AUD\/USD, Fars News\u2019in \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n ABD ile Ba\u015fkan Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n Tahran\u2019\u0131n \u00fcst d\u00fczey liderli\u011fi taraf\u0131ndan onayland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi\u011fi bir Mutabakat Muht\u0131ras\u0131n\u0131 kabul etti\u011fini reddetti\u011fini bildirmesinin ard\u0131ndan ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n toparlanmas\u0131yla Avrupa i\u015flemlerinin erken saatlerinde %0,22 gerileyerek yakla\u015f\u0131k 0,7035\u2019e indi. ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY) %0,15 y\u00fckseli\u015fle yakla\u015f\u0131k 99,85\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Trump Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc, \u0130ran\u2019a y\u00f6nelik planlanan sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n iptal edildi\u011fini ve bir bar\u0131\u015f anla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n nihai maddelerinin ilke ve detay d\u00fczeyinde onayland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi; ayr\u0131ca anla\u015fma nihai hale gelene kadar ABD\u2019nin \u0130ran limanlar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik deniz ablukas\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fckte kalaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ekledi.<\/p>\n
Avustralya Dolar\u0131, Sal\u0131 g\u00fcnk\u00fc Avustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131 (RBA) karar\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde temkinli seyretti. Reuters anketine g\u00f6re, RBA\u2019n\u0131n bu y\u0131lki 75 baz puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n ard\u0131ndan duraklamaya giderek Resmi Nakit Faiz Oran\u0131\u2019n\u0131 (OCR) %4,35\u2019te sabit tutmas\u0131 bekleniyor. Teknik olarak AUD\/USD, 0,7103\u2019teki 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019n\u0131n ve 0,7054\u2019teki %50 Fibonacci d\u00fczeltme seviyesinin alt\u0131nda kal\u0131rken, 0,7002\u2019deki %61,8 seviyesinin hemen \u00fczerinde tutunuyor; RSI (14) ise 0,72\u2019nin orta b\u00f6lgesinden gelen d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn ard\u0131ndan 39 civar\u0131nda. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131da 0,6929 ve 0,6834 destek olarak izlenirken, yukar\u0131da 0,7106; ard\u0131ndan 0,7171 ve 0,7274 diren\u00e7 konumunda.<\/p>\n
AUD\/USD paritesinin kritik 0,6700 seviyesinin alt\u0131nda zorland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. ABD dolar\u0131, son d\u00f6nemdeki g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc makroekonomik verilerden destek alarak g\u00fc\u00e7 kazan\u0131rken, Avustralya dolar\u0131 ise RBA\u2019dan gelecek sinyalleri temkinli \u015fekilde bekliyor. Bu durum, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc risklerin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131 zorlu bir ortam yarat\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
ABD dolar\u0131ndaki toparlanma, May\u0131s ay\u0131 istihdam raporuyla destekleniyor. S\u00f6z konusu raporda, 180 binlik beklentiye kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k 250 bin istihdam art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Bu veri seti, Fed\u2019in faizleri daha uzun s\u00fcre y\u00fcksek tutaca\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc peki\u015ftirerek dolar\u0131 daha cazip hale getiriyor. Bu anlat\u0131 ge\u00e7erlili\u011fini korudu\u011fu s\u00fcrece, dolar i\u00e7in en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck diren\u00e7li yolun yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc oldu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Di\u011fer tarafta, RBA\u2019n\u0131n gelecek hafta politika faizini %4,10\u2019da sabit tutmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyoruz; ancak piyasalar\u0131n oda\u011f\u0131 ileriye d\u00f6n\u00fck y\u00f6nlendirmede olacak. Son ayl\u0131k T\u00dcFE verisinin %3,2 seviyesinde gelmesi, enflasyonun yap\u0131\u015fkan seyretti\u011fine ve RBA\u2019n\u0131n %2-3 hedef band\u0131n\u0131n \u00fczerinde kald\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. RBA\u2019dan b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye ili\u015fkin endi\u015felerin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131na dair herhangi bir sinyal, Avustralya dolar\u0131 \u00fczerinde belirgin bask\u0131 yaratabilir.<\/p>\n
Bu arka plan dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, AUD\/USD\u2019de olas\u0131 yeni bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 korunmak veya d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe y\u00f6nelik pozisyon almak i\u00e7in put opsiyonu al\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n ihtiyatl\u0131 bir strateji oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. 0,6600 destek seviyesinin a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131, y\u0131l i\u00e7i dip seviyelere yak\u0131n 0,6520\u2019ye do\u011fru d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc h\u0131zland\u0131rabilir. Put al\u0131m\u0131, riskin ba\u015ftan tan\u0131mlanmas\u0131na imkan tan\u0131rken, \u00f6zellikle gelecek haftaki RBA a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131 etraf\u0131nda volatilitenin artmas\u0131n\u0131n beklendi\u011fi bir ortamda olas\u0131 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketten faydalanmay\u0131 sa\u011flar.<\/p>\n
Y\u00f6n konusunda daha az emin olmakla birlikte RBA toplant\u0131s\u0131 sonras\u0131nda belirgin bir fiyat hareketi bekleyenler i\u00e7in \u201cuzun straddle\u201d stratejisi etkili olabilir. Bu strateji, ayn\u0131 kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131ndan hem al\u0131m (call) hem sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonu al\u0131nmas\u0131n\u0131 i\u00e7erir ve fiyat\u0131n her iki y\u00f6nde de g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir \u015fekilde hareket etmesi durumunda kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flar. Tarihsel olarak RBA toplant\u0131lar\u0131, a\u00e7\u0131klama g\u00fcn\u00fcnde AUD\/USD\u2019de ortalama 60 pipin \u00fczerinde harekete neden olmu\u015ftur; bu da volatilite odakl\u0131 stratejileri cazip k\u0131lmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
AUD\/USD, Trump-\u0130ran haberleri sonras\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lenen dolar\u0131n etkisiyle 0,7035\u2019e geriledi. Piyasa RBA\u2019da faizin sabit kalmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor. Teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm zay\u0131f; 0,7000 alt\u0131 riskli, opsiyonlarla korunma \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47694,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-48672","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48672","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=48672"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48672\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47694"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=48672"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=48672"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=48672"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}