{"id":48579,"date":"2026-06-11T08:11:57","date_gmt":"2026-06-11T08:11:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/aud-usd-tufe-sonrasi-abd-dolarindaki-gerilemeyle-07000-seviyesini-yeniden-asti-ancak-avustralya-dolarinda-yukari-yonlu-potansiyel-kirilgan-gorunuyor\/"},"modified":"2026-06-11T08:11:57","modified_gmt":"2026-06-11T08:11:57","slug":"aud-usd-tufe-sonrasi-abd-dolarindaki-gerilemeyle-07000-seviyesini-yeniden-asti-ancak-avustralya-dolarinda-yukari-yonlu-potansiyel-kirilgan-gorunuyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/aud-usd-tufe-sonrasi-abd-dolarindaki-gerilemeyle-07000-seviyesini-yeniden-asti-ancak-avustralya-dolarinda-yukari-yonlu-potansiyel-kirilgan-gorunuyor\/","title":{"rendered":"AUD\/USD, T\u00dcFE Sonras\u0131 ABD Dolar\u0131ndaki Gerilemeyle 0,7000 Seviyesini Yeniden A\u015ft\u0131; Ancak Avustralya Dolar\u0131nda Yukar\u0131 Y\u00f6nl\u00fc Potansiyel K\u0131r\u0131lgan G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>AUD\/USD, Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc Asya i\u015flemlerinde iki ay\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesini g\u00f6rd\u00fckten sonra birka\u00e7 pip y\u00fckselerek 0,7000 seviyesini yeniden geri ald\u0131. Hareket, May\u0131s ABD T\u00dcFE verisinin ard\u0131ndan ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131n zay\u0131flamas\u0131yla geldi: man\u015fet enflasyon y\u00fckselirken daha \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 \u00e7ekirdek g\u00f6stergeler, fiyat bask\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n kontrolden \u00e7\u0131kaca\u011f\u0131 endi\u015felerini s\u0131n\u0131rlad\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>ABD\u2019de faiz beklentileri ise h\u00e2l\u00e2 k\u0131s\u0131tlay\u0131c\u0131. Piyasalar y\u0131l sonuna kadar Federal Reserve\u2019in faiz art\u0131rma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 %70 civar\u0131nda fiyatlamay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor; Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmaya ba\u011fl\u0131 enerji fiyat\u0131 endi\u015feleri de g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc besliyor. ABD ordusu, Ba\u015fkan Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n daha fazla ad\u0131m gelece\u011fini s\u00f6ylemesinin ard\u0131ndan \u0130ran genelinde hedefleri vurdu; \u0130ran ise H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n kapat\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 duyurarak ezici ve kararl\u0131 bir kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k uyar\u0131s\u0131 yapt\u0131. Bu geli\u015fmeler, \u00fc\u00e7 ay\u0131 a\u015fk\u0131n s\u00fcredir devam eden sava\u015f\u0131n uzama riskini art\u0131r\u0131yor; bu zemin petrol\u00fc destekleyip Greenback\u2019i g\u00fc\u00e7lendirebilir. Ayr\u0131 olarak, Avustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (RBA) ilave s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fmas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik beklentilerin azalmas\u0131 AUD talebini s\u0131n\u0131rlayabilir; g\u00f6zler bug\u00fcn ilerleyen saatlerde a\u00e7\u0131klanacak ABD \u00dcFE verisine \u00e7evrildi.<\/p>\n<h3>Avustralya Dolar\u0131ndaki Toparlanma K\u0131r\u0131lgan Kalmay\u0131 S\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor<\/h3>\n<p>Avustralya dolar\u0131n\u0131n 0,6580 civar\u0131ndaki son diplerinden tepki verdi\u011fini g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz, ancak bunu ge\u00e7ici bir toparlanma olarak de\u011ferlendiriyoruz. Daha geni\u015f ekonomik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, bu yukar\u0131 hareketin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir deste\u011fe sahip olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. 