Alt\u0131n, ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n ABD ile \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n bir anla\u015fmaya yak\u0131n oldu\u011fu y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131n\u0131n dolar\u0131 bask\u0131lamas\u0131 ve k\u00fcl\u00e7enin \u00e7ar\u015famba g\u00fcnk\u00fc kay\u0131plar\u0131n\u0131n bir k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131 telafi etmesine yard\u0131mc\u0131 olmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc y\u00fckseldi. Spot XAU\/USD 4.212 dolardan i\u015flem g\u00f6rerek %3,50 artt\u0131. Trump, anla\u015fman\u0131n hafta sonu kadar erken bir tarihte imzalanabilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi; bu durum H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndan ge\u00e7i\u015f trafi\u011finin yeniden a\u00e7\u0131labilmesi ihtimalini g\u00fcndeme getirdi. \u0130ran ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 FARS, ABD\u2019nin \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n \u00f6nerdi\u011fi metni kabul etti\u011fini ve \u00fcst d\u00fczey makamlarca onaylanmas\u0131n\u0131n muhtemel oldu\u011funu bildirdi. ABD Dolar Endeksi %0,42 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 99,66\u2019ya gerileyerek faiz getirisi olmayan metali destekledi.<\/p>\n
Veri taraf\u0131nda, ABD\u2019de \u00fcretici fiyatlar\u0131 may\u0131sta y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda %6,5 artarak nisandaki %5,7\u2019nin ve %6,4\u2019l\u00fck piyasa beklentisinin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. \u00c7ekirdek \u00dcFE ise %4,9 artarak %5,4 beklentisinin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131 ve nisanla ayn\u0131 seviyede ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Prime Terminal, \u00dcFE verisinin bir g\u00fcn \u00f6nce a\u00e7\u0131klanan T\u00dcFE ile birlikte, piyasalar\u0131n 2026 sonuna do\u011fru bir Fed faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131na ili\u015fkin fiyatlamas\u0131n\u0131 korudu\u011funu belirtti. 6 Haziran\u2019da biten haftaya ili\u015fkin ilk i\u015fsizlik maa\u015f\u0131 ba\u015fvurular\u0131 229 bin ile 219 binlik tahminin \u00fczerinde geldi; Michigan \u00dcniversitesi\u2019nin haziran ay\u0131na ili\u015fkin \u00f6nc\u00fc t\u00fcketici g\u00fcveni verisi ise g\u00fcn\u00fcn ilerleyen saatlerinde a\u00e7\u0131klanacak. Teknik olarak alt\u0131n, 4.098 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na sarkmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan 4.023 dolarla alt\u0131 ay\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesini g\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc; RSI a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131mda kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrse de 20\u2019nin \u00fczerinde. 4.000 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na ini\u015f 3.886 dolar\u0131 g\u00fcndeme getirebilirken, diren\u00e7 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA olan 4.443 dolarda ve ard\u0131ndan 4.500 dolarda bulunuyor.<\/p>\n
Alt\u0131ndaki bu sert y\u00fckseli\u015fi, ABD-\u0130ran anla\u015fmas\u0131 ihtimaline ili\u015fkin haberlerin ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131 zay\u0131flatmas\u0131n\u0131n do\u011frudan bir sonucu olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Ancak bunun, trendde temel bir de\u011fi\u015fimden ziyade ge\u00e7ici ve haber ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 kaynakl\u0131 bir s\u0131\u00e7rama olabilece\u011fi kanaatindeyiz. Bu g\u00fc\u00e7lenme, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyon ba\u015flatmak i\u00e7in potansiyel olarak cazip bir seviye sunuyor.<\/p>\n
Jeopolitik \u015foklar \u00e7o\u011fu zaman k\u0131sa vadeli oynakl\u0131k yarat\u0131r ve yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 yan\u0131ltabilir. Tarihsel olarak, Orta Do\u011fu\u2019da gerilimin azald\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret eden benzer ba\u015fl\u0131klar, piyasa haberi sindirdikten sonra alt\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6nce s\u0131\u00e7ray\u0131p ard\u0131ndan \u00f6nceki trendine geri d\u00f6nmesine neden oldu. CBOE Alt\u0131n Volatilite Endeksi\u2019nin (GVZ) bu t\u00fcr olaylarda s\u0131kl\u0131kla s\u0131\u00e7rama yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 dikkate alarak, bunu kal\u0131c\u0131 bir bo\u011fa ko\u015fusundan ziyade riskin ve f\u0131rsat\u0131n artt\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir d\u00f6nem olarak de\u011ferlendiriyoruz.<\/p>\n
