Sterlin, Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc \u0130ngiltere verilerinin ekonominin Nisan ay\u0131nda darald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6stermesinin ard\u0131ndan ABD Dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda geriledi; ancak ABD ile \u0130ran aras\u0131ndaki bir anla\u015fma, genel risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rd\u0131. Seans\u0131n erken saatlerinde zay\u0131flayan dolar, toparlanarak a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f seviyesinin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131 ve GBP\/USD paritesi 1,3413\u2019te b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde de\u011fi\u015fmeden kald\u0131.<\/p>\n
Piyasa fiyatlamas\u0131, yak\u0131n teknik seviyelerle s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kald\u0131. Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc 1,3300\u2019un hemen \u00fczerindeki diplerden tepki alan paritede al\u0131c\u0131lar 1,3415\u2019teki 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck basit hareketli ortalamay\u0131 test etti. Ayl\u0131k \u0130ngiltere GSYH verisinin Nisan\u2019da %0,1\u2019lik daralmaya i\u015faret etmesi ise s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir reaksiyon yaratt\u0131. Sterlin, erken saatlerdeki kay\u0131plar\u0131n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc telafi ederek 1,3410 civar\u0131na toparland\u0131.<\/p>\n
\u0130ngiliz Sterlini\u2019nin ABD Dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda net bir y\u00f6n bulmakta zorland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. \u0130ngiltere ekonomisinin Nisan\u2019da %0,1 k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclmesi, para birimi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan temel tarafta olumsuz bir sinyal. Bununla birlikte, jeopolitik cepheden gelen olumlu haber ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 genel risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 destekliyor ve sterlini \u015fimdilik 1,3410 seviyesi \u00e7evresinde tutuyor.<\/p>\n
\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalara ili\u015fkin ana endi\u015femiz, \u0130ngiltere\u2019deki temel ekonomik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm. S\u00f6z konusu GSYH daralmas\u0131na, \u00e7ekirdek enflasyonun %3,6 ile inat\u00e7\u0131 bi\u00e7imde y\u00fcksek kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren son veriler de ekleniyor; bu durum \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131 (BoE) zor bir pozisyonda b\u0131rak\u0131yor. Zay\u0131f b\u00fcy\u00fcme ve kal\u0131c\u0131 enflasyonun bir arada g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc bu stagflasyonist ortam, tarihsel olarak bir para biriminin de\u011fer kazan\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlayan bir \u00e7er\u00e7eve sunuyor.<\/p>\n
\u00d6te yandan, piyasadaki mevcut iyimserli\u011fi ve teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc de g\u00f6z ard\u0131 etmemek gerekiyor. Parite, ge\u00e7mi\u015fte 2021 ve 2023 gibi y\u0131llarda daha uzun vadeli trend a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan belirleyici olmu\u015f kritik 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalamas\u0131n\u0131 test ediyor. CBOE Volatilite Endeksi\u2019nin (VIX) 14\u2019\u00fcn alt\u0131na gerilemesiyle piyasa korkusunun azald\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret etmesi, risk alma e\u011filiminin g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesi halinde sterlinin bu teknik direnci a\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 kolayla\u015ft\u0131rabilir.<\/p>\n
Bu birbiriyle \u00e7eli\u015fen temel ve teknik sinyaller \u0131\u015f\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, volatilitede bir s\u0131\u00e7ramaya y\u00f6nelik pozisyonlanman\u0131n en mant\u0131kl\u0131 strateji oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. GBP\/USD opsiyonlar\u0131nda 1 ayl\u0131k ima edilen volatilitenin %8,8\u2019e y\u00fckselmesi, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n son d\u00f6neme k\u0131yasla daha b\u00fcy\u00fck bir harekete fiyat bi\u00e7meye ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Uzun straddle veya strangle stratejisinin anlaml\u0131 olabilece\u011fi kanaatindeyiz; zira bu yakla\u015f\u0131m, hangi kataliz\u00f6r\u00fcn\u2014zay\u0131f \u0130ngiltere verileri mi yoksa k\u00fcresel risk i\u015ftah\u0131 m\u0131\u2014bask\u0131n \u00e7\u0131kaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tahmin etmeye gerek kalmadan, her iki y\u00f6nde de olas\u0131 sert k\u0131r\u0131lmadan faydalanma imk\u00e2n\u0131 sunar.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Sterlin\u2019de kritik e\u015fik: Zay\u0131f \u0130ngiltere GSYH\u2019si bask\u0131 kurarken risk i\u015ftah\u0131 toparlanmay\u0131 destekliyor. GBP\/USD 1,3410\u2019da, 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalamay\u0131 test ediyor. Y\u00fckselen ima volatilite opsiyonlarda straddle\/strangle\u2019\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47765,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-48722","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48722","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=48722"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48722\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47765"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=48722"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=48722"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=48722"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}