{"id":48698,"date":"2026-06-12T15:04:32","date_gmt":"2026-06-12T15:04:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/sterlin-zayif-ingiltere-verilerine-ragmen-abd-iran-baris-umutlarinin-dolari-zayiflatmasiyla-200-gunluk-ortalamayi-test-ediyor\/"},"modified":"2026-06-12T15:04:32","modified_gmt":"2026-06-12T15:04:32","slug":"sterlin-zayif-ingiltere-verilerine-ragmen-abd-iran-baris-umutlarinin-dolari-zayiflatmasiyla-200-gunluk-ortalamayi-test-ediyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/sterlin-zayif-ingiltere-verilerine-ragmen-abd-iran-baris-umutlarinin-dolari-zayiflatmasiyla-200-gunluk-ortalamayi-test-ediyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Sterlin, zay\u0131f \u0130ngiltere verilerine ra\u011fmen ABD-\u0130ran bar\u0131\u015f umutlar\u0131n\u0131n dolar\u0131 zay\u0131flatmas\u0131yla 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalamay\u0131 test ediyor"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sterlin, olas\u0131 bir ABD\u2011\u0130ran bar\u0131\u015f anla\u015fmas\u0131na ili\u015fkin iyimserli\u011fin zay\u0131f Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k ekonomik verilerinin \u00f6n\u00fcne ge\u00e7mesiyle, Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc ABD dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 da olsa daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm sergiledi. GBP\/USD, Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc 1,3300\u2019un hemen \u00fczerindeki dip seviyelerden toparland\u0131 ve 1,3415 civar\u0131ndaki 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019y\u0131 test ediyordu. Fiyat hareketi, ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n \u201c\u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki g\u00fcnlerde\u201d olas\u0131 bir anla\u015fmaya i\u015faret eden a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131yla destek bulurken, \u0130ranl\u0131 yetkililer de bir anla\u015fman\u0131n \u201cdaha \u00f6nce hi\u00e7 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 kadar yak\u0131n\u201d oldu\u011funu belirtti.<\/p>\n

Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k verileri, GSYH\u2019nin Mart\u2019taki %0,3\u2019l\u00fck art\u0131\u015f\u0131n ard\u0131ndan Nisan\u2019da %0,1 darald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi. Sanayi \u00dcretimi, %0,1 art\u0131\u015f beklentisine kar\u015f\u0131n yatay kald\u0131; \u0130malat \u00dcretimi ise %0,2 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f beklentisine kar\u015f\u0131 %0,4 artt\u0131. ABD taraf\u0131nda Per\u015fembe g\u00fcnk\u00fc \u00dcFE y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda %6,5\u2019e h\u0131zlanarak son \u00fc\u00e7 bu\u00e7uk y\u0131l\u0131n en h\u0131zl\u0131 art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 kaydederken, \u00e7ekirdek \u00dcFE %5,4 beklentisine kar\u015f\u0131 %4,9\u2019da sabit kalarak Fed\u2019in faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 azaltt\u0131. G\u00f6zler daha sonra, tarihi dip seviyelere yak\u0131n kalmas\u0131 beklenen Michigan T\u00fcketici G\u00fcveni Endeksi\u2019ne \u00e7evriliyor.<\/p>\n

Sterlin Hareketinin ve Dolar Zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n Arkas\u0131ndaki Etkenler<\/h3>\n

Sterlinin 1,3415 civar\u0131ndaki kritik 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalamay\u0131 test etti\u011fini g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz; bu hareket, Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k ekonomisinde ger\u00e7ek bir g\u00fc\u00e7lenmeden ziyade daha \u00e7ok dolar zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan kaynaklan\u0131yor. Bu durum, yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc potansiyelin devam\u0131 i\u00e7in pozisyon alma f\u0131rsat\u0131 sunuyor; ancak temkinli olmak gerekiyor. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki birka\u00e7 hafta i\u00e7in riski net \u015fekilde tan\u0131mlamak ad\u0131na en ihtiyatl\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131n opsiyon kullan\u0131m\u0131 oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz.<\/p>\n

ABD\u2019de son istihdam verileri \u2014May\u0131s ay\u0131nda tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam\u0131n 180 bin beklentiye kar\u015f\u0131 yaln\u0131zca 150 bin artmas\u0131\u2014 \u00fcretici fiyatlar\u0131ndaki mesaj\u0131 peki\u015ftiriyor. Fed\u2019in art\u0131k faiz art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fcndeme almak i\u00e7in fazla gerek\u00e7esi kalmad\u0131; bu da tarihsel olarak dolar\u0131 zay\u0131flat\u0131r; t\u0131pk\u0131 Fed\u2019in 2023 sonundaki politika d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcnde g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm\u00fcz gibi. Bu, dolar i\u00e7in en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck diren\u00e7 yolunun a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc oldu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcz\u00fc destekliyor.<\/p>\n

Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k taraf\u0131nda %0,1\u2019lik GSYH daralmas\u0131 endi\u015fe verici; ancak enflasyonun inat\u00e7\u0131 kalmas\u0131 bu tabloyu dengeliyor. May\u0131s sonundaki son T\u00dcFE verisi %3,1 ile beklentilerin hafif \u00fczerinde geldi ve bu da \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n faiz indirimini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmesini zorla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor. ABD ile olu\u015fan bu politika ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n GBP\/USD paritesine taban olu\u015fturmaya devam etmesi beklenebilir.<\/p>\n

Jeopolitik Geli\u015fmeler ve \u0130\u015flem Stratejisi<\/h3>\n

Olas\u0131 bir ABD\u2011\u0130ran anla\u015fmas\u0131na ili\u015fkin jeopolitik geli\u015fmeler, g\u00fcvenli liman dolar\u0131na olan talebi belirgin bi\u00e7imde azalt\u0131yor. Bu \u201crisk-on\u201d e\u011filimini, son bir haftada 14\u2019\u00fcn alt\u0131na gerileyerek aylard\u0131r en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesine inen VIX endeksinde de g\u00f6rd\u00fck. Anla\u015fman\u0131n resmen duyurulmas\u0131 halinde, dolarda yeni bir a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 dalga bekleriz.<\/p>\n

Bu nedenle, mevcut direncin hemen \u00fczerinde, yakla\u015f\u0131k 1,3450 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 GBP\/USD Temmuz vadeli al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131 al\u0131m\u0131na bak\u0131yoruz. Bu strateji, olas\u0131 bir k\u0131r\u0131lmadan faydalanmam\u0131z\u0131 sa\u011flarken; \u00f6denen prim, zay\u0131f Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k temellerinin yeniden \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 durumunda maksimum riskimizi temsil ediyor. Opsiyon piyasas\u0131nda mevcut d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck ima edilen volatilite, y\u00fckseli\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc ifade etmek i\u00e7in bu y\u00f6ntemi cazip k\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Piyasalar nefesini tuttu: ABD\u2011\u0130ran anla\u015fmas\u0131 beklentisi dolar\u0131 zay\u0131flat\u0131rken Sterlin, zay\u0131f \u0130ngiltere verilerini a\u015f\u0131p GBP\/USD\u2019yi 1,3415\u2019teki 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalamaya ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131; 1,3450 call opsiyonu \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47772,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-48698","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48698","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=48698"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48698\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47772"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=48698"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=48698"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=48698"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}