UOB, USD\/CNH konusunda n\u00f6tr duru\u015funu koruyor ve y\u00f6ns\u00fcz fiyat hareketinin ard\u0131ndan paritenin g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde 6,7760 ile 6,7880 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda konsolide olmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor. Banka, iki g\u00fcn \u00f6nce 6,7690\u2019a kadar g\u00f6r\u00fclen geri \u00e7ekilmenin ard\u0131ndan gelen toparlanmaya dikkat \u00e7ekiyor; USD\/CNH 6,7780 civar\u0131ndayken daha \u00f6nce 6,7700-6,7840 band\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc ve \u015fimdi k\u0131sa vadeli band\u0131n hafif daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir tonla yukar\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtiyor.<\/p>\n
1-3 haftal\u0131k g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde UOB, 6,7620 ile 6,7980 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda i\u015flem \u00e7er\u00e7evesini koruyor; bu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fc spotun 6,7750 oldu\u011fu 04 Haziran\u2019da benimsemi\u015fti. 1-3 ayl\u0131k vadede ise USD\/CNH\u2019nin kademeli gerilemeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmesini bekliyor; 2023 dip seviyesi olan 6,6980\u2019in test edilip edilmeyece\u011fi konusunda belirsizli\u011fe i\u015faret ediyor. \u0130\u00e7erik bir yapay zek\u00e2 arac\u0131yla \u00fcretilmi\u015f ve bir edit\u00f6r taraf\u0131ndan incelenmi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n
ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131n offshore yuan kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda \u015fimdilik dar bir bantta i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc, muhtemelen 7,2160 ile 7,2280 aras\u0131nda kalaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. May\u0131s 2026\u2019ya ait son ABD enflasyon verisinin beklentilerden daha yumu\u015fak gelerek %2,9 seviyesinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi, dolar\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ralliler yapmas\u0131n\u0131 engelliyor. Bu durum, g\u00fcn i\u00e7i konsolidasyon beklentimizi desteklerken k\u0131sa vadeli yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc potansiyeli de s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki bir ila \u00fc\u00e7 haftada, bu y\u00f6ns\u00fcz seyrin daha geni\u015f 7,2020-7,2380 band\u0131 i\u00e7inde s\u00fcrmesini bekliyoruz. Bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck volatilite ortam\u0131 opsiyon sat\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131 i\u00e7in uygun; zaman de\u011ferindeki erimeyi (time decay) yakalamak amac\u0131yla k\u0131sa vadeli strangle sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 veya iron condor gibi stratejileri cazip k\u0131l\u0131yor. Parite bu seviyeler i\u00e7erisinde kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece n\u00f6tr duru\u015fumuzu koruyoruz.<\/p>\n
\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki birka\u00e7 ayda e\u011filimimizin paritenin kademeli olarak a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc ilerlemesi oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Bu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f, \u00c7in\u2019in sanayi \u00fcretiminin may\u0131sta g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir \u015fekilde %4,5 artarak beklentileri a\u015fmas\u0131na ve ekonomik dayan\u0131kl\u0131l\u0131\u011fa i\u015faret etmesine dayan\u0131yor. \u00c7in Merkez Bankas\u0131 (PBoC) da kur y\u00f6nlendirmesinde para birimini istikrarl\u0131 bi\u00e7imde daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc tarafa i\u015faret ederek istikrar\u0131 koruma niyetini ortaya koyuyor.<\/p>\n
Tarihsel olarak, istikrarl\u0131 bir \u00c7in ve yava\u015flayan bir ABD g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc gibi ayr\u0131\u015fan ekonomik beklentilerin g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc d\u00f6nemler, yuan\u0131n kademeli de\u011fer kazan\u0131m\u0131na yol a\u00e7t\u0131. Dolar-yuan paritesinde en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck diren\u00e7 y\u00f6n\u00fc a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcnse de, y\u0131ll\u0131k dip seviyeye yak\u0131n 7,1750\u2019nin yak\u0131n vadede test edilip edilemeyece\u011fi belirsizli\u011fini koruyor. Bu nedenle yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, bu s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 negatif g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fc yans\u0131tmak i\u00e7in d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc call spread gibi yap\u0131lar\u0131 de\u011ferlendirebilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
UOB USD\/CNH\u2019de n\u00f6tr: g\u00fcn i\u00e7i 6,7760-6,7880 bant, 1-3 haftada 6,7620-6,7980. Yumu\u015fak ABD enflasyonu ralli s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yor; orta vadede kademeli d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f, dip testleri belirsiz. Stratejiler: strangle\/iron condor, call spread.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49807,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-48645","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48645","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=48645"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48645\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/49807"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=48645"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=48645"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=48645"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}