AUD\/USD Temel Dinamikler ve Makro S\u00fcr\u00fcc\u00fcler<\/p>\n
AUD\/USD paritesinin 0,6650 seviyesine yak\u0131n seyretti\u011fini ve ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131 verilerinden destek alamamas\u0131na ra\u011fmen g\u00fc\u00e7 g\u00f6sterdi\u011fini g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Son JOLTS raporu, nisan ay\u0131nda i\u015f ilanlar\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc 8,4 milyon seviyesinde oldu\u011funu g\u00f6sterdi; bu da ABD i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131n\u0131n dayan\u0131kl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. Ancak bu dayan\u0131kl\u0131l\u0131k, Avustralya dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda dolara g\u00fc\u00e7 olarak yans\u0131m\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Bu hareketin, merkez bankas\u0131 beklentilerindeki ayr\u0131\u015fmayla desteklendi\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Yap\u0131\u015fkan enflasyon ortam\u0131nda Avustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (RBA) \u015fahin tonunu koruyaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed), y\u0131l\u0131n ilerleyen d\u00f6nemlerinde faiz indirimi olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendirebilece\u011fine dair sinyaller veriyor; bu da dolar \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 olu\u015fturuyor. ABD\u2019de a\u00e7\u0131klanan S&P Global PMI\u2019\u0131n 50,9 gelmesi de Amerikan ekonomisinde s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir so\u011fumaya i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n
Yak\u0131n vadede oda\u011f\u0131m\u0131z, bu hafta a\u00e7\u0131klanmas\u0131 beklenen Avustralya 1. \u00e7eyrek GSYH verilerinde. \u00c7eyreklik bazda y\u00fczde 0,3\u2019l\u00fck b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisinin \u00fczerinde bir sonu\u00e7, Avustralya dolar\u0131nda yeni bir y\u00fckseli\u015f kataliz\u00f6r\u00fc sa\u011flayabilir. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n ayr\u0131ca, yak\u0131n zamanda 52,1 ile g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc gelen ve geni\u015flemenin s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne i\u015faret eden Avustralya may\u0131s PMI verilerini izlemesi gerekiyor.<\/p>\n
Bu yap\u0131c\u0131 zemin \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n olas\u0131 ek yukar\u0131 potansiyelden yararlanmak amac\u0131yla AUD\/USD\u2019de al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendirebilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Bu strateji, kazan\u00e7lara kat\u0131l\u0131m sa\u011flarken azami riski \u00f6denen primle s\u0131n\u0131rlar. Alternatif olarak, 0,6580 civar\u0131 gibi g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc destek olarak g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm\u00fcz seviyelerden teminatl\u0131 sat\u0131m (cash-secured put) opsiyonu satmak ve prim geliri elde etmek de bir se\u00e7enek olabilir.<\/p>\n
AUD\/USD Teknik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm ve \u0130\u015flem Seviyeleri<\/p>\n
Teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan AUD\/USD, 0,6635 ve 0,6620 civar\u0131ndaki kilit hareketli ortalamalar\u0131n\u0131n \u00fczerinde i\u015flem g\u00f6rerek y\u00fckseli\u015f e\u011filimini koruyor. G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI) 62 seviyesine yak\u0131n; bu da parite a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m b\u00f6lgesine girmeden \u00f6nce yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareket alan\u0131 oldu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor. Bir sonraki y\u00fckseli\u015f aya\u011f\u0131n\u0131 teyit etmek i\u00e7in 0,6660 diren\u00e7 seviyesinin \u00fczerinde kal\u0131c\u0131 bir k\u0131r\u0131lmay\u0131 takip ediyoruz.<\/p>\n
AUD\/USD sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc 0,7190 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc; ABD dolar\u0131, ABD istihdam verilerinin beklentileri a\u015fmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen kazan\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 korumakta zorlan\u0131rken parite 0,7186 civar\u0131ndayd\u0131. \u0130\u015f \u0130lanlar\u0131 ve \u0130\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc Devir Anketi (JOLTS), nisanda 7,618 milyon a\u00e7\u0131k pozisyon bildirdi; bu rakam mart ay\u0131ndaki revize 6,887 milyonun \u00fczerinde ve 6,88 milyonluk beklentiyi a\u015ft\u0131. Bu, May\u0131s 2024\u2019ten bu yana en y\u00fcksek seviye oldu. Takvimde s\u0131rada Avustralya\u2019n\u0131n 1\u00c7 GSYH verileri ve yakla\u015fan S&P Global PMI a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131 bulunuyor.<\/p>\n
D\u00f6rt saatlik grafikte parite, 0,7171\u2019deki 100 periyotluk SMA ve 0,7168\u2019deki 20 periyotluk SMA\u2019n\u0131n \u00fczerinde kald\u0131; yak\u0131n vadeli tabanlar 0,7177 ve 0,7170 \u00e7evresinde k\u00fcmelendi. Momentum g\u00f6stergeleri daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fcyd\u00fc; RSI 59 civar\u0131ndayd\u0131. Diren\u00e7 0,7187\u2019de i\u015faretlenirken, destek seviyeleri 0,7177; ard\u0131ndan 0,7171 ve 0,7170 olarak izleniyor. \u0130lave a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc seviyeler 0,7168 ve 0,7160\u2019ta bulunuyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
AUD\/USD 0,6650 civar\u0131nda tutunuyor: RBA\u2019n\u0131n \u015fahin duru\u015fu Fed\u2019in olas\u0131 indirim sinyallerine kar\u015f\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. G\u00f6zler Avustralya 1\u00c7 GSYH\u2019da; g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc veri y\u00fckseli\u015fi h\u0131zland\u0131rabilir. Opsiyon stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47694,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49286","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49286","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49286"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49286\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47694"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49286"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49286"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49286"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}