{"id":48201,"date":"2026-03-06T08:08:23","date_gmt":"2026-03-06T08:08:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr\/uncategorized\/nfp-oncesinde-gbp-usd-02-gerileyerek-13350-civarina-indi-uc-ayin-diplerine-yakin-gergin-islemlerde-baski-altinda-kaldi\/"},"modified":"2026-03-06T08:08:23","modified_gmt":"2026-03-06T08:08:23","slug":"nfp-oncesinde-gbp-usd-02-gerileyerek-13350-civarina-indi-uc-ayin-diplerine-yakin-gergin-islemlerde-baski-altinda-kaldi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/nfp-oncesinde-gbp-usd-02-gerileyerek-13350-civarina-indi-uc-ayin-diplerine-yakin-gergin-islemlerde-baski-altinda-kaldi\/","title":{"rendered":"NFP \u00f6ncesinde GBP\/USD %0,2 gerileyerek 1,3350 civar\u0131na indi; \u00fc\u00e7 ay\u0131n diplerine yak\u0131n gergin i\u015flemlerde bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda kald\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"GBP\/USD paritesi per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc %0,2 gerileyerek 1,3350 civar\u0131na indi ve son \u00fc\u00e7 ay\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyelerine yak\u0131n seyretti. \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n CIA ile g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelere a\u00e7\u0131k olabilece\u011fine dair haberlerle k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli y\u00fckseldi, ancak \u0130srailli yetkililerin Washington\u2019a bu mesaj\u0131 dikkate almamas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6nerdi\u011fi iddialar\u0131 sonras\u0131 hareket zay\u0131flad\u0131.\n\nParite, g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalamalar (fiyat\u0131n belirli g\u00fcn say\u0131s\u0131ndaki ortalamas\u0131; trendi g\u00f6rmek i\u00e7in kullan\u0131l\u0131r) \u00e7evresinde dar bantta i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Son g\u00fcnlerdeki k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck g\u00f6vdeli g\u00fcnl\u00fck mumlar (al\u0131c\u0131 ve sat\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n dengede kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren fiyat \u00e7ubu\u011fu), ocak sonundaki 1,3870 zirvesinden gelen d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn ard\u0131ndan olu\u015ftu.\n\n

Uk Outlook And Central Bank Signals<\/h3>\n\u0130ngiltere\u2019de B\u00fct\u00e7e Sorumlulu\u011fu Ofisi (Office for Budget Responsibility\/OBR; h\u00fck\u00fcmetin b\u00fct\u00e7e tahminlerini denetleyen ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z kurum) 2026 b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini %1,4\u2019ten %1,1\u2019e indirdi. Ayr\u0131ca bu y\u0131l\u0131n ilerleyen d\u00f6neminde i\u015fsizli\u011fin zirve oran\u0131 beklentisini %4,9\u2019dan %5,3\u2019e y\u00fckseltti.\n\n\u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131 (BoE) \u015fubatta faizi 3,75\u2019te, 5\u2019e kar\u015f\u0131 4 oyla sabit tuttu. Piyasalar (vadeli i\u015flemler ve faiz beklentileri; yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n fiyatlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 senaryo) 19 Mart toplant\u0131s\u0131nda indirim ihtimalini %20 olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcyor; bu oran bir hafta \u00f6nce yakla\u015f\u0131k %75\u2019ti. Y\u0131l geneli i\u00e7in 25 baz puanl\u0131k (0,25 y\u00fczde puan) tek indirim bekleniyor.\n\nABD\u2019de odak cuma g\u00fcnk\u00fc Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam verisine (Non-farm Payrolls; tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan say\u0131s\u0131ndaki ayl\u0131k de\u011fi\u015fim) \u00e7evrildi. \u015eubat i\u00e7in beklenti yakla\u015f\u0131k 60 bin; ocakta 130 bindi. Grafikte fiyat 1,3351 seviyesinde. Diren\u00e7 (y\u00fckseli\u015fin zorland\u0131\u011f\u0131 seviye) 1,3400\u20131,3500 band\u0131nda. Destek (d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn durma e\u011filiminde oldu\u011fu seviye) 1,3360 yak\u0131n\u0131nda, ard\u0131ndan 1,3300 ve 1,32.\n\n

Policy Divergence And Trade Positioning<\/h3>\nBuna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k ABD ekonomisi daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc seyrini koruyarak \u00f6nemli bir ayr\u0131\u015fma yarat\u0131yor. Ocak 2026 Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam verisi 185 bin ki\u015filik art\u0131\u015fa i\u015faret ederken, ABD \u00e7ekirdek enflasyonu (g\u0131da ve enerji gibi oynak kalemler hari\u00e7 enflasyon; kal\u0131c\u0131 fiyat bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6l\u00e7er) %2,7 civar\u0131nda daha diren\u00e7li. Bu tablo Fed\u2019e (ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131) acele etmemek i\u00e7in gerek\u00e7e veriyor. Bu temel uyumsuzluk GBP\/USD \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 kuruyor; parite ayr\u0131ca ge\u00e7en y\u0131l g\u00fcndeme gelen kritik 1,3300 deste\u011finin alt\u0131na sarkt\u0131.\n\n\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda bu politika ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131ndan yararlanacak stratejiler \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. GBP\/USD put opsiyonu almak (belirli vadede belirli fiyattan satma hakk\u0131; d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 pozisyon) \u00f6zellikle BoE toplant\u0131s\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde, \u201cg\u00fcvercin\u201d (faiz indirimi e\u011filimli) mesaj beklentisiyle, zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131n s\u00fcrmesine oynayan net bir y\u00f6ntem. Alternatif olarak, \u201cout-of-the-money\u201d (kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 mevcut fiyattan daha uzak oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in \u015fu an k\u00e2rs\u0131z) call opsiyonu satmak veya ay\u0131 call spreadi kurmak (daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131ndan call sat\u0131p daha y\u00fcksekten call almak; y\u00fckseli\u015fi s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 g\u00f6rerek prim geliri hedeflemek) gelir yaratmak i\u00e7in kullan\u0131labilir; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc Sterlin\u2019de olas\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015flerin s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 ve k\u0131sa \u00f6m\u00fcrl\u00fc kalmas\u0131 bekleniyor.\n

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Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n – Ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n <\/strong> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sterlin\/dolar 1,3350\u2019ye gerileyip \u00fc\u00e7 ay\u0131n dibine yak\u0131n: jeopolitik man\u015fetler etkisini \u00e7abuk yitirdi. OBR b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fc; BoE indirimi \u00f6telerken Fed g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc verilerle sab\u0131rl\u0131. Teknikte 1,3300 kritik.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-48201","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48201","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=48201"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48201\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=48201"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=48201"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=48201"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}