ABD dolar\u0131 Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc \u0130svi\u00e7re frang\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 geriledi; USD\/CHF paritesi, piyasalar\u0131n olas\u0131 bir ABD-\u0130ran anla\u015fmas\u0131na ili\u015fkin temkinli iyimserli\u011fi Fed karar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik pozisyonlanmayla birlikte tartt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ortamda 0,7946 seviyesinde i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Ba\u015fkan Donald Trump, G7\u2019de Tahran\u2019la g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin \u201cikinci a\u015famaya\u201d ge\u00e7ti\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Haberlerde ise H\u00fcrm\u00fcz\u2019den ge\u00e7i\u015fte \u00fccret al\u0131nmamas\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131nda dondurulmu\u015f 24 milyar dolarl\u0131k \u0130ran varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n serbest b\u0131rak\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 i\u00e7eren bir \u00e7er\u00e7eveye at\u0131f yap\u0131ld\u0131. G\u00f6zler \u015fimdi \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fcne \u00e7evriliyor: Fed, Ba\u015fkan Kevin Warsh y\u00f6netimindeki ilk politika toplant\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 tamamlayacak; faiz karar\u0131yla birlikte g\u00fcncellenmi\u015f ekonomik projeksiyonlar a\u00e7\u0131klanacak.<\/p>\n
Fiyatlamalar k\u0131sa vadede hafif sat\u0131c\u0131l\u0131 bir g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcme i\u015faret ederken, olas\u0131 bir Omuz-Ba\u015f-Omuz formasyonu \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. RSI yeniden 40\u2019lar\u0131n ortas\u0131na do\u011fru gerilerken, MACD marjinal negatif b\u00f6lgede kal\u0131yor. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar 0,7900\u20130,7930 band\u0131ndaki deste\u011fi izliyor; buna 0,7930 (Pazartesi dibi) ile 0,7915 civar\u0131ndaki boyun \u00e7izgisi dahil. \u00d6l\u00e7\u00fclen hedef yakla\u015f\u0131k 0,7845 seviyesinde; bunun alt\u0131nda 4 ve 5 Haziran diplerinin 0,6870 civar\u0131nda oldu\u011fu belirtiliyor. Yukar\u0131da ise diren\u00e7 0,7960\u20130,7970 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda; bu b\u00f6lgenin \u00fczerinde bir k\u0131r\u0131lma 0,8013 seviyesini g\u00fcndeme getirebilir.<\/p>\n
ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131n \u0130svi\u00e7re frang\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz; sat\u0131c\u0131lar 0,8900 ile 0,8920 aras\u0131ndaki kritik destek b\u00f6lgesini test ediyor. ABD ile Avrupa Birli\u011fi aras\u0131ndaki ticaret gerilimlerinin azalmas\u0131, dolar\u0131n g\u00fcvenli liman cazibesini \u015fu a\u015famada s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yor. Bununla birlikte, bu haftaki Fed toplant\u0131s\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde yayg\u0131n temkin paritenin daha fazla d\u00fc\u015fmesini engelliyor.<\/p>\n
Fed, karma bir ekonomik tabloyla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya. Ge\u00e7en ay tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam 150 bin artarak beklentilerin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131; bu rakam 2026\u2019n\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde g\u00f6r\u00fclen 240 binlik ortalamaya k\u0131yasla belirgin bir yava\u015flamaya i\u015faret ediyor. Son T\u00dcFE verisi y\u0131ll\u0131k enflasyonun %2,8\u2019e geriledi\u011fini g\u00f6sterse de, oran Fed\u2019in %2 hedefinin \u00fczerinde kalmaya devam ediyor. \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc Fed\u2019in ekonomik projeksiyonlar\u0131nda g\u00fcvercin bir kayma olup olmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 izleyece\u011fiz.<\/p>\n
Teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan USD\/CHF grafi\u011finde, \u00e7o\u011fu zaman a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc trend d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcne i\u015faret eden bir Omuz-Ba\u015f-Omuz formasyonu olu\u015fuyor gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Odak, 0,8915 civar\u0131ndaki destek d\u00fczeyinde bulunan boyun \u00e7izgisinde. Bu b\u00f6lgenin net \u015fekilde a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131, May\u0131s dipleri olan 0,8850 civar\u0131na do\u011fru daha belirgin bir sat\u0131\u015f dalgas\u0131n\u0131 tetikleyebilir.<\/p>\n
\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalar i\u00e7in, kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 0,8900 civar\u0131nda olan put opsiyonlar\u0131 almak bize g\u00f6re makul bir strateji. Bu pozisyon, Fed toplant\u0131s\u0131 sonras\u0131nda kilit deste\u011fin alt\u0131na olas\u0131 bir sarkmadan faydalanma imk\u00e2n\u0131 sunuyor. A\u00e7\u0131klamaya yakla\u015f\u0131rken z\u0131mni volatilitenin artmas\u0131 muhtemel oldu\u011fundan, pozisyonlar\u0131n daha erken kurulmas\u0131 avantaj sa\u011flayabilir.<\/p>\n
Di\u011fer yandan, 0,8980 civar\u0131ndaki yak\u0131n diren\u00e7 b\u00f6lgesine dikkat etmek gerekiyor. Bu seviyenin \u00fczerinde kararl\u0131 bir hareket, sat\u0131c\u0131l\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc ortadan kald\u0131r\u0131r ve Omuz-Ba\u015f-Omuz formasyonunu ge\u00e7ersiz k\u0131lar. Bu senaryoda, erken Haziran zirvesi olan 0,9030\u2019un yeniden testini hedefleyerek call opsiyonlar\u0131 al\u0131m\u0131na d\u00f6nmeyi tercih ederiz.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Dolar\/Frang\u2019da kritik viraj: USD\/CHF 0,7946\u2019da, ABD-\u0130ran anla\u015fmas\u0131 beklentisi ve Fed toplant\u0131s\u0131 fiyatlan\u0131yor. OBO riski g\u00fc\u00e7leniyor; 0,7900\u20130,7930 destek, 0,7960\u20130,7970 diren\u00e7 izleniyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47688,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-48917","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48917","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=48917"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48917\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47688"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=48917"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=48917"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=48917"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}