{"id":48721,"date":"2026-06-12T21:34:35","date_gmt":"2026-06-12T21:34:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/sterlin-ingilterede-gsyhnin-daralmasiyla-geriledi-boe-ve-fed-toplantilari-oncesinde-dolar-gucunu-korudu\/"},"modified":"2026-06-12T21:34:35","modified_gmt":"2026-06-12T21:34:35","slug":"sterlin-ingilterede-gsyhnin-daralmasiyla-geriledi-boe-ve-fed-toplantilari-oncesinde-dolar-gucunu-korudu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/sterlin-ingilterede-gsyhnin-daralmasiyla-geriledi-boe-ve-fed-toplantilari-oncesinde-dolar-gucunu-korudu\/","title":{"rendered":"Sterlin, \u0130ngiltere\u2019de GSYH\u2019nin Daralmas\u0131yla Geriledi; BoE ve Fed Toplant\u0131lar\u0131 \u00d6ncesinde Dolar G\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc Korudu"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sterlin, \u0130ngiltere verilerinin Nisan ay\u0131nda GSYH\u2019nin %0,1 darald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6stermesinin ard\u0131ndan ABD dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda geriledi; b\u00f6ylece Mart ay\u0131ndaki %0,3\u2019l\u00fck art\u0131\u015f tersine d\u00f6nd\u00fc. GBP\/USD paritesi 1,3413 civar\u0131nda yataya yak\u0131n seyrederken, ABD Dolar Endeksi 99,68\u2019de kald\u0131. Washington ile Tahran\u2019\u0131n anla\u015fmaya yakla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve Bat\u0131l\u0131 medya organlar\u0131n\u0131n 15-17 Haziran tarihlerinde Cenevre\u2019de imzalanabilece\u011fini belirtti\u011fi haberlerle risk i\u015ftah\u0131 artsa da \u0130ran ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 medya yalanlama haberleri ge\u00e7ti; daha sonra Al Arabiya, diplomatik kaynaklara dayand\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 haberinde her iki taraf\u0131n da arabuluculara imzaya haz\u0131r olduklar\u0131n\u0131 iletti\u011fini aktard\u0131. Petrol geriledi; WTI %2,20\u2019nin \u00fczerinde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle varil ba\u015f\u0131na 84,47 dolara indi ve faiz beklentileri de\u011fi\u015fti: Para piyasalar\u0131 y\u0131l sonuna kadar Fed\u2019den 16 baz puan s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma fiyatlad\u0131; bu kalem bir g\u00fcn \u00f6nce 22 baz puand\u0131.<\/p>\n

ABD Michigan \u00dcniversitesi t\u00fcketici g\u00fcveni, Haziran ay\u0131 \u00f6nc\u00fc okumas\u0131nda 44,8\u2019den 48,9\u2019a y\u00fckselirken, bir y\u0131ll\u0131k enflasyon beklentisi %4,8\u2019den %4,6\u2019ya geriledi. Gelecek hafta, faizin sabit b\u0131rak\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n beklendi\u011fi \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoE) karar\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde \u0130ngiltere enflasyon ve istihdam verileri a\u00e7\u0131klanacak; ABD takviminde ise Fed karar\u0131 ve Perakende Sat\u0131\u015flar \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Teknik olarak GBP\/USD 1,3411 civar\u0131nda, 1,3415\u2019in alt\u0131nda ve 1,3468 \u00e7evresindeki SMA k\u00fcmelenmesinin alt\u0131nda seyretti; 1,3562 yak\u0131n\u0131nda da diren\u00e7 i\u015faretlenirken, RSI (14) 50\u2019nin hemen alt\u0131nda kald\u0131.<\/p>\n

GBP\/USD\u2019de Temel ve Teknik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm<\/h3>\n