Y\u00fckselen i\u015fsizlik ba\u015fvurular\u0131 ve kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k enflasyon raporlar\u0131 gibi temel veriler belirsizlik yarat\u0131yor; ancak y\u0131l sonuna kadar Fed\u2019in faiz art\u0131raca\u011f\u0131 beklentisi alt\u0131n i\u00e7in g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir r\u00fczg\u00e2r kar\u015f\u0131t\u0131 olmaya devam ediyor. ABD Dolar Endeksi, bug\u00fcn g\u00f6r\u00fclen geri \u00e7ekilmeye ra\u011fmen aylard\u0131r altta yatan bir g\u00fc\u00e7 sergiliyor ve \u015fahin bir Fed bu e\u011filimi muhtemelen peki\u015ftirir. Daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc dolar, alt\u0131n\u0131 yabanc\u0131 al\u0131c\u0131lar i\u00e7in daha pahal\u0131 hale getirerek yukar\u0131 potansiyelini s\u0131n\u0131rlar.<\/p>\n
Teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan alt\u0131n\u0131n genel trendi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc ve bu ralli fiyat\u0131 \u00f6nemli diren\u00e7 seviyelerine yakla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor. Bu 4.200 dolara do\u011fru hareketi, daha iyi bir fiyattan sat\u0131\u015f f\u0131rsat\u0131 olarak ele al\u0131yoruz; 4.443 dolar civar\u0131ndaki 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalama ise \u00f6nemli bir tavan g\u00f6revi g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI), k\u0131sa vadeli al\u0131m bask\u0131s\u0131 zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f trendinin devam edebilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n
Bu nedenle, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki birka\u00e7 hafta boyunca alt\u0131n fiyat\u0131ndaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften fayda sa\u011flayacak stratejilere bak\u0131yoruz. 4.000 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131nda kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131na sahip put opsiyonlar\u0131 almak, 3.886 dolardaki destek seviyesine do\u011fru bir harekette kazan\u00e7 elde etmemize imkan tan\u0131rken riskimizi net bi\u00e7imde tan\u0131mlar. Alternatif olarak, prim toplamak i\u00e7in bear call spread kurulabilir; bu strateji, fiyat\u0131n kilit diren\u00e7 seviyelerini a\u015fmayaca\u011f\u0131 varsay\u0131m\u0131na dayan\u0131r.<\/p>\n
D\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcz, alt\u0131n 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalama olan 4.443 dolar seviyesini yeniden kazan\u0131p \u00fczerinde kalmay\u0131 ba\u015far\u0131rsa sorgulan\u0131r. Bu seviyenin \u00fczerinde kal\u0131c\u0131 bir hareket, piyasada yap\u0131sal bir de\u011fi\u015fime i\u015faret ederek pozisyonumuzu yeniden de\u011ferlendirmemizi gerektirir. Bu ger\u00e7ekle\u015fene kadar, bunun gibi rallileri sat\u0131\u015f f\u0131rsat\u0131 olarak g\u00f6rmeye devam edece\u011fiz.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Alt\u0131n, Trump\u2019\u0131n ABD-\u0130ran anla\u015fmas\u0131 mesaj\u0131yla zay\u0131flayan dolara paralel %3,5 s\u0131\u00e7rad\u0131. \u00dcFE s\u00fcrprizi ve i\u015fsizlik ba\u015fvurular\u0131 belirsizlik yaratt\u0131. Teknikte d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f trendi s\u00fcr\u00fcyor; 4.443$ kritik diren\u00e7, put stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47833,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-48656","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48656","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=48656"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48656\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47833"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=48656"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=48656"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=48656"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}