EUR\/JPY, iki g\u00fcnl\u00fck y\u00fckseli\u015fin ard\u0131ndan geri \u00e7ekilerek Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc erken Avrupa saatlerinde 185,60 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. D\u00fczeltmeye ra\u011fmen \u00e7apraz, 185,39\u2019daki dokuz g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA ve 185,12\u2019deki 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019n\u0131n \u00fczerinde kalarak hafif pozitif e\u011filimini korudu. 14 g\u00fcnl\u00fck RSI 54 civar\u0131nda seyretti; bu da momentumu n\u00f6tr b\u00f6lgede tutarken, fiyatlar\u0131n orta vadeli ortalaman\u0131n \u00fczerinde kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece yap\u0131c\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmle uyumlu.<\/p>\n
Grafik yap\u0131s\u0131nda, g\u00fcnl\u00fck fiyat hareketi y\u00fckselen kanal i\u00e7inde kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrerek daha geni\u015f resimdeki e\u011filimi korudu. 5 Haziran\u2019da g\u00f6r\u00fclen alt\u0131 haftan\u0131n zirvesi 186,21 seviyesi diren\u00e7 olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131karken, bunun a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 17 Nisan\u2019daki t\u00fcm zamanlar\u0131n zirvesi 187,95\u2019i g\u00fcndeme getirebilir; ard\u0131ndan kanal\u0131n \u00fcst band\u0131 188,20 civar\u0131nda izlenecek. Destek hatt\u0131 iki EMA seviyesinden ba\u015fl\u0131yor; bu b\u00f6lgenin alt\u0131na sarkma, g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc kanal taban\u0131 olan 184,70 civar\u0131na do\u011fru zay\u0131flatabilir. Sonras\u0131nda 16 Mart\u2019taki yakla\u015f\u0131k d\u00f6rt ay\u0131n dibi 181,87 ve 12 \u015eubat\u2019ta g\u00f6r\u00fclen alt\u0131 ay\u0131n dibi 180,81 seviyeleri takip edilebilir.<\/p>\n
EUR\/JPY\u2019de hafif pozitif e\u011filim dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, 185,60 civar\u0131ndaki mevcut duraklamay\u0131 potansiyel bir giri\u015f noktas\u0131 olarak de\u011ferlendiriyoruz. Parite, kilit hareketli ortalamalar\u0131n\u0131n belirgin bi\u00e7imde \u00fczerinde ve y\u00fckselen kanal i\u00e7inde kalmaya devam ediyor; bu da altta yatan y\u00fckseli\u015f trendinin korundu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor. Bu nedenle, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda kademeli bir y\u00fckseli\u015ften faydalanabilecek stratejiler \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kabilir.<\/p>\n
RSI\u2019\u0131n yap\u0131c\u0131 ancak a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m b\u00f6lgesinde olmayan g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcne kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, bo\u011fa call spread kurulmas\u0131n\u0131 uygun bir yakla\u015f\u0131m olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. \u00d6rne\u011fin, Temmuz vadeli 186,50 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 call opsiyonu al\u0131rken ayn\u0131 anda Temmuz vadeli 188,00 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 call opsiyonu satmak, t\u00fcm zamanlar\u0131n zirvesine do\u011fru olas\u0131 bir hareketten yararlanabilir. Tan\u0131ml\u0131 riskli bu strateji, belirlenen potansiyel diren\u00e7 noktalar\u0131yla uyumludur.<\/p>\n
Bu temkinli iyimserlik, temel tarafta da destek buluyor. Haziran ay\u0131na ili\u015fkin Euro B\u00f6lgesi \u00f6nc\u00fc PMI verileri hizmetler sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir toparlanmaya i\u015faret ederek Euro\u2019yu destekledi. Bununla birlikte son enflasyon verileri \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 seyretti; May\u0131s ay\u0131 nihai T\u00dcFE %2,3 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti ve Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 agresif olmayabilece\u011fi beklentisini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi. Bu da paritede sert bir s\u0131\u00e7ramadan ziyade istikrarl\u0131 bir y\u00fckseli\u015f fikrini peki\u015ftiriyor.<\/p>\n
Di\u011fer tarafta, Japon yeni \u00fczerindeki zay\u0131fl\u0131k Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n g\u00fcvercin duru\u015funu s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmesiyle devam ediyor ve bu durum lehte faiz fark\u0131 yarat\u0131yor. Tarihsel olarak, 2023 sonlar\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fclen benzer politika ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 d\u00f6nemleri EUR\/JPY\u2019de kal\u0131c\u0131 rallileri beslemi\u015fti. Bu dinami\u011fin \u00e7apraz i\u00e7in altta yatan deste\u011fi s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmesini bekliyoruz.<\/p>\n
185,39\u2019daki dokuz g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019n\u0131n sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 yak\u0131n deste\u011fi dikkate alarak, vade d\u0131\u015f\u0131 (out-of-the-money) put opsiyonlar\u0131 satmak gelir \u00fcretmek i\u00e7in etkili bir y\u00f6ntem olabilir. Y\u00fckseli\u015f trendinin korunaca\u011f\u0131 varsay\u0131m\u0131yla, 184,70\u2019teki kanal deste\u011finin alt\u0131nda bir kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131na sahip Temmuz vadeli putlar\u0131n sat\u0131lmas\u0131 ve prim toplanmas\u0131 de\u011ferlendirilebilir. Mevcut yakla\u015f\u0131k %8,9 seviyesindeki bir ayl\u0131k ima edilen oynakl\u0131k, bu primleri makul \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde cazip k\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
EUR\/JPY iki g\u00fcnl\u00fck rallinin ard\u0131ndan 185,60\u2019ta solukland\u0131: EMA\u2019lar\u0131n \u00fczerinde, y\u00fckselen kanalda hafif pozitif. 186,21 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa 187,95-188,20 g\u00fcndemde. Destek 185,39\/185,12; alt\u0131 184,70. Strateji: bo\u011fa call spread, OTM put satarak prim.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47869,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-48898","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48898","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=48898"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48898\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47869"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=48898"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=48898"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=48898"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}