IRNA, Bloomberg\u2019in belgenin Pazar g\u00fcn\u00fc Cenevre\u2019de imzalanmas\u0131n\u0131n beklendi\u011fine dair haberinin ard\u0131ndan, ABD-\u0130ran Mutabakat Muht\u0131ras\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (MoU) ana \u015fartlar\u0131n\u0131 yay\u0131mlad\u0131. Metne g\u00f6re \u0130ran, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n y\u00f6netiminin devrine ili\u015fkin herhangi bir taahh\u00fctte bulunmuyor; gelecekteki olas\u0131 bir idari d\u00fczenlemenin ise Tahran ile Umman aras\u0131nda diyalog ve ortak karar alma mekanizmas\u0131 \u00fczerinden b\u00f6lgesel bir mesele olarak ele al\u0131naca\u011f\u0131 belirtiliyor.<\/p>\n
Muht\u0131rada n\u00fckleer dosyaya ili\u015fkin bir anla\u015fma yer almazken, imzadan itibaren 60 g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde n\u00fckleer g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin ba\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131 ifade ediliyor. \u015eartlar\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klanmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan petrol piyasalar\u0131n\u0131n ilk tepkisi s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kald\u0131; ancak fiyatlar zaten ABD-\u0130ran MoU beklentileriyle hareket etmi\u015fti. Haber s\u0131ras\u0131nda WTI %2,65 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 83,00 dolar civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyordu.<\/p>\n
WTI\u2019\u0131n 83 dolara gerilemesinin, ABD-\u0130ran mutabakat muht\u0131ras\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan en iyi senaryoyu halihaz\u0131rda fiyatlam\u0131\u015f oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Anla\u015fma, n\u00fckleer dosya ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019na ili\u015fkin kritik kararlar\u0131 ileri bir tarihe \u00f6teliyor. Net bir \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fcn olmamas\u0131 kayda de\u011fer bir belirsizlik yarat\u0131yor; bu da a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketin kal\u0131c\u0131 oldu\u011funa dair g\u00fcveni zay\u0131flat\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
N\u00fckleer g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler i\u00e7in tan\u0131nan 60 g\u00fcnl\u00fck pencere, potansiyel piyasa oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan net bir zaman \u00e7izelgesi olu\u015fturuyor. Biz bu oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 sat\u0131n almay\u0131 hedefliyoruz; zira her bir haber ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 sert fiyat dalgalanmalar\u0131na yol a\u00e7abilir. 2015 JCPOA\u2019n\u0131n son m\u00fczakere a\u015famalar\u0131nda ham petrol opsiyonlar\u0131nda ima edilen volatilitenin %25\u2019in \u00fczerinde s\u0131\u00e7rad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fck; burada da benzer bir desen bekliyoruz.<\/p>\n
Temel veriler, bu seviyelerden kal\u0131c\u0131 bir fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc desteklemiyor. Son EIA raporlar\u0131, ABD ham petrol stoklar\u0131n\u0131n son \u00fc\u00e7 haftada 9 milyon varilin \u00fczerinde geriledi\u011fini g\u00f6sterirken, OPEC+ \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrek boyunca \u00fcretim kesintilerini teyit etti. Bu s\u0131k\u0131 arz zemini piyasada g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir taban olu\u015fturuyor ve a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
G\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcz, fiyat\u0131n her iki y\u00f6nde de b\u00fcy\u00fck bir hareketinden kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flayan opsiyon stratejilerinin bu a\u015famada cazip oldu\u011fu y\u00f6n\u00fcnde. T\u00fcm m\u00fczakere d\u00f6nemini yakalamak i\u00e7in A\u011fustos ve Eyl\u00fcl vadeli kontratlarda uzun straddle stratejilerini de\u011ferlendiriyoruz. Bu, g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z olmas\u0131 halinde olas\u0131 bir h\u0131zl\u0131 toparlanma rallisine ya da ger\u00e7ek bir k\u0131r\u0131lma ya\u015fanmas\u0131 durumunda ilave d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe pozisyon almay\u0131 m\u00fcmk\u00fcn k\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Petrolde fla\u015f geli\u015fme: ABD-\u0130ran MoU H\u00fcrm\u00fcz\u2019\u00fc devretmiyor, n\u00fckleer anla\u015fma yok; 60 g\u00fcnde g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler ba\u015flayacak. WTI 83 dolara indi. Belirsizlik s\u00fcr\u00fcyor; opsiyonda volatilite, straddle f\u0131rsat\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47763,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-48696","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48696","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=48696"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48696\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47763"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=48696"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=48696"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=48696"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}