USD\/CHF, d\u00f6rt g\u00fcnl\u00fck y\u00fckseli\u015f serisini sonland\u0131rarak Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc Avrupa saatlerinde 0,7990 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc; buna kar\u015f\u0131n g\u00fcnl\u00fck grafikte y\u00fckselen kanal i\u00e7inde kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc. Parite, dokuz g\u00fcnl\u00fck ve 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck \u00dcstel Hareketli Ortalama\u2019n\u0131n (EMA) \u00fczerinde tutunurken, 14 g\u00fcnl\u00fck G\u00f6receli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI) 65 civar\u0131nda seyrediyor. Bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, fiyatlar yak\u0131n dirence do\u011fru ilerlerken yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentumun g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc oldu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n
Bir sonraki test, kanal\u0131n \u00fcst band\u0131na yak\u0131n 0,8030 seviyesiyle de \u00f6rt\u00fc\u015fen 0,8000 e\u015fi\u011finde bulunuyor. Bunun \u00fczerinde, 31 Mart\u2019ta g\u00f6r\u00fclen alt\u0131 ay\u0131n zirvesi 0,8042 seviyesinde ek bir diren\u00e7 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Bu b\u00f6lgenin a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 halinde odak, A\u011fustos 2025\u2019te kaydedilen y\u0131l i\u00e7i zirveye yak\u0131n 0,8171 b\u00f6lgesine kay\u0131yor. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nde ise ilk destek 0,7948\u2019deki dokuz g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019da; ard\u0131ndan kanal taban\u0131 yak\u0131n\u0131ndaki 0,7900 ve 0,7877\u2019deki 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA izleniyor. Daha derin bir geri \u00e7ekilmede 8 May\u0131s\u2019taki \u00fc\u00e7 ay\u0131n dibi 0,7761 g\u00fcndeme gelebilir.<\/p>\n
USD\/CHF\u2019de mevcut yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentumu, y\u00fckseli\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc t\u00fcrev i\u015flemler i\u00e7in bir f\u0131rsat olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Y\u00fckselen kanal\u0131n \u00fcst band\u0131na do\u011fru bir hareketi hedefleyerek 0,8000\u20130,8050 civar\u0131nda kullan\u0131m fiyatlar\u0131na sahip al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131 almay\u0131 de\u011ferlendiriyoruz. Bu strateji, teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn i\u015faret etti\u011fi g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc trendden faydalanmam\u0131za olanak tan\u0131r.<\/p>\n
Bu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f, genellikle bu paritede belirleyici olan merkez bankas\u0131 politikalar\u0131ndaki ayr\u0131\u015fma ile de destekleniyor. Son veriler, ABD\u2019de enflasyonun %2,8 seviyesinde yatay seyretti\u011fini ve Fed\u2019in faiz indirimine gitmesini zorla\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterirken, \u0130svi\u00e7re\u2019de enflasyonun %1,2 ile \u00e7ok daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kalmas\u0131 \u0130svi\u00e7re Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019na (SNB) g\u00fcvercin duru\u015funu koruma alan\u0131 sa\u011fl\u0131yor. Bu politika fark\u0131, ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131 \u0130svi\u00e7re frang\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda destekliyor.<\/p>\n
Bununla birlikte RSI\u2019\u0131n 65\u2019e yak\u0131n olmas\u0131, paritenin a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m b\u00f6lgesine yakla\u015fmaya ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. Bu riski y\u00f6netmek i\u00e7in 0,7900 destek seviyesi yak\u0131n\u0131nda kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131na sahip, paran\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda (out-of-the-money) sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonlar\u0131 almay\u0131 de\u011ferlendiriyoruz. Bu, fiyat\u0131n beklenmedik \u015fekilde d\u00f6nerek a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 k\u0131rmas\u0131 halinde potansiyel kay\u0131plar\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlayacak bir korunma (hedge) sa\u011flar.<\/p>\n
Tarihsel olarak, kritik seviyeler a\u015f\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda bu t\u00fcr hareketler h\u0131zlanabilir. 2025\u2019in ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda, paritenin y\u0131l i\u00e7i zirvesine do\u011fru ilerlemesinden \u00f6nce benzer bir desen g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. 0,8042 direncinin net bi\u00e7imde k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131, k\u0131sa pozisyonda olanlar\u0131n pozisyon kapatmak i\u00e7in al\u0131ma zorlanmas\u0131yla yeni bir h\u0131zl\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015fi tetikleyebilir ve ralliye ivme katabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
USD\/CHF\u2019de y\u00fckselen kanal korunuyor: 0,8000\u20130,8042 b\u00f6lgesi kritik diren\u00e7, k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa 0,8171 hedefte. RSI 65\u2019le temkin. Call opsiyon f\u0131rsat\u0131, 0,7900 put\u2019la hedge \u00f6neriliyor. Fed-SNB ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 dolar\u0131 destekliyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47688,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-48597","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48597","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=48597"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48597\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47688"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=48597"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=48597"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=48597"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}