\u0130ngiltere ekonomisinin Nisan ay\u0131nda %0,1 daralmas\u0131 \u0131\u015f\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, Sterlin\u2019i ABD dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda temel olarak zay\u0131f de\u011ferlendiriyoruz. Bu durum, ABD\u2019de May\u0131s tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam raporunun 200 binin \u00fczerinde g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc istihdam art\u0131\u015f\u0131na i\u015faret etmesi gibi son verilerin dolar\u0131n g\u00f6receli g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc peki\u015ftirdi\u011fi tabloyla tezat olu\u015fturuyor. BoE karar\u0131na yakla\u015f\u0131rken a\u00e7\u0131klanacak \u0130ngiltere enflasyon ve istihdam verileri kritik olacak; beklentimiz, faizin sabit tutulmas\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde.<\/p>\n

Olas\u0131 bir ABD-\u0130ran anla\u015fmas\u0131, petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 varil ba\u015f\u0131na 84 dolar seviyelerine do\u011fru iterek piyasay\u0131 anlaml\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde etkileyen bir unsur. Bu geli\u015fme enflasyon endi\u015felerini azalt\u0131yor; para piyasalar\u0131n\u0131n y\u0131l sonuna kadar daha az Fed faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 fiyatlamas\u0131 da bunu yans\u0131t\u0131yor. Ancak Fed taraf\u0131ndaki bu s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 g\u00fcvercinle\u015fmenin, \u0130ngiltere\u2019den gelen belirgin ekonomik zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131n etkisini dengelemesi olas\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan GBP\/USD, daha \u00f6nce destek g\u00f6revi g\u00f6ren kritik 1,3415 seviyesinin alt\u0131nda ay\u0131 tonuyla i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. 1,3468 civar\u0131nda hareketli ortalamalar\u0131n olu\u015fturdu\u011fu k\u00fcmelenme g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir diren\u00e7 sundu\u011fundan, yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc denemeleri k\u0131sa pozisyon ba\u015flatmak i\u00e7in f\u0131rsat olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Bu nedenle, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc olas\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131lmadan faydalanmak i\u00e7in 1,3400\u2019\u00fcn alt\u0131nda kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 put opsiyonlar\u0131 al\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendiriyoruz.<\/p>\n

Tarihsel Ba\u011flam ve \u0130\u015flem Stratejisi<\/h3>\n

Tarihsel olarak Sterlin, ekonomik durgunluk d\u00f6nemlerinde zay\u0131f performans g\u00f6sterdi; \u00f6rne\u011fin 2016 Brexit referandumu sonras\u0131ndaki belirsizlikte BoE, yava\u015flayan b\u00fcy\u00fcme ve yap\u0131\u015fkan enflasyon ikilemiyle benzer bir bask\u0131 alt\u0131ndayd\u0131. Bug\u00fcnk\u00fc ortamda da benzerlikler g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz; bu da Sterlin\u2019de kal\u0131c\u0131 bir zay\u0131fl\u0131k d\u00f6nemine i\u015faret ediyor. Bu, GBP\/USD\u2019de en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck diren\u00e7 yolunun a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n oldu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcz\u00fc g\u00fc\u00e7lendiriyor.<\/p>\n

Gelecek hafta hem Fed hem de BoE\u2019nin para politikas\u0131 kararlar\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klayacak olmas\u0131, z\u0131mni volatilitede art\u0131\u015f beklentimizi y\u00fckseltiyor. Bu da, paritenin 1,3500 alt\u0131nda s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalmas\u0131na oynarken prim toplanmas\u0131na imkan veren \u201cout-of-the-money\u201d call spread sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 gibi stratejileri cazip k\u0131l\u0131yor. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n \u00e7evik kalmas\u0131 gerekiyor; zira her iki merkez bankas\u0131ndan gelecek man\u015fetler sert fiyat hareketlerini tetikleyebilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sterlin bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda: \u0130ngiltere GSYH\u2019de %0,1 daralma GBP\/USD\u2019yi 1,3415 alt\u0131na iterken g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD verileri dolar\u0131 destekliyor. Fed-BoE \u00f6ncesi volatilite artabilir; diren\u00e7 1,3468.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47666,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-48721","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48721","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=48721"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48721\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47666"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=48721"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=48721"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=48721"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}