0,6650 diren\u00e7 seviyesine do\u011fru olas\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015fler ihtiyatla kar\u015f\u0131lanmal\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>ABD dolar\u0131, son ekonomik verilerin Federal Reserve\u2019in \u00f6n\u00fcndeki yol haritas\u0131n\u0131 zorla\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131yla destek buluyor. May\u0131s 2026 T\u00dcFE raporu enflasyonun \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 \u015fekilde %2,9\u2019a geriledi\u011fini g\u00f6sterse de, seviye Fed\u2019in hedefinin belirgin \u015fekilde \u00fczerinde kalmaya devam ederek yak\u0131n vadede faiz indirimi umutlar\u0131n\u0131 zay\u0131flat\u0131yor. Piyasa fiyatlamas\u0131, y\u0131l sonuna kadar tek bir faiz indirimi olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n %40\u2019a indi\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor; bu, birka\u00e7 ay \u00f6ncesine k\u0131yasla belirgin bir de\u011fi\u015fim.<\/p>\n<h3>K\u00fcresel ve Yurt \u0130\u00e7i Bask\u0131lar D\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f Y\u00f6nl\u00fc Stratejileri \u00d6ne \u00c7\u0131kar\u0131yor<\/h3>\n<p>Ayn\u0131 zamanda, yeniden alevlenen ticaret gerilimleri ve \u00c7in\u2019den gelen sanayi talebinde yava\u015flama endi\u015feleri risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekiyor. Avustralya\u2019n\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131ca ihracat kalemlerinden demir cevheri fiyatlar\u0131, aylard\u0131r ilk kez ton ba\u015f\u0131na 100 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na sarkarak Aussie \u00fczerinde do\u011frudan bask\u0131 yarat\u0131yor. Bu k\u00fcresel belirsizlik, sermayeyi g\u00f6rece g\u00fcvenli liman olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclen ABD dolar\u0131na y\u00f6nlendiriyor.<\/p>\n<p>Avustralya\u2019da ise enflasyon sorun olmaya devam ediyor; son \u00e7eyreklik veriler inat\u00e7\u0131 \u015fekilde %3,8 seviyesine i\u015faret ediyor. Buna kar\u015f\u0131n, RBA zay\u0131flayan i\u00e7 ekonomi \u00fczerinde daha fazla bask\u0131 yaratmamak ad\u0131na uzun s\u00fcreli bir \u201cbekle-g\u00f6r\u201d d\u00f6neminde g\u00f6r\u00fcnerek ek faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131na isteksiz duruyor. H\u00e2l\u00e2 \u015fahin tonda kalan Fed ile olu\u015fan bu politika ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131, Avustralya dolar\u0131n\u0131 daha az cazip k\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>Bu arka plan alt\u0131nda, AUD\/USD paritesindeki her g\u00fc\u00e7lenmeyi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyon ba\u015flatmak i\u00e7in bir f\u0131rsat olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. T\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 i\u00e7in, 0,6500\u2019\u00fcn alt\u0131nda kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131na sahip sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonlar\u0131 almak, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda beklenen d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften faydalanmak ad\u0131na etkili bir strateji olabilir. Ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7 maliyetini s\u0131n\u0131rlarken a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc harekete pozisyon almak i\u00e7in bear put spread kurulumlar\u0131nda da de\u011fer g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>AUD\/USD 0,7000\u2019i geri alsa da ralli k\u0131r\u0131lgan: Fed\u2019in %70 faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 fiyatlamas\u0131, Orta Do\u011fu kaynakl\u0131 petrol riski ve zay\u0131flayan RBA beklentileri dolar\u0131 destekliyor. Y\u00fckseli\u015fler sat\u0131\u015f f\u0131rsat\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":47694,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-48579","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48579","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=48579"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48579\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47694"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=48579"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=48579"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=48579"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}