{"id":48663,"date":"2026-06-12T05:34:35","date_gmt":"2026-06-12T05:34:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/gbp-jpy-boenin-sahin-durusu-japonyanin-mudahale-endiseleri-ve-trump-onculugundeki-risk-istahi-donusumuyle-215-seviyesine-yakin-tutunuyor\/"},"modified":"2026-06-12T05:34:35","modified_gmt":"2026-06-12T05:34:35","slug":"gbp-jpy-boenin-sahin-durusu-japonyanin-mudahale-endiseleri-ve-trump-onculugundeki-risk-istahi-donusumuyle-215-seviyesine-yakin-tutunuyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/gbp-jpy-boenin-sahin-durusu-japonyanin-mudahale-endiseleri-ve-trump-onculugundeki-risk-istahi-donusumuyle-215-seviyesine-yakin-tutunuyor\/","title":{"rendered":"GBP\/JPY, BoE\u2019nin \u015eahin Duru\u015fu Japonya\u2019n\u0131n M\u00fcdahale Endi\u015feleri ve Trump \u00d6nc\u00fcl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcndeki Risk \u0130\u015ftah\u0131 D\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcyle 215 Seviyesine Yak\u0131n Tutunuyor"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sterlin Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fcn\u00fc neredeyse yatay tamamlad\u0131; GBP\/JPY 214,70 civar\u0131nda seyrederken yakla\u015f\u0131k %0,04 y\u00fckseldi. Risk i\u015ftah\u0131 dalgaland\u0131ktan sonra, ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 iptal etmesi ve olas\u0131 bir anla\u015fmaya i\u015faret etmesiyle toparland\u0131. Fiyat hareketi \u00e7apraz\u0131 konsolidasyon faz\u0131nda tutarken, devam (follow-through) eksikli\u011fi USD\/JPY\u2019de Japon otoritelerinin olas\u0131 m\u00fcdahalesine ili\u015fkin temkinle ili\u015fkilendirildi; b\u00f6ylesi bir ad\u0131m Yen\u2019i di\u011fer G8 para birimlerine kar\u015f\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirebilir.<\/p>\n

Parite s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 y\u00fckselse de 5 Haziran\u2019daki son d\u00f6ng\u00fc zirvesi 215,61\u2019in \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kamad\u0131. G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI) yukar\u0131 e\u011fimini korurken ayn\u0131 zamanda karars\u0131zl\u0131\u011fa i\u015faret ediyor. 10 Haziran zirvesi 215,24\u2019\u00fcn \u00fczerinde bir k\u0131r\u0131lma oda\u011f\u0131 yeniden 215,61\u2019e, ard\u0131ndan y\u0131l i\u00e7i zirve 216,60\u2019a \u00e7evirebilir. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131da ise 214,23\u2013214,10 band\u0131nda k\u00fcmelenen 20 ve 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck Basit Hareketli Ortalamalar\u0131n (SMA) alt\u0131na sarkma 214,00 seviyesini g\u00fcndeme getirir; bunun alt\u0131nda 8 Haziran sal\u0131n\u0131m dibi 212,93 ve 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA 212,67 izleniyor.<\/p>\n

\u00c7eli\u015fkili Temeller ve M\u00fcdahale Riskleri<\/h3>\n

Piyasa \u00e7eli\u015fkili sinyalleri sindirirken GBP\/JPY\u2019nin 201,50 civar\u0131nda konsolide oldu\u011funu g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Son \u0130ngiltere enflasyon verisi ge\u00e7en hafta yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc s\u00fcrpriz yaparak %3,1\u2019e geldi; bu durum \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131 (BoE) \u015fahin \u00e7izgide tutuyor ve sterlini destekliyor. Bununla birlikte, Japonya\u2019n\u0131n olas\u0131 m\u00fcdahalesi y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki s\u00fcrekli tehdit yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc anlaml\u0131 hareketlere g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir tavan olu\u015fturuyor.<\/p>\n

Japon yetkililer Yen\u2019deki zay\u0131fl\u0131ktan a\u00e7\u0131k \u015fekilde rahats\u0131z; \u00f6zellikle USD\/JPY\u2019nin yeniden 160 seviyesine yak\u0131n, onlarca y\u0131l\u0131n zirvelerini test etmesiyle. Ge\u00e7en hafta Maliye Bakan\u0131 Suzuki\u2019den \u201ca\u015f\u0131r\u0131 kur hareketlerine\u201d kar\u015f\u0131 uyar\u0131lar geldi; bu da piyasaya do\u011frudan bir mesaj gibi okunuyor. 2022 sonu ve 2024\u2019teki m\u00fcdahalelerin ard\u0131ndan g\u00f6r\u00fclen sert ve ani JPY rallileri hat\u0131rland\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, burada a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyonlanmaya kar\u015f\u0131 temkinli kal\u0131yoruz.<\/p>\n

Bu gerilim, b\u00fcy\u00fcyen politika fark\u0131yla besleniyor: \u0130ngiltere 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k gilt getirileri ile Japon Devlet Tahvilleri aras\u0131ndaki getiri fark\u0131 art\u0131k 400 baz puan\u0131 a\u015f\u0131yor. Bu temel bask\u0131 sermayeyi sterline do\u011fru itmeye devam ederek paritede kademeli bir yukar\u0131 e\u011filim yarat\u0131yor. Piyasa fiilen Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BoJ) kararl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 test ediyor ve bu da riskli bir ortam olu\u015fturuyor.<\/p>\n

T\u00fcrevler ve \u00d6nemli Teknik Seviyeler A\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan Sonu\u00e7lar<\/h3>\n

T\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan bu tablo, do\u011frudan yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyon alman\u0131n riskli oldu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor. Riski tan\u0131mlamak i\u00e7in opsiyon kullan\u0131m\u0131 daha uygun olabilir; \u00f6rne\u011fin \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 30\u201345 g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde vadeli GBP\/JPY put opsiyonlar\u0131 sat\u0131n alarak ani bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 korunma sa\u011flanabilir. Son zirve 202,80\u2019in \u00fczerindeki b\u00f6lgede call spread satmak da, yukar\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcn s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyle prim toplaman\u0131n bir ba\u015fka yolu.<\/p>\n

Takip edilmesi gereken kritik seviyeler: May\u0131s ay\u0131ndaki son zirve 202,80 k\u0131sa vadeli diren\u00e7 olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalama civar\u0131ndaki 200,50 seviyesinin alt\u0131na kararl\u0131 bir k\u0131r\u0131lma sat\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n kontrol\u00fc eline ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterebilir. Bu da 198,00 destek b\u00f6lgesine do\u011fru \u00e7ok daha h\u0131zl\u0131 bir geri \u00e7ekilmeye kap\u0131 aralayabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sterlin\/yen yatay: GBP\/JPY 214,70\u2019te s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Trump\u2019\u0131n tansiyonu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmesi risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 toparlad\u0131; ancak Japon m\u00fcdahale riski tavan. 215,24-215,61 diren\u00e7; 214,10 alt\u0131 sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47853,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-48663","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48663","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=48663"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48663\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47853"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=48663"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=48663"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=48663"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}