar\u0131na odaklan\u0131r\u0131z. Paritenin 0,8000 seviyesini test etme potansiyeli birka\u00e7 ayd\u0131r hi\u00e7 bu kadar g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc g\u00f6r\u00fcnmemi\u015fti.<\/p>\n

Bununla birlikte, paritenin bu kazan\u0131mlar\u0131 koruyamamas\u0131 halinde riski y\u00f6netmemiz gerekir. 0,7864\u2019teki 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalaman\u0131n yeniden alt\u0131na inilmesi bir uyar\u0131 sinyali olacakt\u0131r. B\u00f6yle bir durumda, pozisyonu hedge etmek veya 0,7830\u2019a do\u011fru olas\u0131 bir geri \u00e7ekilmeye oynamak i\u00e7in sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonlar\u0131 almay\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnebiliriz.<\/p>\n

0,8000 seviyesine ula\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 \u00f6nemli olacakt\u0131r; zira parite 2026\u2019n\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finden bu yana bu seviyede istikrarl\u0131 bi\u00e7imde i\u015flem g\u00f6rmedi. Bu hareket, 2025 sonlar\u0131nda g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm\u00fcz d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f trendinin tersine d\u00f6nd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne i\u015faret edebilir. Fiyat\u0131n bu psikolojik bariyere yakla\u015fmas\u0131 halinde i\u015flem hacmini yak\u0131ndan izleyece\u011fiz.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

USD\/CHF\u2019te ralli sinyali: Parite %0,21 y\u00fckselip 0,7884\u2019\u00fc test etti. 50G SMA a\u015f\u0131ld\u0131, RSI pozitif. 0,7900 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa 0,7958-0,80 g\u00fcndemde; g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc NFP dolar lehine. SNB temkinli.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47688,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49295","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49295","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49295"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49295\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47688"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49295"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49295"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49295"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}