USD\/SGD, iki seans \u00f6nce 1,2848\u2019e geriledikten sonra toparlanarak dar bir bant i\u00e7inde kald\u0131. Parite 1,2870 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcrken, beklentiden daha dar kalan 1,2856\/1,2885 band\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan k\u0131sa vadeli momentum hafif\u00e7e g\u00fc\u00e7lendi. UOB\u2019nin \u00e7er\u00e7evesi, yak\u0131n vadede 1,2900\u2019\u0131n test edilmesine i\u015faret ederken, ivmenin h\u00e2l\u00e2 s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 olmas\u0131 nedeniyle pazartesi g\u00fcnk\u00fc zirveye yak\u0131n 1,2915 b\u00f6lgesi daha sa\u011flam bir tavan olarak de\u011ferlendiriliyor. \u0130lk destek 1,2870\u2019te, ard\u0131ndan 1,2855\u2019te g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor; \u00f6nceki d\u00f6nem i\u00e7in beklenen i\u015flem s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131 olarak 1,2850 ve 1,2890 seviyeleri de an\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
1\u20133 haftal\u0131k perspektifte banka, 1,2830\u2019un \u201cg\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc destek\u201d olarak korunmas\u0131 ko\u015fuluyla pozitif e\u011filimi s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Daha geni\u015f yol haritas\u0131, y\u00fckseli\u015fin devam\u0131 i\u00e7in 1,2930\u2019un \u00fczerine k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m gerekti\u011fini; ilk etapta 1,2960\u2019a ve 1\u20133 ay vadede 1,2930\u2019un a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 halinde 1,3000\u2019e do\u011fru alan olu\u015fabilece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131n Singapur dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda hafif yukar\u0131 e\u011filimi dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, k\u0131sa vadeli patikan\u0131n 1,2900 seviyesine do\u011fru ilerledi\u011fini g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Yukar\u0131 momentum agresif de\u011fil, daha \u00e7ok kademeli; bu da paritede yava\u015f fakat istikrarl\u0131 bir y\u00fckseli\u015f e\u011filimine i\u015faret ediyor. Bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, paritenin \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda kritik 1,2830 destek seviyesinin \u00fczerinde kalmas\u0131 ko\u015fuluyla korunuyor.<\/p>\n
Bu de\u011ferlendirme, ABD\u2019de enflasyonist bask\u0131lar\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne i\u015faret eden son verilerle de g\u00fc\u00e7leniyor. Ge\u00e7en haftaki ABD T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi (T\u00dcFE) verisi %3,1 ile beklentilerin bir miktar \u00fczerinde gelerek, Fed\u2019in faizleri daha uzun s\u00fcre y\u00fcksek tutabilece\u011fi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncesini peki\u015ftirdi. Tarihsel olarak, Fed\u2019in \u015fahin duru\u015f sergiledi\u011fi d\u00f6nemlerde ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7lenme e\u011filimi \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Di\u011fer tarafta Singapur Para Otoritesi\u2019nin (MAS), Singapur dolar\u0131n\u0131n ticaret a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 sepetinde (S$NEER) kademeli de\u011ferlenme politikas\u0131ndan memnun g\u00f6r\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc izleniyor. MAS\u2019tan daha agresif bir politika de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi gelmedi\u011fi s\u00fcrece, Singapur dolar\u0131n\u0131n genel olarak g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir ABD dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda anlaml\u0131 kazan\u0131mlar \u00fcretmesi zor olabilir. Bu politika ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131, g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcz\u00fc destekleyen temel unsurlardan biri.<\/p>\n
\u0130\u015flem yapanlar a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan bu ortam, USD\/SGD\u2019de bo\u011fa call spread gibi stratejilere elveri\u015fli g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Vadesi \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki \u00fc\u00e7-d\u00f6rt hafta i\u00e7inde olan, 1,2850 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 bir call opsiyonunun al\u0131nmas\u0131 ve e\u015f zamanl\u0131 olarak 1,2950 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 bir call opsiyonunun sat\u0131lmas\u0131 de\u011ferlendirilebilir. Bu strateji, paritede \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015ften faydalan\u0131rken potansiyel getiriyi s\u0131n\u0131rlar ve daha da \u00f6nemlisi ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7 maliyetini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcr.<\/p>\n
Alternatif olarak, 1,2850 civar\u0131nda kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131yla nakit teminatl\u0131 put sat\u0131\u015f\u0131, gelir yaratmak i\u00e7in cazip bir y\u00f6ntem olabilir. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m, 1,2830 deste\u011finin \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki birka\u00e7 hafta sa\u011flam kalaca\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyle uyumlu. Toplanan prim, parite yatay seyrederse veya s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 geri \u00e7ekilirse dahi bir tampon g\u00f6revi g\u00f6r\u00fcr.<\/p>\n
B\u00fcy\u00fck borsalardan gelen g\u00fcncel pozisyonlanma verileri, kurumsal yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar aras\u0131nda ABD dolar\u0131nda net uzun (net-long) pozisyonlar\u0131n artt\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. Bu piyasa alg\u0131s\u0131, USD\/SGD\u2019de \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcl\u00fc ancak devam edebilecek bir y\u00fckseli\u015f potansiyelini destekliyor. Bu nedenle, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck oynakl\u0131kl\u0131 bir trend g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcnde riskin opsiyonlarla tan\u0131mland\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u015fekilde, daha y\u00fcksek seviyelere do\u011fru kademeli bir y\u00fckseli\u015fe pozisyon almak uygun olabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
USD\/SGD dar bantta g\u00fc\u00e7 topluyor: 1,2900 test edilebilir, 1,2915 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc tavan. 1,2830 \u00fcst\u00fcnde pozitif; 1,2930 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa 1,2960-1,3000 g\u00fcndemde. Fed \u015fahinli\u011fi, MAS s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131. Opsiyonlar \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47688,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-48652","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48652","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=48652"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48652\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47688"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=48652"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=48652"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=48652"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}