SpaceX\u2019in Nasdaq\u2019taki ilk i\u015flem g\u00fcn\u00fc, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc piyasa \u00f6ncesi hareketlerle \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131; hisseler %30 y\u00fckselirken, tahmin piyasalar\u0131 135 dolarl\u0131k halka arz fiyat\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f\u0131n 175 dolar civar\u0131nda olabilece\u011fine i\u015faret etti. \u015eirket 75 milyar dolarl\u0131k hisse sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi; bu da 1,75 trilyon dolarl\u0131k bir de\u011ferlemeye i\u015faret ediyor. \u0130lk g\u00fcn %30\u2019luk bir y\u00fckseli\u015f ise \u015firketin piyasa de\u011ferini 2,4 trilyon dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine ta\u015f\u0131yabilir. Serbest dola\u015f\u0131m (float) b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc, son 25 y\u0131l\u0131n 22\u2019sinde toplanan sermayeden daha b\u00fcy\u00fck olarak tan\u0131mland\u0131 ve bu y\u0131l \u015fimdiye kadarki t\u00fcm ABD halka arzlar\u0131n\u0131n toplam has\u0131lat\u0131n\u0131 da a\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n
Arac\u0131 kurumlar genellikle hisselerin %10\u2019u i\u00e7in al\u0131c\u0131 ve sat\u0131c\u0131y\u0131 e\u015fle\u015ftirmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan, i\u015flemler a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015ftan saatler sonra ba\u015flayabilir. Dile getirilen risk, s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131yd\u0131; bu durum volatiliteyi art\u0131rabilir ve devre kesicileri tetikleyebilir. SpaceX, i\u015flemin %20\u2019sini bireysel yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lara ay\u0131rd\u0131; bu oran, ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7taki %30 tahmininden d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck. Daha geni\u015f piyasalarda Avrupa endeksleri %1\u2019in \u00fczerinde y\u00fckselirken, ABD vadeli i\u015flemleri kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k seyretti: S&P 500 +%0,1\u2019e, Nasdaq ise -%0,2\u2019ye i\u015faret etti. SpaceX, de\u011ferleme bak\u0131m\u0131ndan d\u00fcnyan\u0131n 14\u2019\u00fcnc\u00fc en b\u00fcy\u00fck \u015firketi olarak tan\u0131mland\u0131; endeks fonlar\u0131n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7ekli teknoloji pozisyonlar\u0131ndan SpaceX\u2019e yer a\u00e7mak i\u00e7in yeniden dengeleme yapmas\u0131 nedeniyle pasif Nasdaq pozisyonlanmas\u0131 \u00fczerinde zincirleme etkiler bekleniyor.<\/p>\n
Bug\u00fcnk\u00fc tarihi SpaceX halka arz\u0131 g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcne al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, en yak\u0131n vadeli f\u0131rsat\u0131 beklenen y\u00fcksek volatilitenin al\u0131m-sat\u0131m\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Hisse piyasa \u00f6ncesinde \u015fimdiden %30\u2019luk bir s\u0131\u00e7ramaya i\u015faret ederken ve bireysel yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 davran\u0131\u015f\u0131na dair belirsizlik \u00e7ok y\u00fcksekken, sert fiyat dalgalanmalar\u0131 neredeyse ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz. Bunu de\u011ferlendirmek i\u00e7in, SpaceX\u2019te opsiyonlar kullan\u0131ma a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131r a\u00e7\u0131lmaz straddle gibi (her iki y\u00f6ne b\u00fcy\u00fck harekete oynayan) opsiyon stratejileri almay\u0131 planl\u0131yoruz; bu t\u00fcr stratejiler, fiyat\u0131n hangi y\u00f6ne gitti\u011finden ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z olarak g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir hareketten kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flayabilir.<\/p>\n
SpaceX\u2019in ola\u011fan\u00fcst\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc, piyasada \u00f6nemli bir yeniden dengeleme s\u00fcrecini zorunlu k\u0131l\u0131yor ve \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalar i\u00e7in net bir \u201cpair trade\u201d (ikili i\u015flem) f\u0131rsat\u0131 yarat\u0131yor. Nasdaq 100\u2019\u00fc takip eden pasif endeks fonlar\u0131, SpaceX\u2019in devasa endeks a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131na yer a\u00e7mak i\u00e7in di\u011fer mega \u00f6l\u00e7ekli teknoloji hisselerinde zorunlu sat\u0131c\u0131 konumuna gelebilir. Aral\u0131k 2020\u2019de Tesla\u2019n\u0131n S&P 500\u2019e dahil edilmesi s\u0131ras\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fclen volatiliteyi hat\u0131rlayarak, daha geni\u015f teknoloji endeksi \u00fczerindeki ge\u00e7ici a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131ya kar\u015f\u0131 korunmak veya bundan faydalanmak i\u00e7in QQQ ETF\u2019i \u00fczerinde sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonlar\u0131 al\u0131yoruz.<\/p>\n
Bu halka arz\u0131n, yapay zek\u00e2 temas\u0131nda bir anlat\u0131 de\u011fi\u015fimine i\u015faret etti\u011fine inan\u0131yoruz; oda\u011f\u0131n \u00e7ip \u00fcreticilerinden, yapay zek\u00e2y\u0131 ger\u00e7ek d\u00fcnyada uygulayan \u015firketlere kaymas\u0131 s\u00f6z konusu. Bu da \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki aylarda sermaye rotasyonuna zemin haz\u0131rlayabilir. Bu temay\u0131, SpaceX \u00fczerinde uzun vadeli al\u0131m (call) opsiyonu pozisyonlar\u0131 olu\u015fturarak ve ayn\u0131 zamanda heyecan zirvesini g\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015f olabilecek yar\u0131 iletken ETF\u2019leri \u00fczerinde sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendirerek takip ediyoruz.<\/p>\n
CEO\u2019nun SpaceX\u2019i Tesla ile ili\u015fkilendiren yorumlar\u0131, daha spek\u00fclatif ve uzun vadeli bir i\u015flem fikrinin de \u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131yor. Bir birle\u015fmeye dair en k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck im\u00e2 bile, son bir ayda Nasdaq\u2019\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k %5 gerisinde kalan Tesla hisselerinde g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir ralliye yol a\u00e7abilir. Bu olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 yakalamak i\u00e7in, y\u00fcksek etkili bu s\u00f6ylentiyi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck maliyetle oynaman\u0131n bir yolu olarak Tesla\u2019da k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck tutarl\u0131, daha uzun vadeli al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131 sat\u0131n almay\u0131 de\u011ferlendiriyoruz.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
SpaceX\u2019in Nasdaq a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f\u0131 olay: piyasa \u00f6ncesi %30, halka arz 135$\u2019a kar\u015f\u0131 175$ beklentisi. 75 milyar$ sat\u0131\u015f 1,75T$ de\u011ferleme. Volatilite, devre kesici ve endeks yeniden dengelemesi\/pasif fon etkisi g\u00fcndemde.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47713,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-48709","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48709","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=48709"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48709\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47713"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=48709"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=48709"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=48709"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}