USD\/CHF, ABD ile \u0130ran aras\u0131nda var\u0131lan bar\u0131\u015f anla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n yat\u0131\u015fmas\u0131yla g\u00fcvenli liman talebinin zay\u0131flamas\u0131 sonucu Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc %0,34\u2019ten fazla geriledi. G8 FX para birimlerinin \u00e7o\u011fu ABD Dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda y\u00fckselirken, parite seans\u0131n erken saatlerinde 0,7968\u2019i g\u00f6rd\u00fckten sonra 0,7943 seviyesinde i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc.<\/p>\n
Teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan, ters omuz-ba\u015f-omuz formasyonu ge\u00e7erlili\u011fini koruyor. USD\/CHF, al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n pariteyi yeniden 0,7950 b\u00f6lgesine ta\u015f\u0131mas\u0131ndan \u00f6nce 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019y\u0131 0,7906\u2019da test etti; ancak momentum zay\u0131flad\u0131. RSI, 50 n\u00f6tr seviyesinin \u00fczerinde kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc i\u00e7in h\u00e2l\u00e2 yukar\u0131 y\u00f6n potansiyeline i\u015faret ediyor. Diren\u00e7 0,8000\u2019de g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor; bu seviyenin a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 6 Nisan zirvesi 0,8018\u2019i g\u00fcndeme getirecek, ard\u0131ndan 31 Mart g\u00fcnl\u00fck zirvesi 0,8042 izlenecek. Bu seviye ayn\u0131 zamanda formasyonun hedefi olup, bunun \u00fczerinde 0,8100 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Destek ise 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA olan 0,7906\u2019da ba\u015fl\u0131yor; ard\u0131ndan 0,7900 ve 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ile 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019lar olan 0,7864 ve 0,7835 seviyeleri takip ediyor.<\/p>\n
D\u00fcnk\u00fc geri \u00e7ekilmeye bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, piyasan\u0131n ABD-\u0130ran bar\u0131\u015f anla\u015fmas\u0131na tepki verdi\u011fini ve bunun ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 ge\u00e7ici olarak g\u00fcvenli liman \u00f6zelli\u011fi nedeniyle zay\u0131flatt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Ancak USD\/CHF paritesi 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalama yak\u0131n\u0131nda h\u0131zla al\u0131c\u0131 buldu; bu da s\u00f6z konusu temel haber ak\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n k\u0131sa vadeli bir dikkat da\u011f\u0131t\u0131c\u0131 olabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. Altta yatan teknik yap\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc kalmaya devam etti\u011fi i\u00e7in bu pullback\u2019i potansiyel bir giri\u015f noktas\u0131 olarak de\u011ferlendiriyoruz.<\/p>\n
Ters omuz-ba\u015f-omuz formasyonu, 0,8040 seviyesinin \u00fczerinde bir hedefe i\u015faret eden bask\u0131n teknik sinyal konumunda. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalar i\u00e7in 0,8000\u2019e yak\u0131n kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n al\u0131nmas\u0131n\u0131n uygulanabilir bir strateji olabilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m, riskimizi tan\u0131mlarken beklenen yukar\u0131 hareketten faydalanmam\u0131za olanak tan\u0131r.<\/p>\n
Temel tarafta, merkez bankalar\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki politika fark\u0131 h\u00e2l\u00e2 daha y\u00fcksek bir USD\/CHF\u2019i destekliyor. \u0130svi\u00e7re Merkez Bankas\u0131, frang\u0131 zay\u0131flatmak amac\u0131yla faiz indirim d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fc s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc; politika faizi art\u0131k \u201cdaha uzun s\u00fcre daha y\u00fcksek\u201d duru\u015f sinyali veren ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) faizinin belirgin bi\u00e7imde alt\u0131nda. H\u00e2lihaz\u0131rda 350 baz puan\u0131n \u00fczerindeki faiz fark\u0131, ABD Dolar\u0131 i\u00e7in g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir destekleyici unsur olu\u015fturuyor.<\/p>\n
Y\u00fckseli\u015f beklentimize ra\u011fmen, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n oynakl\u0131\u011fa haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmas\u0131 ve olas\u0131 bir k\u0131r\u0131lmaya kar\u015f\u0131 korunmas\u0131 gerekiyor. 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck basit hareketli ortalama olan 0,7906 kritik bir destek seviyesi. 0,7900\u2019\u00fcn hemen alt\u0131nda kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonlar\u0131 almak, bir d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 etkili bir hedge i\u015flevi g\u00f6rebilir.<\/p>\n
Y\u00fckseli\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc teknik grafik ile jeopolitik haber ak\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma, fiyat dalgalanmalar\u0131n\u0131n artma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. USD\/CHF opsiyonlar\u0131nda ima edilen volatilite son bir ayda %8\u2019in \u00fczerinde y\u00fckseldi. Y\u00f6n konusunda emin olmayanlar i\u00e7in, belirli bir fiyat y\u00f6n\u00fcnden ziyade bu volatiliteden kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flamay\u0131 hedefleyen stratejiler de\u011ferlendirilmelidir.<\/p>\n
Bu nedenle k\u0131sa vadede oda\u011f\u0131m\u0131z, yukar\u0131 y\u00f6n i\u00e7in tetikleyici olarak 0,8000 psikolojik bariyerinde. Bu seviyenin \u00fczerinde net bir k\u0131r\u0131lma, y\u00fckseli\u015f momentumunu teyit ederek pariteyi muhtemelen 0,8042 hedefimize do\u011fru ta\u015f\u0131yacakt\u0131r. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131da ise 0,7900 deste\u011finin korunamamas\u0131, piyasan\u0131n son jeopolitik geli\u015fmelere daha fazla a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k verdi\u011fine i\u015faret edecektir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Bar\u0131\u015f anla\u015fmas\u0131yla USD\/CHF %0,34 d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc; g\u00fcvenli liman talebi azald\u0131. Ancak 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA 0,7906\u2019dan tepki var. RSI pozitif; 0,8000 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa 0,8042-0,8100 hedef. Opsiyon stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47688,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-48857","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48857","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=48857"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48857\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47688"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=48857"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=48857"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=48857"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}