EUR\/USD zay\u0131f seyrini korudu; parite erken New York i\u015flemlerinde 1,1530 ile 1,1572 aras\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fckten sonra g\u00fcn\u00fc 1,1535 seviyesinde, %0,07 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle kapatt\u0131. K\u0131sa vadeli fiyat hareketi oda\u011f\u0131 1,1520 deste\u011finde tutarken, 1,1500 h\u00e2l\u00e2 kilit taban olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Yukar\u0131da ise 1,1550 ve 1,1570 seviyelerinde diren\u00e7 bulunuyor; bu seviyeler olas\u0131 tepki al\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlayabilir.<\/p>\n
Bir ila \u00fc\u00e7 haftal\u0131k perspektifte e\u011filim negatif kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor; 1,1500 seviyesi 1,1445\u2019e do\u011fru bir hareketin \u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7mak i\u00e7in k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 gereken g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir destek konumunda. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k 1,1585 \u00fczerindeki bir k\u0131r\u0131lma, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc senaryoyu ge\u00e7ersiz k\u0131larak daha \u00f6nce 1,1600\u2019de yer alan \u201cg\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc diren\u00e7\u201d i\u015faretinin yerini alacak. G\u00fcncelleme 10 Haziran\u2019a at\u0131f yaparken spot seviye 1,1540 olarak belirtilmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n
EUR\/USD\u2019de zay\u0131f bir temel ton g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz ve Euro\u2019nun \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda kademeli olarak gerileme ihtimali bulunuyor. Bununla birlikte 1,1500 seviyesinin \u00e7ok g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir taban g\u00f6revi g\u00f6rmesini, 1,1520\u2019nin ise ilk destek olmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyoruz. Yukar\u0131 y\u00f6n \u015fimdilik s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor; 1,1550\u2019de ve daha belirgin \u015fekilde 1,1570\u2019de diren\u00e7 izleniyor.<\/p>\n
Bu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f, ABD ile Euro B\u00f6lgesi ekonomileri aras\u0131ndaki ayr\u0131\u015fmaya i\u015faret eden son verilerle de destekleniyor. Ge\u00e7en hafta a\u00e7\u0131klanan May\u0131s 2026 ABD Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam verisi 210 binlik g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir art\u0131\u015fa i\u015faret ederek, Fed\u2019in mevcut duru\u015funu korumas\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki bask\u0131y\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k Euro B\u00f6lgesi Uyumla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi (HICP) %2,1 ile s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalarak, Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019na sab\u0131rl\u0131 kalma alan\u0131 tan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc yava\u015f bir \u201cs\u00fcr\u00fcnme\u201d hareketinden faydalanan ve a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 riskin s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 oldu\u011fu stratejileri de\u011ferlendirmeyi ima ediyor. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki ay i\u00e7in 1,1550 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 sat\u0131m (put) al\u0131p e\u015fzamanl\u0131 olarak 1,1500 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 sat\u0131m satmak gibi bir ay\u0131 (bear) put spread\u2019in uygun bir yan\u0131t oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Bu yap\u0131 riski tan\u0131mlarken, ana destek seviyesine do\u011fru beklenen hareketi hedefler.<\/p>\n
EUR\/USD bir ayl\u0131k \u00f6rt\u00fck volatilite nispeten d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olan %6,5 civar\u0131nda seyretti\u011finden, opsiyon sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 prim toplamak a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan cazip bir f\u0131rsat sunuyor. G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc diren\u00e7 seviyemizin g\u00fcvenli bi\u00e7imde \u00fczerinde, \u00f6rne\u011fin 1,1600 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131, para d\u0131\u015f\u0131 (out-of-the-money) al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n sat\u0131lmas\u0131nda de\u011fer g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Bu strateji, Euro\u2019nun 1,1585\u2019in \u00fczerine anlaml\u0131 bir ralli geli\u015ftirememesi durumunda kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flar.<\/p>\n
Euro\u2019nun 1,1585 seviyesinin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 halinde negatif g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcz ge\u00e7ersiz olacakt\u0131r; bu seviyeyi art\u0131k g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc diren\u00e7 g\u00f6stergemiz olarak ele al\u0131yoruz. Bu fiyat\u0131n \u00fczerindeki bir hareket, k\u0131sa vadeli a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc riskin zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret eder ve ay\u0131 pozisyonlar\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 kapatmam\u0131z\u0131 gerektirir. O zamana kadar 1,1500\u2019\u00fcn k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131yla 1,1445\u2019e do\u011fru bir sonraki a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 baca\u011f\u0131n devreye girmesini arayaca\u011f\u0131z.<\/p>\n
Bu fiyat hareketi, 2023 yaz\u0131n\u0131 and\u0131r\u0131yor; benzer bir politika ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131, paritede sert bir sat\u0131\u015ftan ziyade kademeli ve d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck volatilitede bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe yol a\u00e7m\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Tarih, bu ortam\u0131n agresif y\u00f6n bahisleri yerine sab\u0131r ve yap\u0131land\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f i\u015flemleri \u00f6d\u00fcllendirdi\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. Bu nedenle ani bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften \u00e7ok yava\u015f bir a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc drift bekliyoruz.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
EUR\/USD\u2019de sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131 s\u00fcr\u00fcyor: 1,1520 ilk destek, 1,1500 kilit taban. K\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa 1,1445 g\u00fcndeme gelebilir; 1,1550-1,1570 diren\u00e7. Fed g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc, ECB temkinli; ay\u0131 put spread \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47686,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-48587","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48587","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=48587"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48587\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47686"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=48587"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=48587"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=48587"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}