USD\/SGD pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc seyrini korudu ve 1,2759\u20131,2803 band\u0131nda hareket ettikten sonra yakla\u015f\u0131k 1,2788 seviyesinde kapan\u0131\u015f yapt\u0131. Parite, daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir ABD Dolar\u0131 ve istikrarl\u0131 seyreden SGD Nominal Efektif D\u00f6viz Kuru (NEER) taraf\u0131ndan desteklendi. Erken New York seans\u0131nda 1,2803 seviyesini test eden kur, ard\u0131ndan geri \u00e7ekilerek 1,2787\u2019de g\u00fcn\u00fc tamamlad\u0131; %0,16 y\u00fckseli\u015fe ra\u011fmen k\u0131sa vadeli momentumun so\u011fudu\u011fu, ancak 1,2800 ve potansiyel olarak 1,2805\u2019in yeniden testine alan b\u0131rakmaya devam etti\u011fi belirtildi.<\/p>\n
K\u0131sa vadede 1,2800 seviyesinde diren\u00e7, \u00fczerinde ise 1,2810\u2019da ek bir tavan g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor; 1,2800\u2019\u00fcn \u00fczerine net bir k\u0131r\u0131lman\u0131n ise d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olas\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 oldu\u011fu de\u011ferlendiriliyor. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131da 1,2775\u2019te min\u00f6r destek bulunurken, 1,2765 alt\u0131na sarkma band i\u00e7inde yatay seyre i\u015faret edecek. Bir ila \u00fc\u00e7 haftal\u0131k perspektifte \u00e7apraz kur \u201crange-bound\u201d olarak \u00e7er\u00e7eveleniyor; \u00f6nce 1,2730\u20131,2820, ard\u0131ndan 1,2740\u20131,2810 band\u0131na daralt\u0131ld\u0131. 1,2750 deste\u011fi k\u0131r\u0131lmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece 1,2810 \u00fczerinde kapan\u0131\u015f olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n korunaca\u011f\u0131 ifade ediliyor.<\/p>\n
ABD dolar\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor; \u00e7ekirdek enflasyonun %3,5 seviyesinde kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren son veriler, Fed\u2019in faiz indirimlerini geciktirece\u011fi beklentilerini peki\u015ftiriyor. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k Singapur Para Otoritesi (MAS), yak\u0131n d\u00f6nemde %3,0 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen kendi enflasyonunu y\u00f6netmek amac\u0131yla g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc SGD NEER politikas\u0131n\u0131 tercih etmeye devam ediyor. Bu temel \u201c\u00e7eki\u015fme\u201d, USD\/SGD paritesinin iyi tan\u0131mlanm\u0131\u015f bir bant i\u00e7inde i\u015flem g\u00f6rmesine neden oluyor.<\/p>\n
Yak\u0131n vadede paritenin son d\u00f6nemdeki band\u0131n\u0131n \u00fcst s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131n\u0131 1,3640 civar\u0131nda yeniden test etmesi beklenmekle birlikte, \u015fimdilik belirleyici bir k\u0131r\u0131lma olas\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u00fcyor. Son ABD istihdam raporunda 190 binlik g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc istihdam art\u0131\u015f\u0131 dolar i\u00e7in destek sa\u011fl\u0131yor; ancak b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7ekli bir ralliyi tetikleyecek kadar \u201cpatlay\u0131c\u0131\u201d de\u011fil. Bu nedenle 1,3650 \u00fczerindeki kullan\u0131m fiyatlar\u0131na sahip k\u0131sa vadeli call opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n sat\u0131lmas\u0131, yukar\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcn s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalmas\u0131ndan prim toplamak i\u00e7in uygulanabilir bir strateji olabilir.<\/p>\n
\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki birka\u00e7 haftada 1,3570 ile 1,3640 aras\u0131ndaki bu bant hareketinin s\u00fcrmesi bekleniyor. Tarihsel olarak mevcut durumdaki gibi merkez bankas\u0131 politikalar\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7at\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6nemler, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc y\u00f6nl\u00fc trendlerden ziyade konsolidasyona yol a\u00e7ma e\u011filiminde. 1,3570\u2019teki g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc destek seviyesi korunduk\u00e7a, bu kanal i\u00e7inde kademeli yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131 e\u011filimi devam ediyor.<\/p>\n
Bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck volatilite ve zaman de\u011fer kayb\u0131ndan (theta) faydalanan stratejilerin (\u00f6r. iron condor sat\u0131\u015f\u0131) cazip oldu\u011fu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Bu strateji, beklenen band\u0131n \u00fczerinde (\u00f6r. 1,3650) bir call ve alt\u0131nda (\u00f6r. 1,3550) bir put opsiyonunun sat\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 i\u00e7erir. Ancak yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n dikkatli olmas\u0131 gerekiyor; kritik 1,3570 deste\u011finin alt\u0131na k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m, piyasa yap\u0131s\u0131nda olas\u0131 bir de\u011fi\u015fime i\u015faret edecektir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
USD\/SGD\u2019de bant sava\u015f\u0131 s\u00fcr\u00fcyor! Dolar\u0131n Fed kaynakl\u0131 g\u00fcc\u00fc ve MAS\u2019\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc SGD NEER duru\u015fu pariteyi 1,2730\u20131,2810 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda tutuyor; 1,2800\/1,2810 diren\u00e7, 1,2775\/1,2750 destek \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47706,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49290","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49290","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49290"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49290\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47706"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49290"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49290"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49290"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}