Alt\u0131n sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc 4.500 dolar civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcrken, g\u00fcn i\u00e7i 4.463 dolarl\u0131k dip seviyeden toparlanmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan %0,16 y\u00fckseldi. Washington\u2019\u0131n L\u00fcbnan\u2019daki diplomatik trafi\u011finin \u0130srail\u2013Hizbullah gerilimini yat\u0131\u015ft\u0131rmaya yard\u0131mc\u0131 olmas\u0131yla ABD dolar\u0131 yeniden bir miktar destek buldu. Washington ile Tahran aras\u0131ndaki mesaj trafi\u011finin birka\u00e7 g\u00fcn \u00f6nce kesildi\u011fi, Tahran\u2019\u0131n bir ABD teklifini de\u011ferlendirirken ABD-\u0130ran g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerinin t\u0131kand\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret etti\u011fi bildirildi. Bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te risk i\u015ftah\u0131 iyile\u015firken geleneksel g\u00fcvenli limanlara talep azald\u0131. Petrol, erken saatlerdeki kay\u0131plar\u0131n\u0131 telafi ederek %0,70 y\u00fckseldi ve 93,00 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131; ABD Hazine tahvil getirileri toparland\u0131. 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k getiri 1 baz puan art\u0131\u015fla %4,461\u2019e y\u00fckseldi. ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY) 99,17\u2019de yatay seyretti.<\/p>\n
ABD istihdam verileri de k\u00fcl\u00e7e alt\u0131n \u00fczerinde ek bir bask\u0131 yaratt\u0131. JOLTS a\u00e7\u0131k i\u015f say\u0131s\u0131 nisan ay\u0131nda 7,618 milyona \u00e7\u0131karak marttaki 6,887 milyondan y\u00fckseldi ve 6,88 milyonluk piyasa beklentisini a\u015ft\u0131. Bu tablo, enflasyon oda\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrerken i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131nda yumu\u015fama endi\u015felerini azaltt\u0131. Piyasan\u0131n g\u00f6z\u00fc cuma g\u00fcnk\u00fc may\u0131s Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam verisine \u00e7evrilirken, \u00e7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc Fed Beige Book ve ISM Hizmetler PMI verileri izlenecek. Teknik olarak 4.500 dolar civar\u0131 diren\u00e7; ard\u0131ndan 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA olan 4.580 ve 4.600 dolar seviyeleri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Destek ise 4.450 dolar, 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA olan 4.416 dolar, 4.400 dolar ve 4.098 dolar seviyelerinde bulunuyor.<\/p>\n
Bug\u00fcn itibar\u0131yla, 3 Haziran 2026\u2019da, alt\u0131n piyasas\u0131 \u00e7eli\u015fkili sinyaller \u00fcretse de k\u0131sa vadeli y\u00f6n a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 e\u011filimli g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. ABD-\u0130ran kaynakl\u0131 jeopolitik gerilimler fiyat\u0131n alt\u0131nda bir taban olu\u015ftururken, g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin durmas\u0131 ve daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD dolar\u0131 anlaml\u0131 bir y\u00fckseli\u015fi s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yor. Fiyat\u0131n 4.500 dolar seviyesinde zorlanmas\u0131, bu b\u00f6lgede sat\u0131c\u0131 i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc oldu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n
7,6 milyon a\u00e7\u0131k i\u015f g\u00f6steren son JOLTS verisi bir\u00e7ok ki\u015fiyi \u015fa\u015f\u0131rtt\u0131 ve oda\u011f\u0131 cuma g\u00fcnk\u00fc Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam verisine ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131. G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc verileri ve son T\u00dcFE okumas\u0131n\u0131n %3,5\u2019in inat\u00e7\u0131 \u015fekilde \u00fczerinde kalmas\u0131, Fed\u2019e enflasyon kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda \u015fahin duru\u015funu s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmek i\u00e7in daha fazla gerek\u00e7e veriyor. Bu cuma g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir istihdam verisi, dolar\u0131 ve tahvil getirilerini destekleyerek alt\u0131n\u0131 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekebilir.<\/p>\n
Bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde, haziran sonu vadeli ve yakla\u015f\u0131k 4.450 dolar kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 (strike) sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonu al\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n risk-getiri a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan cazip bir kurulum sundu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m, istihdam verisi sonras\u0131 olas\u0131 bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften faydalanmay\u0131 sa\u011flarken maksimum zarar\u0131 \u00f6denen primle s\u0131n\u0131rlar. Teknik g\u00f6stergeler de a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentuma i\u015faret ederek 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalama olan 4.416 dolar civar\u0131na do\u011fru bir hareketi destekliyor.<\/p>\n
Daha temkinli bir yakla\u015f\u0131m isteyenler i\u00e7in ay\u0131 piyasas\u0131 al\u0131m (bear call spread) stratejilerini de de\u011ferlendiriyoruz. 4.580 dolar kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131ndan al\u0131m (call) opsiyonu sat\u0131p daha yukar\u0131dan bir call alarak korunma sa\u011flanabilir ve prim geliri elde edilir. Bu strateji, vade sonuna kadar alt\u0131n 4.580 dolar direncinin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece k\u00e2rl\u0131 olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n
Bununla birlikte, Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki durumun uyar\u0131 vermeden t\u0131rmanabilme riski nedeniyle a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 agresif k\u0131sa pozisyonlara kar\u015f\u0131 temkinli olmak gerekiyor. Merkez bankas\u0131 talebinin de g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir alttan ak\u0131\u015f olu\u015fturdu\u011funu not ediyoruz; 2026\u2019n\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde net al\u0131mlar 290 ton ile y\u0131l\u0131n rekor ba\u015flang\u0131c\u0131na i\u015faret etti. Bu uzun vadeli al\u0131m i\u015ftah\u0131 alt\u0131n i\u00e7in temel bir destek seviyesi sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan, vadeli i\u015flemlerde do\u011frudan a\u00e7\u0131\u011fa sat\u0131\u015f yerine tan\u0131ml\u0131 riskli opsiyon stratejileri daha isabetli g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Alt\u0131nda g\u00f6zler 4.500 dolarda: JOLTS s\u00fcrprizi ve g\u00fc\u00e7lenen dolar bask\u0131 kurarken, risk i\u015ftah\u0131 art\u0131yor. 4.450\/4.416 destekleri kritik. Piyasa, NFP \u00f6ncesi put opsiyonu stratejisini \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47867,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49292","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49292","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49292"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49292\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47867"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49292"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49292"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49292"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}